Moncarapachense vs Operário: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Moncarapachense - Operário
Result
3:1
16/03/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 23
Moncarapachense - Operário - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 1', 1 - 0, Fati N. ,
  • 4', 2 - 0, Fati N. ,
  • 13', 3 - 0, Tavinho ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 85', 3 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Moncarapachense
58.4%
Draw
26.6%
Operário
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.5% 20.1% 12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.2% 19.1% 11.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Moncarapachense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moncarapachense's form might have worsened.
  • Operário has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (+12.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Moncarapachense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • Moncarapachense - Operário Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.34)
    3.44
    (4.5)
    6.1
    (7.32)
    9.5%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 and 9).
    • Recent matches Moncarapachense is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Operário is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Moncarapachense is the unquestionable favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Moncarapachense
    02.03.2025 Moncarapachense - Serpa 0:0
    23.02.2025 Moura - Moncarapachense 0:2
    16.02.2025 Moncarapachense - Amora 0:0
    09.02.2025 Lagoa - Moncarapachense 0:0
    Latest results of Operário
    23.02.2025 Operário - Barreirense 0:2
    16.02.2025 Operário - Lusitano GC 0:0
    09.02.2025 Serpa - Operário 4:0
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Table
    Promotion Group

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Guimaraes B632114:11311
    2Paredes623110:739
    3AD Marco 0961326:7-16
    4Leca620410:15-56


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lusitano GC660015:41118
    2Amora62227:708
    3O Elvas CAD61236:11-55
    4Fatima61055:11-63

          Promotion ~ Liga 3

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