Monagas vs Caracas: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Venezuelan Primera Division Monagas - Caracas
Result
2:2
28/09/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga FUTVE - Clausura - Round 12
  • Referee: Bermudez Y. (Ven)
Monagas - Caracas - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.111.46
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
1418
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
57
Passes
78% (185/238)82% (319/391)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.111.46
xG on target (xGOT)
1.791.82
Total shots
1418
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
78
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
611
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
1919
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1414
Passes
78% (185/238)82% (319/391)
Long passes
44% (21/48)57% (25/44)
Passes in final third
62% (49/79)65% (76/117)
Crosses
36% (5/14)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.780.88
Throw-ins
1722
Fouls
1414
Tackles
75% (12/16)73% (11/15)
Duels won
4135
Clearances
2411
Interceptions
163
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.821.79
Goals prevented
-0.18-0.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 31', Gudino I. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 1 - 0, Maitan M. , Caraballo J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 55', Figueroa A. , Aguilar D. ,
  • 55', Vegas M. , Morigi M. ,
  • 58', Lima E. 🟨,
  • 61', Farias E. , Rodriguez R. ,
  • 63', Rodriguez T. 🟨,
  • 69', Tegues D. , Reinoso L. ,
  • 69', Covea M. , Marquez M. ,
  • 71', Castillo D. , Sulbaran Y. ,
  • 72', 1 - 1, Chavez J. ,
  • 80', Natera S. , Welch J. ,
  • 80', Henry N. , Rivero V. ,
  • 80', Basante F. , Requena D. ,
  • 81', 2 - 1, Rodriguez T. , Rodriguez R. (A),
  • 85', Gudino I. , Murillo J. ,
  • 87', 2 - 2, La Mantia F. , Aguilar D. (A),
  • 89', Aguilar D. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Monagas
43%
Draw
29.8%
Caracas
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.8% 31.8% 27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6% 30.5% 26.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monagas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Caracas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monagas than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Monagas - Caracas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.16
    (2.27)
    3.12
    (2.91)
    3.41
    (3.39)
    7.6%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
    • Monagas is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
    • Caracas is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monagas won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Caracas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Monagas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Monagas won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 22:34. (average 1.1:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Monagas won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Monagas - Caracas were as follows:
    18.04.2025 Caracas - Monagas 1:4
    20.09.2024 Caracas - Monagas 1:2
    24.03.2024 Monagas - Caracas 1:1
    28.01.2024 Monagas - Caracas 2:3
    24.06.2023 Caracas - Monagas 2:0
    Latest results of Monagas
    24.09.2025 Carabobo - Monagas 3:1
    20.09.2025 Rayo Zuliano - Monagas 3:1
    17.09.2025 Monagas - Carabobo 1:1
    Latest results of Caracas
    20.09.2025 Caracas - Zamora 2:0
    14.09.2025 Carabobo - Caracas 1:0
    01.09.2025 Caracas - Yaracuyanos 3:1
    Venezuelan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1La Guaira13101229:82131
    2Dep. Tachira1383223:121127
    3Carabobo1374214:8625
    4Monagas1364319:15422
    5Caracas1363417:17021
    6Zamora1361611:15-419
    7Puerto Cabello1346312:10218
    8Metropolitanos1352621:19217
    9Universidad Central1352619:18117
    10Estudiantes Merida1351711:16-516
    11Rayo Zuliano1341810:19-913
    12Anzoategui FC1332810:18-811
    13Yaracuyanos1331911:21-1010
    14Portuguesa1331910:21-117

          Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )

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