Monagas vs Carabobo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Copa Venezuela Monagas - Carabobo
Result
1:1
17/09/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Venezuela - Play Offs - Semi-finals
Monagas - Carabobo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Yellow Cards
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Diaz F. , Berrios J. ,
  • 46', Calabrese S. , Alegria J. ,
  • 46', Fuenmayor A. , Rivero V. ,
  • 46', Rodriguez R. , Rodriguez T. ,
  • 56', Gil A. , Henry N. ,
  • 62', Natera S. 🟨,
  • 63', Berrios J. 🟨,
  • 63', 🟨,
  • 65', Natera S. , Caraballo J. ,
  • 65', 0 - 1, Alegria J. ,
  • 68', Lucena A. , Orozco Y. ,
  • 74', Ramirez C. , Farias E. ,
  • 78', 1 - 1, Caraballo J. ,
  • 84', Bahachille A. , Crespo E. ,
  • 84', Lopez F. , Ramos Rodriguez C. I. ,
  • 90+6', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Monagas
37%
Draw
30.9%
Carabobo
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.5% 29.9% 38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3% 30.1% 38.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monagas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Monagas's performance.
  • Carabobo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carabobo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monagas than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Monagas that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carabobo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Monagas - Carabobo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.48
    (2.85)
    2.97
    (3)
    2.87
    (2.33)
    8.9%
    (11.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Monagas - Carabobo?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Monagas will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Carabobo will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Carabobo (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monagas won 1.
    • Both teams have triumphed in their latest matches.
    • Monagas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Monagas won 4 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:29. (average 1.1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Monagas won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.4:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Monagas - Carabobo were as follows:
    16.08.2025 Monagas - Carabobo 2:0
    08.03.2025 Carabobo - Monagas 1:0
    13.11.2024 Carabobo - Monagas 1:0
    30.10.2024 Monagas - Carabobo 1:1
    08.08.2024 Carabobo - Monagas 0:0
    Latest results of Monagas
    30.08.2025 Monagas - Metropolitanos 2:0
    23.08.2025 Zamora - Monagas 2:3
    Latest results of Carabobo
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1FronteraLa Guaira0 : 2, 0 : 1
    2CaracasMetropolitanos2 : 2, 2 : 0
    3BarquisimetoUniversidad Central2 : 2, 0 : 1
    4MaritimoAnzoategui FC2 : 3, 0 : 0
    5Dynamo PuertoCarabobo0 : 5, 0 : 1
    6Estudiantes MeridaPortuguesa0 : 1, 2 : 2
    7Rayo ZulianoDep. Tachira1 : 4, 0 : 2
    8MonagasPuerto Cabello3 : 2, 2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1La GuairaCaracas1 : 0, 1 : 0
    2Universidad CentralAnzoategui FC1 : 1, 4 : 2
    3CaraboboPortuguesa5 : 0, 1 : 1
    4Dep. TachiraMonagas0 : 1, 0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1La GuairaUniversidad Central1 : 1, 0 : 2
    2CaraboboMonagas1 : 1

    Final
    1Universidad CentralTBD #2
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