Montpellier vs Boulogne: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer French Ligue 2 Montpellier - Boulogne
Result
1:3
23/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 2 - Round 7
  • Referee: Rosier E. (Fra)
Montpellier - Boulogne - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.942.29
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
623
Shots on target
29
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
84% (403/479)85% (341/403)
Yellow Cards
03
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.942.29
xG on target (xGOT)
0.982.32
Total shots
623
Shots on target
29
Shots off target
48
Blocked Shots
06
Shots inside the Box
415
Shots outside the Box
28
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1038
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1614
Passes
84% (403/479)85% (341/403)
Long passes
40% (18/45)50% (31/62)
Passes in final third
59% (38/64)71% (87/122)
Crosses
23% (3/13)47% (7/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.261.18
Throw-ins
2419
Fouls
1416
Tackles
55% (12/22)57% (12/21)
Duels won
5952
Clearances
1518
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
81
xGOT faced
2.320.98
Goals prevented
0.32-0.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 31', Laporte J. 🟥,
  • 40', Mouanga Y. , Jullien C. ,
  • 43', Boyer J. 🟨,
  • 45', 0 - 1, Jullien C. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Orakpo V. , Chennahi T. ,
  • 57', Binet N. 🟨,
  • 63', Mbuku N. , Mincarelli L. ,
  • 63', El Hannach N. , Mahboub F. ,
  • 68', Duflos S. , Boiteau L. ,
  • 69', 0 - 2, El Farissi A. , Boiteau L. (A),
  • 78', Capuano G. , Fatou C. ,
  • 79', El Farissi A. , Fatar N. ,
  • 80', 0 - 3, Fatou C. (Pen),
  • 84', Binet N. , Toure H. ,
  • 84', Boyer J. , Kouassi E. ,
  • 89', Thiam D. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 1 - 3, Savanier T. (Pen),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/4992uk8a

Chances of winning


Montpellier
51.8%
Draw
28.4%
Boulogne
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.6% 23.4% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44% 17.6% 24%

Montpellier - Boulogne Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.02
(1.59)
3.47
(3.98)
5.01
(5.15)
-1.6%
(7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Montpellier - Boulogne?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Montpellier will win (votes: 17 - 89.5%). Boulogne will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Montpellier: 75.7%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Montpellier (votes: 1 - 50%). Boulogne (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
    • Montpellier has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Boulogne has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Montpellier may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Boulogne has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Montpellier is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Montpellier: Fayad K. (Leg Injury) Gueguin A. (Inactive) Ngosso G. (Knee Injury) Sishuba A. (Muscle Injury) Tchato E. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Boulogne: Kitenge C. (Inactive) Lenogue X. (Inactive) Toure H. (Inactive)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Montpellier
    20.09.2025 Montpellier - Bastia 2:0
    15.09.2025 Guingamp - Montpellier 1:0
    29.08.2025 Montpellier - Amiens 1:1
    23.08.2025 Troyes - Montpellier 1:0
    18.08.2025 Le Mans - Montpellier 1:2
    Latest results of Boulogne
    19.09.2025 Boulogne - Pau 0:3
    16.09.2025 Boulogne - Bastia 1:0
    12.09.2025 Boulogne - Laval 1:2
    29.08.2025 Rodez - Boulogne 1:0
    23.08.2025 Boulogne - Saint-Étienne 0:1
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes1484226:141228
    2Red Star1483319:13627
    3St Etienne1482431:211026
    4Montpellier1473417:12524
    5Pau FC1465320:21-123
    6Reims1464426:20622
    7Le Mans1456317:15221
    8Dunkerque1455425:17820
    9Guingamp1455422:24-220
    10Grenoble1445516:17-117
    11Clermont1445513:17-417
    12Annecy1444616:16016
    13Rodez1444614:20-616
    14Amiens1443718:22-415
    15Nancy1443713:19-615
    16Laval1326510:15-512
    17Boulogne1433813:22-912
    18Bastia131486:17-117

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National

    Which TV channels are streaming of Montpellier - Boulogne?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
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