Montreal Alouettes vs BC Lions: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Canadian football CFL Montreal Alouettes - BC Lions
05/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : CFL
Montreal Alouettes - BC Lions - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

1st Downs
2326
Total Yards
326440
Passing Yards
206352
Rushing Yards
12088
Penalties
611
Penalties Yards
50146
Touchdowns
22
Rushing Touchdowns
01
Passing Touchdowns
21
Turnover Touchdowns
00
Field Goals Succeeded
23
Field Goals Attempted
33
Fumbles Lost
00

Chances of winning


Montreal Alouettes
57.6%
BC Lions
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.9% 34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56% 44%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montreal Alouettes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montreal Alouettes's form might have worsened.
  • BC Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting BC Lions's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montreal Alouettes than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for BC Lions than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Montreal Alouettes - BC Lions Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.45)

    2.26
    (2.8)
    4.9%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 52.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CFL (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 1.
    • Montreal is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Lions is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Lions may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Montreal has had a series of away games.
    • Montreal is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Montreal will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 398:546. (average 19.9:27.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 256:268. (average 23.3:24.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montreal Alouettes - BC Lions were as follows:
    19.10.2024 BC Lions - Montreal Alouettes 27:3
    06.09.2024 Montreal Alouettes - BC Lions 23:37
    02.09.2023 Montreal Alouettes - BC Lions 25:34
    09.07.2023 BC Lions - Montreal Alouettes 35:19
    09.09.2022 Montreal Alouettes - BC Lions 31:10
    Latest results of Montreal Alouettes
    Latest results of BC Lions
    CFL Table
    Main

    East Division
    PlWWDLLPts
    1Montreal Alouettes530002142:1126
    2Hamilton Tiger-Cats420002135:1214
    3Ottawa Redblacks41000380:1112
    4Toronto Argonauts510004128:1632


    West Division
    PlWWDLLPts
    1Saskatchewan Roughriders440000135:998
    2Calgary Stampeders430001116:816
    3Winnipeg Blue Bombers430001113:946
    4BC Lions520003104:1324
    5Edmonton Elks30000365:1050

          Promotion ~ CFL (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ CFL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

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