Result
19/10/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Chances of winning
Peñarol de Montevideo
71.7% | Draw
18.7% | Montevideo Wanderers
9.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Peñarol de Montevideo's performance.Montevideo Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.3 ↓
(1.42) |
4.96 ↑
(4.5) |
9.87 ↑
(6.5) |
7.4%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: ) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 4.
- Peñarol has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Wanderers is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Peñarol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
- In this match, Peñarol is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:12. (average 1.3:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:3. (average 1.6:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Peñarol de Montevideo won against Montevideo Wanderers?
Peñarol de Montevideo has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Montevideo Wanderers won against Peñarol de Montevideo?
Montevideo Wanderers has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers were as follows:
22.06.2025
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Montevideo Wanderers
2:0
19.04.2025
Montevideo Wanderers
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
1:2
14.11.2024
Montevideo Wanderers
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
0:2
08.06.2024
Montevideo Wanderers
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
2:0
11.05.2024
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Montevideo Wanderers
1:0
Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
Latest results of Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Penarol | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 23:9 | 14 | 26 |
| 2 | Nacional | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21:9 | 12 | 21 |
| 3 | Montevideo City | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Boston River | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20:8 | 12 | 20 |
| 5 | Liverpool M | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15:12 | 3 | 19 |
| 6 | Defensor Sp | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 19 |
| 7 | Progreso | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Cerro Largo | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 |
| 9 | CA Cerro | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 9:12 | -3 | 16 |
| 10 | Danubio | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:11 | 3 | 14 |
| 11 | Miramar | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Racing Montevideo | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9:18 | -9 | 12 |
| 13 | Juventud | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6:10 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | River Plate | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5:16 | -11 | 6 |
| 15 | Wanderers | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5:16 | -11 | 5 |
| 16 | Plaza Colonia | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7:21 | -14 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
