Modena vs Sassuolo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

12/04/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadio Alberto Braglia (Modena).

: Serie B - Round 33
Referee: Santoro A. (Ita)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.80	0.96
Ball Possession
54%	46%
Total shots
13	11
Shots on target
7	4
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
6	1
Passes
88% (461/521)	87% (390/447)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80	0.96
xG on target (xGOT)
1.85	1.67
Total shots
13	11
Shots on target
7	4
Shots off target
5	5
Blocked Shots
1	2
Shots inside the Box
6	4
Shots outside the Box
7	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
6	1
Touches in opposition box
19	21
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
8	10
Passes
88% (461/521)	87% (390/447)
Long passes
63% (31/49)	29% (9/31)
Passes in final third
76% (103/136)	77% (96/125)
Crosses
18% (3/17)	13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.72	0.55
Fouls
10	8
Tackles
60% (6/10)	82% (9/11)
Duels won
34	38
Clearances Total
11	30
Interceptions
9	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	6
xGOT faced
1.67	1.85
Goals prevented
-1.33	0.55

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Romagna F. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Berardi D. ⚽,
40', Iannoni E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
59', Boloca D. ↓, Obiang P. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Santoro S. ⚽, Caso G. (A),
64', 1 - 2, Lauriente A. ⚽, Toljan J. (A),
67', Magnino L. 🟨,
73', Cotali M. ↓, Idrissi R. ↑,
73', Gliozzi E. ↓, Defrel G. ↑,
76', 1 - 3, Moro L. ⚽, Iannoni E. (A),
77', Moro L. 🟨,
79', Zaro G. 🟨,
81', Caso G. ↓, Bozhanaj K. ↑,
81', Lauriente A. ↓, Pierini N. ↑,
81', Ghion A. ↓, Lipani L. ↑,
82', Di Pardo A. ↓, Kamate I. ↑,
86', Berardi D. ↓, Verdi S. ↑,
87', Moro L. ↓, Mulattieri S. ↑,
87', Gerli F. ↓, Battistella T. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/p48w6z4z

Chances of winning

Modena
30.2%

Draw
29%

Sassuolo
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

29.3%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

29.2%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Sassuolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Modena - Sassuolo Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.98)	3.22 ↑ (3.2)	2.32 ↓ (2.38)	6.8% (6.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Modena - Sassuolo?

The most likely score is 1:1.

Preview Facts

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Modena won 2.
Recent matches Modena is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Sassuolo is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Modena: Beyuku G. (Inactive) Dellavalle A. (Injury) Pergreffi A. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Sassuolo: Mazzitelli L. (Injury) Skjellerup L. (Injury) Thorstvedt K. (Injury)
Last 6 head-to-head matches Modena won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:9 (average 0.8:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Modena won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3 (average 2.5:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Modena won against Sassuolo?

Modena has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Sassuolo won against Modena?

Sassuolo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Modena - Sassuolo were as follows:

26.10.2024 Sassuolo - Modena 2:0

Latest results of Modena

05.04.2025 Pisa - Modena 1:2 ✺

29.03.2025 Modena - Catanzaro 2:1 ✺

15.03.2025 Juve Stabia - Modena 2:1 ✺

08.03.2025 Salernitana - Modena 1:0 ✺

02.03.2025 Modena - Nuova Cosenza 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Sassuolo

06.04.2025 Palermo - Sassuolo 5:3 ✺

29.03.2025 Sassuolo - Reggiana 5:1 ✺

15.03.2025 Cittadella - Sassuolo 1:2 ✺

09.03.2025 Sassuolo - Bari 1:1 ✺

01.03.2025 Sassuolo - Pisa 1:0 ✺

Italian Serie B Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sassuolo ✔	37	25	7	5	78:37	41	82
2	Pisa ✔	37	22	7	8	62:35	27	73
3	Spezia ✔	37	16	15	6	56:32	24	63
4	Cremonese ✔	37	16	13	8	61:42	19	61
5	Juve Stabia ✔	37	14	12	11	42:41	1	54
6	Catanzaro ✔	37	11	19	7	51:45	6	52
7	Palermo ✔	37	14	9	14	51:42	9	51
8	Cesena ✔	37	13	11	13	45:47	-2	50
9	Bari	37	10	17	10	41:40	1	47
10	Modena	37	10	15	12	48:49	-1	45
11	Sudtirol	37	12	9	16	50:57	-7	45
12	Reggiana	37	11	11	15	41:50	-9	44
13	Carrarese	37	11	11	15	38:48	-10	44
14	Mantova	37	10	13	14	47:56	-9	43
15	Brescia	37	8	16	13	40:47	-7	40
16	Sampdoria	37	8	16	13	38:49	-11	40
17	Frosinone	37	8	16	13	36:50	-14	40
18	Salernitana	37	10	9	18	35:47	-12	39
19	Cittadella	37	10	9	18	30:54	-24	39
20	Cosenza ✔	37	7	13	17	31:53	-22	30

      Promotion ~ Serie A
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Serie B (Play Out: )
      Relegation

Clinched Spots for Teams

Sassuolo is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Serie A
Pisa is Qualified for Serie A
Spezia is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Semi~finals)
Cremonese is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Semi~finals)
Juve Stabia is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Palermo is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Cesena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Cosenza is Relegated to

Which TV channels are streaming of Modena - Sassuolo?

It is being streamed on channel


Italy	DAZN Italia