Result
1:1
05/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 6
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 26', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 90+2', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Moncarapachense
51.7% | Draw
27.3% | Lagoa
21% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moncarapachense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moncarapachense's form might have worsened.Lagoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Moncarapachense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lagoa than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lagoa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Moncarapachense - Lagoa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↑
(1.57) |
3.36 ↓
(3.4) |
4.37 ↓
(5.5) |
9.1%
(11.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 14 in the zone Relegation).
- Moncarapachense has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Lagoa is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Moncarapachense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Moncarapachense is a strong favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Moncarapachense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
- Including home match between the teams, Moncarapachense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Moncarapachense won against Lagoa?
Moncarapachense has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lagoa won against Moncarapachense?
Lagoa has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Moncarapachense - Lagoa were as follows:
09.02.2025
Lagoa
-
Moncarapachense
0:0
29.09.2024
Moncarapachense
-
Lagoa
2:0
Latest results of Moncarapachense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louletano | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | Malveira | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 11 |
| 3 | Serpa | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Juv. Evora | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Oriental | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Alverca B | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 7 | Sintrense | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
| 8 | O Elvas CAD | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Moncarapachense | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Portimonense B | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
| 11 | Industria | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 | GD Alcochetense | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 13 | Lagoa | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 3 |
| 14 | Vasco da Gama | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6:14 | -8 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
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