Modena vs Catanzaro: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie B Modena - Catanzaro
Result
2:1
29/03/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B - Round 31
  • Referee: Perenzoni D. (Ita)
Modena - Catanzaro - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.541.09
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
80% (251/315)90% (449/499)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
0.541.09
xG on target (xGOT)
0.850.86
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
37
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
1417
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
815
Passes
80% (251/315)90% (449/499)
Long passes
38% (18/47)55% (22/40)
Passes in final third
69% (66/96)77% (125/162)
Crosses
15% (2/13)13% (4/30)
Expected assists (xA)
0.421.29
Fouls
158
Tackles
67% (4/6)75% (3/4)
Duels won
3031
Clearances Total
3722
Interceptions
410
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.860.85
Goals prevented
-0.14-1.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 25', Magnino L. 🟨,
  • 33', 1 - 0, Magnino L. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Quagliata G. , Compagnon M. ,
  • 46', Situm M. , Cassandro T. ,
  • 46', Mendes P. , Gliozzi E. ,
  • 51', Gliozzi E. 🟨,
  • 59', Buso N. , Pittarello F. ,
  • 60', Caso G. , Duca E. ,
  • 62', 1 - 1, Iemmello P. , Scognamillo S. (A),
  • 67', 2 - 1, Gliozzi E. , Palumbo A. (A),
  • 74', Cassandro T. 🟨,
  • 75', Santoro S. , Beyuku G. ,
  • 75', Di Pardo A. , Battistella T. ,
  • 75', Ilie R. , Seck D. ,
  • 79', Cotali M. 🟨,
  • 83', Brighenti N. , Biasci T. ,
  • 84', Cotali M. , Idrissi R. ,
  • 90+1', Cauz C. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Modena
45.8%
Draw
29.7%
Catanzaro
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.2% 29.3% 24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6% 31.5% 22.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • The chances for Catanzaro have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Modena - Catanzaro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (2.03)
    3.15
    (3.2)
    3.83
    (3.83)
    6.6%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Modena - Catanzaro?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Modena will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Catanzaro will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 13.8%69.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Recent matches Modena is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Catanzaro is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Modena will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Modena: Di Pardo A. (Thigh Injury) Pergreffi A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Catanzaro: La Mantia A. (Inactive)
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Modena won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:7 (average 2:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Modena won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 2:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Modena - Catanzaro were as follows:
    06.10.2024 Catanzaro - Modena 2:2
    12.04.2024 Modena - Catanzaro 1:3
    04.11.2023 Catanzaro - Modena 1:2
    Latest results of Modena
    15.03.2025 Juve Stabia - Modena 2:1
    08.03.2025 Salernitana - Modena 1:0
    02.03.2025 Modena - Nuova Cosenza 1:1
    22.02.2025 Cittadella - Modena 0:2
    15.02.2025 Modena - Spezia 1:1
    Latest results of Catanzaro
    08.03.2025 Cremonese - Catanzaro 4:0
    02.03.2025 Catanzaro - Reggiana 1:1
    23.02.2025 Spezia - Catanzaro 0:1
    14.02.2025 Catanzaro - Cittadella 1:0
    08.02.2025 Frosinone - Catanzaro 1:1
    Draw
    Play Out

    Final
    1Salernitana (16)Sampdoria (17)0 : 2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Modena - Catanzaro?
    It is being streamed on channel
    italyItalyDAZN Italia
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