Caracas vs Monagas: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Venezuelan Primera Division Caracas - Monagas
Result
1:4
18/04/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga FUTVE - Apertura - Round 12
  • Referee: Cueva R. (Ven)
Caracas - Monagas - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.461.91
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
51
Passes
83% (417/502)76% (217/284)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.461.91
xG on target (xGOT)
1.192.42
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
102
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
136
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
3510
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
713
Passes
83% (417/502)76% (217/284)
Long passes
48% (20/42)40% (21/53)
Passes in final third
73% (127/174)60% (46/77)
Crosses
57% (13/23)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.870.47
Fouls
137
Tackles
73% (8/11)85% (17/20)
Duels won
4053
Clearances Total
1019
Interceptions
1511
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
2.421.19
Goals prevented
-1.580.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 29', 0 - 1, Romero A. ,
  • 35', Romero A. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Navas E. , Gallardo E. ,
  • 46', Natera S. , Macelli A. ,
  • 46', Rodriguez R. , Basante F. ,
  • 51', Olivares R. 🟨,
  • 56', 1 - 1, De Santis J. , Covea M. (A),
  • 60', Basante F. 🟨,
  • 63', Covea M. , Figueroa A. ,
  • 65', Rodriguez B. 🟨,
  • 68', 1 - 2, Rivero V. , Gallardo E. (A),
  • 71', Hernandez J. , Rondon J. ,
  • 71', Vegas M. , Rivillo D. ,
  • 73', 1 - 3, Caraballo J. , Rodriguez T. (A),
  • 81', Rito E. , Correa W. ,
  • 81', Mago L. , Jimenez N. ,
  • 81', 1 - 4, Caraballo J. , Rodriguez T. (A),
  • 85', De Santis J. 🟨,
  • 88', Caraballo J. , Lovera J. ,
  • 88', Rodriguez T. , Ramos G. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Caracas
37.6%
Draw
30%
Monagas
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.1% 30.7% 26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9% 31.3% 25.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Caracas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caracas's form might have worsened.
  • Monagas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Monagas's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caracas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monagas than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Monagas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Caracas - Monagas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.46
    (2.13)
    3.08
    (3)
    2.86
    (3.52)
    8.1%
    (8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Caracas - Monagas?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 10 and 11).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Caracas won 3.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Monagas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Caracas won 11 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 33:20 (average 1.7:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Caracas won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17:8 (average 1.9:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Caracas - Monagas were as follows:
    20.09.2024 Caracas - Monagas 1:2
    24.03.2024 Monagas - Caracas 1:1
    28.01.2024 Monagas - Caracas 2:3
    24.06.2023 Caracas - Monagas 2:0
    20.05.2023 Monagas - Caracas 0:2
    Latest results of Caracas
    13.04.2025 Zamora - Caracas 3:0
    08.04.2025 Caracas - Cienciano 2:2
    05.04.2025 Caracas - Carabobo 0:1
    01.04.2025 Deportes Iquique - Caracas 1:2
    27.03.2025 Yaracuyanos - Caracas 3:3
    Latest results of Monagas
    10.04.2025 Monagas - Rayo Zuliano 3:2
    30.03.2025 Metropolitanos - Monagas 2:2
    14.03.2025 Monagas - Zamora 2:1
    08.03.2025 Carabobo - Monagas 1:0
    Venezuelan Primera Division Table
    Apertura - Quadrangular

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1La Guaira11002:113
    2Universidad Central10104:401
    3Anzoategui FC10104:401
    4Portuguesa10011:2-10


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Carabobo11003:123
    2Dep. Tachira11002:113
    3Puerto Cabello10011:2-10
    4Metropolitanos10011:3-20

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