Montevideo Wanderers vs Progreso: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Uruguayan Primera Division Montevideo Wanderers - Progreso
Result
1:1
27/03/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 8
  • Referee: Varela E. (Uru)
Montevideo Wanderers - Progreso - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
87
Shots on target
54
Corner Kicks
810
Yellow Cards
43
Total shots
87
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
33
Corner Kicks
810
Goalkeeper Saves
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', Acosta M. 🟨,
  • 12', 0 - 1, Copelotti M. (Pen),
  • 35', Viera M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Viera M. , Fernandez E. ,
  • 57', Sosa F. 🟨,
  • 58', Sosa F. , Lopez P. ,
  • 58', Copelotti M. , Gonzalez N. ,
  • 61', Cerro F. , Zeballos J. ,
  • 61', Acosta M. , Suarez M. ,
  • 61', Suarez P. , Rodriguez J. ,
  • 65', Maldonado L. , Carroso H. ,
  • 76', 1 - 1, Rivero R. (Pen),
  • 76', Garcia E. 🟨,
  • 76', Olivera Moreira L. N. 🟨,
  • 77', Zeballos J. 🟨,
  • 85', Rivero R. , Serres F. ,
  • 85', Veglio B. , Queiroz N. ,
  • 88', Teuten A. 🟨,
  • 88', Moreira A. , Fernandez N. ,

Chances of winning


Montevideo Wanderers
47%
Draw
28.2%
Progreso
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.5% 27.5% 27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2% 26.1% 29.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montevideo Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Progreso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • Montevideo Wanderers - Progreso Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (2.04)
    3.27
    (3.3)
    3.74
    (3.25)
    7.9%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

  • Watch this match and Uruguayan Primera Division with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : Gol (English)
  • What is the prediction for Montevideo Wanderers - Progreso?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Wanderers will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Progreso will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 50.6%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 and 15).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Wanderers won 3.
    • Wanderers is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Progreso is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Wanderers will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Wanderers won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 23:16 (average 1.6:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Wanderers won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20:10 (average 2.2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montevideo Wanderers - Progreso were as follows:
    10.11.2024 Progreso - Montevideo Wanderers 0:0
    14.07.2024 Montevideo Wanderers - Progreso 4:2
    04.05.2024 Montevideo Wanderers - Progreso 2:0
    Latest results of Progreso
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Penarol540112:4812
    2Boston River53209:3611
    3Montevideo City531113:8510
    4Cerro Largo43106:2410
    5Liverpool M53116:3310
    6Juventud53025:509
    7Defensor Sp53023:6-39
    8Nacional531111:657
    9Miramar52128:717
    10CA Cerro52125:417
    11Racing Montevideo52034:10-66
    12Danubio51134:6-24
    13Progreso51045:9-43
    14Wanderers40131:4-31
    15Plaza Colonia50143:10-71
    16River Plate50140:8-81

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    Which TV channels are streaming of Montevideo Wanderers - Progreso?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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