Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Monterey Bay: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

04/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Al Lang Stadium (St. Petersburg, FL).

: USL Championship
Referee: Stevis B. (Usa)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.75	0.49
Ball Possession
50%	50%
Total shots
13	10
Shots on target
7	2
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
2	6
Passes
82% (278/341)	79% (270/340)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75	0.49
xG on target (xGOT)
1.72	0.08
Total shots
13	10
Shots on target
7	2
Shots off target
5	6
Blocked Shots
1	2
Shots inside the Box
7	6
Shots outside the Box
6	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
2	6
Touches in opposition box
22	19
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
19	15
Passes
82% (278/341)	79% (270/340)
Long passes
39% (17/44)	36% (16/45)
Passes in final third
65% (64/98)	62% (63/101)
Crosses
43% (3/7)	20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.21	0.69
Throw-ins
33	17
Fouls
15	19
Tackles
100% (9/9)	78% (7/9)
Duels won
39	32
Clearances
22	34
Interceptions
3	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
0.08	1.72
Goals prevented
0.08	-2.28

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Guzman C. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Pacius W. ⚽, Vancaeyezeele T. (A),
43', Crisostomo D. 🟨,
45+3', Casciato D. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
54', Scott T. 🟨,
57', Scott T. ↓, Guediri S. ↑,
62', 2 - 0, Crisostomo D. ⚽,
68', Lyons M. 🟨,
71', Ivanovic L. ↓, Sojberg A. ↑,
71', Gnaulati X. ↓, Bryant E. ↑,
72', Fonguck W. ↓, Fehr M. ↑,
73', 3 - 0, Pacius W. ⚽,
78', Crisostomo D. ↓, Alvarez L. ↑,
79', Robinson G. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
88', 4 - 0, Arteaga M. ⚽, Marie P. (A),
90', Arteaga M. ↓, Sharp C. ↑,
90', Bodily B. ↓, Skinner J. ↑,
90+4', Marie P. ↓, Moon N. ↑,
90+4', Azocar J. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,

Official Live

Chances of winning

Tampa Bay Rowdies
52.2%

Draw
24.8%

Monterey Bay
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

24.6%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

24.1%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tampa Bay Rowdies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Monterey Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Tampa Bay Rowdies - Monterey Bay Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.7)	3.73 ↓ (3.76)	4.02 ↓ (4.4)	8% (8.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

Preview Facts

Tampa Bay has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Monterey Bay is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Tampa Bay is a strong favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2.7:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Tampa Bay won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Rowdies won against Monterey Bay?

Tampa Bay Rowdies has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Monterey Bay won against Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Monterey Bay has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Rowdies - Monterey Bay were as follows:

03.08.2024 Monterey Bay - Tampa Bay Rowdies 2:2

12.08.2023 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Monterey Bay 4:1

02.10.2022 Monterey Bay - Tampa Bay Rowdies 1:2

Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies

28.09.2025 Loudoun United - Tampa Bay Rowdies 2:2 ✺

20.09.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - North Carolina 2:2 ✺

17.09.2025 Birmingham Legion - Tampa Bay Rowdies 1:4 ✺

13.09.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Colorado Springs Switchbacks 3:3 ✺

06.09.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Sacramento Republic 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Monterey Bay

27.09.2025 Monterey Bay - Sacramento Republic 1:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Monterey Bay - New Mexico United 1:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Monterey Bay - Hartford Athletic 0:4 ✺

06.09.2025 Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Monterey Bay 2:1 ✺

30.08.2025 Oakland Roots - Monterey Bay 1:0 ✺

USL Championship Table

2025

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Louisville City ✔	28	21	6	1	55:19	36	69
2	Charleston ✔	27	18	4	5	59:29	30	58
3	Hartford Athletic ✔	28	13	5	10	46:32	14	44
4	Loudoun ✔	28	12	6	10	44:45	-1	42
5	North Carolina ✔	28	12	5	11	39:39	0	41
6	Pittsburgh ✔	28	11	7	10	29:28	1	40
7	Rhode Island	28	10	7	11	28:27	1	37
8	Detroit	28	9	8	11	31:33	-2	35
9	Indy Eleven	28	9	5	14	41:49	-8	32
10	Tampa Bay	28	8	6	14	39:47	-8	30
11	Birmingham	28	5	12	11	33:45	-12	27
12	Miami FC	28	6	6	16	25:42	-17	24

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Tulsa ✔	28	15	8	5	46:29	17	53
2	Sacramento Republic ✔	28	12	9	7	43:26	17	45
3	New Mexico ✔	28	13	5	10	40:37	3	44
4	El Paso	28	10	10	8	44:39	5	40
5	San Antonio	28	10	7	11	34:35	-1	37
6	Lexington	29	9	9	11	31:39	-8	36
7	Phoenix Rising	28	8	12	8	47:48	-1	36
8	Orange County SC	28	9	8	11	42:44	-2	35
9	Colorado Springs	28	9	7	12	34:44	-10	34
10	Oakland Roots	28	7	7	14	36:49	-13	28
11	Monterey Bay	28	7	7	14	26:41	-15	28
12	Las Vegas Lights	28	6	8	14	22:48	-26	26

Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Hartford Athletic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Loudoun is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Pittsburgh is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )

Which TV channels are streaming of Tampa Bay Rowdies - Monterey Bay?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+