Phoenix Rising vs Monterey Bay: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer USL Championship Phoenix Rising - Monterey Bay
Result
2:0
17/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
  • Referee: Wiseman T. (Usa)
Phoenix Rising - Monterey Bay - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.290.24
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
155
Shots on target
80
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
94
Passes
83% (293/353)87% (383/442)
Yellow Cards
17
Expected Goals (xG)
1.290.24
xG on target (xGOT)
1.270.00
Total shots
155
Shots on target
80
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
133
Shots outside the Box
12
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
249
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1411
Passes
83% (293/353)87% (383/442)
Long passes
45% (17/38)48% (20/42)
Passes in final third
68% (63/92)78% (56/72)
Crosses
10% (2/21)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.740.68
Throw-ins
2819
Fouls
1114
Tackles
78% (14/18)75% (12/16)
Duels won
5242
Clearances
1420
Interceptions
310
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
06
xGOT faced
0.001.27
Goals prevented
0.00-0.73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Guzman C. 🟨,
  • 41', Garcia J. 🟨,
  • 44', Gallaway P. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Fehr M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Gallaway P. , Larsson A. ,
  • 59', Ivanovic L. , Robinson G. ,
  • 60', Okello N. , Ping J. ,
  • 60', Sacko I. , Johnson D. ,
  • 66', 1 - 0, Scearce J. ,
  • 71', Robinson G. 🟨,
  • 75', Sainte C. F. , Flood R. ,
  • 75', Rivera D. , Margaritha J. ,
  • 80', Rebollar A. 🟨,
  • 81', Rebollar A. , Dixon A. ,
  • 86', Fonguck W. , Lyons M. ,
  • 88', 2 - 0, Flood R. , Ping J. (A),
  • 90', Scearce J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Dixon A. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Avayevu H. , Araneda A. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Phoenix Rising
49%
Draw
27.3%
Monterey Bay
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.8% 31.6% 31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1% 31% 32.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Phoenix Rising has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Phoenix Rising's performance.
  • Monterey Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Monterey Bay might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (-12.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Phoenix Rising that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Monterey Bay could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Phoenix Rising - Monterey Bay Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (2.52)
    3.41
    (2.94)
    3.94
    (2.94)
    7.5%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Phoenix Rising won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Monterey Bay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Phoenix Rising will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Phoenix Rising won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.7:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Phoenix Rising won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Phoenix Rising - Monterey Bay were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Monterey Bay - Phoenix Rising 3:1
    04.10.2024 Phoenix Rising - Monterey Bay 1:2
    16.03.2024 Monterey Bay - Phoenix Rising 1:0
    29.07.2023 Monterey Bay - Phoenix Rising 0:2
    15.04.2023 Phoenix Rising - Monterey Bay 1:1
    Latest results of Phoenix Rising
    Latest results of Monterey Bay
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston1181226:121425
    2Louisville City1174017:61125
    3Loudoun1171320:11922
    4North Carolina1162316:11520
    5Detroit1245315:15017
    6Pittsburgh114259:10-114
    7Miami FC1041511:14-313
    8Rhode Island1133510:11-112
    9Indy Eleven1025318:20-211
    10Birmingham1124512:16-410
    11Hartford Athletic101369:17-86
    12Tampa Bay1112810:20-105


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New Mexico1171316:10622
    2FC Tulsa1162314:8620
    3San Antonio1262418:16220
    4El Paso1255221:16520
    5Phoenix Rising1254322:19319
    6Monterey Bay1354415:13219
    7Orange County SC1141614:20-613
    8Sacramento Republic1034315:11413
    9Las Vegas Lights123367:18-1112
    10Colorado Springs1226416:19-312
    11Oakland Roots1232713:22-911
    12Lexington1215611:20-98

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

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    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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