Ajaccio vs Montpellier: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer French Ligue 1 Ajaccio - Montpellier
Result
0:1
12/03/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 27
  • Referee: El Hadj H. (Fra)
Ajaccio - Montpellier - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Ajaccio
27.8%
Draw
31.1%
Montpellier
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.1% 29.4% 33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3% 29.6% 33.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ajaccio's form might have worsened.
  • Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Montpellier's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ajaccio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Montpellier, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ajaccio - Montpellier Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.43
    (2.55)
    3.06
    (3.22)
    2.32
    (2.82)
    5.1%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Ajaccio - Montpellier?
  • Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Ajaccio will win (votes: 5 - 15.2%). Montpellier will win (votes: 19 - 57.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Montpellier: 40.7%74.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 13).
    • Ajaccio has the most likely position - 18 (26.07%), has project points - 33, has currently - 21, has a good chance of relegated (70%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has not chance of win league.
    • Montpellier has the most likely position - 14 (24.18%), has project points - 43, has currently - 30, has a very small chance of relegated (4%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • This event has quality 52, importance 33, match rating 42. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 1.
    • Ajaccio is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Montpellier is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Ajaccio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Montpellier will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Ajaccio: Alphonse M. (Illness) Cimignani Y. (Injury) Hamouma R. (Injury) Kone Y. (Ankle Injury) Mangani T. (Injury) Touzghar Y. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Montpellier: Bertaud D. (Knee Injury) Esteve M. (Injury) Leroy L. (Muscle Injury) Makouana B. (Injury) Sainte-Luce T. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-10.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ajaccio won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ajaccio - Montpellier were as follows:
    31.08.2022 Montpellier - Ajaccio 2:0
    Latest results of Ajaccio
    05.03.2023 Reims - Ajaccio 1:0
    26.02.2023 Ajaccio - Troyes 2:1
    19.02.2023 Lorient - Ajaccio 3:0
    10.02.2023 Nice - Ajaccio 3:0
    05.02.2023 Ajaccio - Nantes 0:2
    Latest results of Montpellier
    05.03.2023 Montpellier - Angers 5:0
    25.02.2023 Montpellier - Lens 1:1
    19.02.2023 Troyes - Montpellier 0:1
    12.02.2023 Montpellier - Brest 3:0
    05.02.2023 Strasbourg - Montpellier 2:0
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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