Monagas vs Carabobo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Venezuelan Primera Division Monagas - Carabobo
Result
2:0
16/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga FUTVE - Clausura - Round 7
Monagas - Carabobo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.860.92
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
1416
Shots on target
84
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
412
Passes
74% (207/280)82% (359/436)
Yellow Cards
65
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.860.92
xG on target (xGOT)
2.160.62
Total shots
1416
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
811
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
412
Touches in opposition box
1830
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
816
Passes
74% (207/280)82% (359/436)
Long passes
52% (34/66)62% (36/58)
Passes in final third
57% (46/81)73% (114/156)
Crosses
8% (1/12)9% (3/33)
Expected assists (xA)
0.310.45
Throw-ins
1126
Fouls
1710
Tackles
92% (12/13)82% (9/11)
Duels won
3440
Clearances
3214
Interceptions
84
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
46
xGOT faced
0.622.16
Goals prevented
0.620.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Caraballo J. 🟨,
  • 33', Bruera L. 🟨,
  • 37', Perez G. 🟨,
  • 41', Iniguez E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Castillo D. , Villalobos J. ,
  • 46', Contreras A. , Natera S. ,
  • 46', Perez G. , Rodriguez R. ,
  • 46', Henry N. 🟨,
  • 47', 1 - 0, Rodriguez T. , Henry N. (A),
  • 51', Gonzalez G. 🟨,
  • 56', Gonzalez G. , Tortolero E. ,
  • 56', Berrios J. , Alegria J. ,
  • 65', Perez J. , Del Valle Y. ,
  • 72', Rodriguez L. , Basante F. ,
  • 79', Londono F. , Robert Hernandez ,
  • 79', Pernia M. , Guaramato M. ,
  • 80', Rodriguez T. , Navas E. ,
  • 80', Villalobos J. 🟨,
  • 86', 2 - 0, Basante F. ,
  • 87', Basante F. 🟨,
  • 88', Robert Hernandez 🟨,
  • 89', 🟨,
  • 90+9', 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Monagas
31%
Draw
33.5%
Carabobo
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.2% 30.5% 41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8% 29% 43.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monagas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Carabobo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carabobo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monagas than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carabobo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Monagas - Carabobo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.98
    (3.25)
    2.76
    (3)
    2.6
    (2.22)
    8.1%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monagas won 0.
    • Monagas is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Carabobo is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Monagas won 3 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:29. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Monagas won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.1:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Monagas - Carabobo were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Carabobo - Monagas 1:0
    13.11.2024 Carabobo - Monagas 1:0
    30.10.2024 Monagas - Carabobo 1:1
    08.08.2024 Carabobo - Monagas 0:0
    18.02.2024 Monagas - Carabobo 0:0
    Latest results of Monagas
    Latest results of Carabobo
    09.08.2025 Carabobo - Zamora 1:0
    06.08.2025 Carabobo - Dynamo Puerto 5:0
    02.08.2025 Carabobo - Metropolitanos 0:0
    29.07.2025 Dynamo Puerto - Carabobo 0:1
    24.07.2025 Yaracuyanos - Carabobo 1:2
    Venezuelan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1La Guaira870120:61421
    2Carabobo852111:5617
    3Dep. Tachira852113:9417
    4Monagas842210:8214
    5Caracas84229:8114
    6Puerto Cabello82519:7211
    7Universidad Central832310:10011
    8Estudiantes Merida83147:8-110
    9Zamora83147:10-310
    10Rayo Zuliano83147:11-410
    11Anzoategui FC82065:12-76
    12Metropolitanos812510:15-55
    13Portuguesa82156:10-44
    14Yaracuyanos81165:10-54

          Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )

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