Monterrey vs New York Red Bulls: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer CONCACAF League Cup Monterrey - New York Red Bulls
Result
2:1 penalties
03/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Leagues Cup - Round 2
Monterrey - New York Red Bulls - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.401.09
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1814
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
82% (455/554)81% (331/410)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.401.09
xG on target (xGOT)
0.500.75
Total shots
1814
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
78
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
166
Shots outside the Box
28
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
3619
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
35
Free Kicks
1612
Passes
82% (455/554)81% (331/410)
Long passes
58% (40/69)35% (18/51)
Passes in final third
68% (79/116)72% (118/163)
Crosses
39% (9/23)0% (0/4)
Expected assists (xA)
1.460.82
Throw-ins
229
Fouls
1216
Tackles
71% (10/14)100% (7/7)
Duels won
5938
Clearances
1525
Interceptions
711
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
26
xGOT faced
0.750.50
Goals prevented
-0.25-0.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Hall J. , Edelman D. (A),
  • 38', 1 - 1, Canales S. , Berterame G. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Ngoma S. , Sofo M. ,
  • 49', Donkor R. 🟨,
  • 58', Guzman V. 🟨,
  • 61', Ocampos L. , Corona J. ,
  • 66', Sofo M. 🟨,
  • 67', Valencia O. , Edwards R. ,
  • 67', Gjengaar D. , Benedetti N. ,
  • 68', Edelman D. 🟨,
  • 74', Torres O. , Fimbres I. ,
  • 74', Guzman V. , Moxica J. ,
  • 77', Duncan K. , Nealis D. ,
  • 77', Hall J. , Bogacz W. ,
  • 86', Berterame G. , Cortizo J. ,
  • Penalties (5 - 3)
  • 1, Canales S. (Pen),
  • 1, Eile N. (Pen),
  • 2, Fimbres I. (Pen),
  • 2, Hack A. (Pen),
  • 3, Corona J. (Pen),
  • 3, Bogacz W. (Pen),
  • 4, Ramos S. (Pen),
  • 4, Edelman D. (Pen),
  • 5, Reyes L. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Monterrey
53%
Draw
23.2%
New York Red Bulls
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 25.6% 32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44% 24.6% 30.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monterrey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Monterrey's performance.
  • New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New York Red Bulls might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Monterrey that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that New York Red Bulls could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Monterrey - New York Red Bulls Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (2.22)
    4
    (3.66)
    3.94
    (2.91)
    7%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Monterrey - New York Red Bulls?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Monterrey will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for NY Red Bulls: 29%96%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Monterrey will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Monterrey
    31.07.2025 Monterrey - Cincinnati 2:3
    26.07.2025 Monterrey - Atlas 3:1
    13.07.2025 Pachuca - Monterrey 3:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Los Angeles GalaxyPachuca2 : 1
    2Seattle SoundersPuebla1 : 0
    3Inter MiamiTigres UANL2 : 1
    4TolucaOrlando City0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Los Angeles GalaxySeattle Sounders0 : 2
    2Inter MiamiOrlando City3 : 1

    Final
    1Seattle SoundersInter Miami3 : 0

    3rd place
    2Los Angeles GalaxyOrlando City2 : 1
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