Montevideo Wanderers vs Progreso: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Uruguayan Primera Division Montevideo Wanderers - Progreso
Result
1:1
27/03/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 8
  • Referee: Varela E. (Uru)
Montevideo Wanderers - Progreso - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
87
Shots on target
54
Corner Kicks
810
Yellow Cards
43
Total shots
87
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
33
Corner Kicks
810
Goalkeeper Saves
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', Acosta M. 🟨,
  • 12', 0 - 1, Copelotti M. (Pen),
  • 35', Viera M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Viera M. , Fernandez E. ,
  • 57', Sosa F. 🟨,
  • 58', Sosa F. , Lopez P. ,
  • 58', Copelotti M. , Gonzalez N. ,
  • 61', Cerro F. , Zeballos J. ,
  • 61', Acosta M. , Suarez M. ,
  • 61', Suarez P. , Rodriguez J. ,
  • 65', Maldonado L. , Carroso H. ,
  • 76', 1 - 1, Rivero R. (Pen),
  • 76', Garcia E. 🟨,
  • 76', Olivera Moreira L. N. 🟨,
  • 77', Zeballos J. 🟨,
  • 85', Rivero R. , Serres F. ,
  • 85', Veglio B. , Queiroz N. ,
  • 88', Teuten A. 🟨,
  • 88', Moreira A. , Fernandez N. ,

Chances of winning


Montevideo Wanderers
47%
Draw
28.2%
Progreso
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.5% 27.5% 27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2% 26.1% 29.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montevideo Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Progreso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • Montevideo Wanderers - Progreso Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (2.04)
    3.27
    (3.3)
    3.74
    (3.25)
    7.9%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

  • Watch this match and Uruguayan Primera Division with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : Gol (English)
  • What is the prediction for Montevideo Wanderers - Progreso?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 and 15).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Wanderers won 3.
    • Wanderers is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Progreso is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Wanderers will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Wanderers won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 23:16 (average 1.6:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Wanderers won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20:10 (average 2.2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montevideo Wanderers - Progreso were as follows:
    10.11.2024 Progreso - Montevideo Wanderers 0:0
    14.07.2024 Montevideo Wanderers - Progreso 4:2
    04.05.2024 Montevideo Wanderers - Progreso 2:0
    Latest results of Progreso
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Liverpool M1485121:91229
    2Nacional1484233:151828
    3Juventud1483321:14727
    4Defensor Sp1473416:10624
    5Penarol1473418:16224
    6Racing Montevideo1464413:9422
    7Cerro Largo1456315:15021
    8Boston River1463516:17-121
    9Plaza Colonia1454512:11119
    10Montevideo City1545616:22-617
    11Progreso1436516:25-915
    12CA Cerro1335512:17-514
    13Wanderers1526712:17-512
    14Miramar1432915:23-811
    15River Plate1524910:20-1010
    16Danubio1409510:16-69

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