Montreal Alouettes vs Calgary Stampeders: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Canadian football CFL Montreal Alouettes - Calgary Stampeders
Result
38:20
26/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : CFL
Montreal Alouettes - Calgary Stampeders - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

1st Downs
2821
Total Yards
446399
Passing Yards
350238
Rushing Yards
96161
Penalties
58
Penalties Yards
64123
Touchdowns
42
Rushing Touchdowns
31
Passing Touchdowns
11
Turnover Touchdowns
00
Field Goals Succeeded
32
Field Goals Attempted
52
Fumbles Lost
01

Chances of winning


Montreal Alouettes
62.2%
Calgary Stampeders
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.5% 50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6% 56.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montreal Alouettes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Montreal Alouettes's performance.
  • Calgary Stampeders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Calgary Stampeders might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montreal Alouettes than the current prediction. (-18.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Montreal Alouettes that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calgary Stampeders than the current prediction. (+18.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Calgary Stampeders could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Montreal Alouettes - Calgary Stampeders Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.93)

    2.63
    (1.89)
    5.8%
    (4.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 51.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CFL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CFL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 4.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Calgary may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Calgary has had a series of home games.
    • Montreal might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 432:471. (average 21.6:23.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 189:130. (average 23.6:16.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montreal Alouettes - Calgary Stampeders were as follows:
    24.07.2025 Calgary Stampeders - Montreal Alouettes 21:23
    14.09.2024 Calgary Stampeders - Montreal Alouettes 19:19
    06.07.2024 Montreal Alouettes - Calgary Stampeders 30:26
    23.09.2023 Calgary Stampeders - Montreal Alouettes 11:28
    30.07.2023 Montreal Alouettes - Calgary Stampeders 25:18
    Latest results of Montreal Alouettes
    Latest results of Calgary Stampeders
    CFL Table
    Main

    East Division
    PlWWDLLPts
    1Hamilton Tiger-Cats16100015470:44420
    2Montreal Alouettes1580007366:37316
    3Toronto Argonauts16500011465:51210
    4Ottawa Redblacks15400011364:4338


    West Division
    PlWWDLLPts
    1Saskatchewan Roughriders15110004408:34622
    2BC Lions1681007495:45418
    3Calgary Stampeders1580007387:37316
    4Winnipeg Blue Bombers1580007403:37316
    5Edmonton Elks1560009363:41312

          Promotion ~ CFL (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ CFL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

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