Carrarese vs Modena: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie B Carrarese - Modena
Result
2:1
04/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B - Round 37
  • Referee: Perri M. (Ita)
Carrarese - Modena - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.101.56
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
717
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
06
Passes
72% (181/252)87% (395/454)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.101.56
xG on target (xGOT)
1.391.21
Total shots
717
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
29
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
37
Shots outside the Box
410
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
06
Touches in opposition box
920
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1620
Passes
72% (181/252)87% (395/454)
Long passes
30% (18/61)55% (21/38)
Passes in final third
48% (30/63)78% (143/183)
Crosses
29% (2/7)16% (4/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.291.38
Throw-ins
1516
Fouls
2016
Tackles
50% (7/14)88% (7/8)
Duels won
4643
Clearances
239
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.211.39
Goals prevented
0.21-0.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 21', Fiorillo V. 🟥,
  • 23', Torregrossa E. , Ravaglia N. ,
  • 42', 1 - 0, Schiavi N. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 52', Cotali M. 🟨,
  • 59', Bozhanaj K. , Caso G. ,
  • 60', Cotali M. , Duca E. ,
  • 63', 1 - 1, Gliozzi E. (Pen),
  • 64', Santoro S. 🟨,
  • 65', Zuelli E. , Milanese T. ,
  • 66', Zanon S. , Bouah D. ,
  • 68', Santoro S. , Defrel G. ,
  • 68', Di Pardo A. , Idrissi R. ,
  • 80', Cicconi M. 🟨,
  • 81', Kamate I. 🟨,
  • 84', Kamate I. , Oliva M. ,
  • 86', Schiavi N. , Melegoni F. ,
  • 86', Finotto M. , Shpendi S. ,
  • 88', 2 - 1, Illanes J. , Cicconi M. (A),
  • 90', Illanes J. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Oliva M. 🟥,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Carrarese
38%
Draw
33.5%
Modena
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.1% 30.4% 27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43% 29.8% 26.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modena than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Carrarese - Modena Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.49
    (2.23)
    2.8
    (3.09)
    3.3
    (3.42)
    6.3%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Carrarese - Modena?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Carrarese will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Carrarese: 29.6%90.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 9).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Carrarese: Imperiale M. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Modena: Battistella T. (Injury) Caldara M. (Inactive) Dellavalle A. (Injury) Mendes P. (Red Card) Palumbo A. (Yellow Cards)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Carrarese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Carrarese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carrarese - Modena were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Modena - Carrarese 2:0
    Latest results of Carrarese
    01.05.2025 Sassuolo - Carrarese 2:0
    25.04.2025 Carrarese - Sampdoria 1:0
    12.04.2025 Carrarese - Catanzaro 2:2
    05.04.2025 Cittadella - Carrarese 0:0
    30.03.2025 Carrarese - Bari 2:1
    Latest results of Modena
    01.05.2025 Modena - Reggiana 2:3
    25.04.2025 Bari - Modena 1:2
    12.04.2025 Modena - Sassuolo 1:3
    05.04.2025 Pisa - Modena 1:2
    29.03.2025 Modena - Catanzaro 2:1
    Italian Serie B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cesena11003:123
    2Empoli11003:123
    3Frosinone11002:023
    4Carrarese11002:023
    5Venezia11002:113
    6Palermo11002:113
    7Monza11001:013
    8Juve Stabia10101:101
    9Sudtirol10101:101
    10Catanzaro10101:101
    11Entella10101:101
    12Modena00000:000
    13Sampdoria00000:000
    14Bari10011:2-10
    15Reggiana10011:2-10
    16Mantova10010:1-10
    17Padova10011:3-20
    18Pescara10011:3-20
    19Avellino10010:2-20
    20Spezia10010:2-20

          Promotion ~ Serie A
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Serie B (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Which TV channels are streaming of Carrarese - Modena?
    It is being streamed on channel
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