Carrarese vs Modena: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie B Carrarese - Modena
Result
2:1
04/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B - Round 37
  • Referee: Perri M. (Ita)
Carrarese - Modena - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.101.56
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
717
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
06
Passes
72% (181/252)87% (395/454)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.101.56
xG on target (xGOT)
1.391.21
Total shots
717
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
29
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
37
Shots outside the Box
410
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
06
Touches in opposition box
920
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1620
Passes
72% (181/252)87% (395/454)
Long passes
30% (18/61)55% (21/38)
Passes in final third
48% (30/63)78% (143/183)
Crosses
29% (2/7)16% (4/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.291.38
Throw-ins
1516
Fouls
2016
Tackles
50% (7/14)88% (7/8)
Duels won
4643
Clearances
239
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.211.39
Goals prevented
0.21-0.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 21', Fiorillo V. 🟥,
  • 23', Torregrossa E. , Ravaglia N. ,
  • 42', 1 - 0, Schiavi N. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 52', Cotali M. 🟨,
  • 59', Bozhanaj K. , Caso G. ,
  • 60', Cotali M. , Duca E. ,
  • 63', 1 - 1, Gliozzi E. (Pen),
  • 64', Santoro S. 🟨,
  • 65', Zuelli E. , Milanese T. ,
  • 66', Zanon S. , Bouah D. ,
  • 68', Santoro S. , Defrel G. ,
  • 68', Di Pardo A. , Idrissi R. ,
  • 80', Cicconi M. 🟨,
  • 81', Kamate I. 🟨,
  • 84', Kamate I. , Oliva M. ,
  • 86', Schiavi N. , Melegoni F. ,
  • 86', Finotto M. , Shpendi S. ,
  • 88', 2 - 1, Illanes J. , Cicconi M. (A),
  • 90', Illanes J. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Oliva M. 🟥,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Carrarese
38%
Draw
33.5%
Modena
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.1% 30.4% 27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43% 29.8% 26.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modena than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Carrarese - Modena Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.49
    (2.23)
    2.8
    (3.09)
    3.3
    (3.42)
    6.3%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Carrarese - Modena?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 9).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Carrarese: Imperiale M. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Modena: Battistella T. (Injury) Caldara M. (Inactive) Dellavalle A. (Injury) Mendes P. (Red Card) Palumbo A. (Yellow Cards)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Carrarese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Carrarese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carrarese - Modena were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Modena - Carrarese 2:0
    Latest results of Carrarese
    01.05.2025 Sassuolo - Carrarese 2:0
    25.04.2025 Carrarese - Sampdoria 1:0
    12.04.2025 Carrarese - Catanzaro 2:2
    05.04.2025 Cittadella - Carrarese 0:0
    30.03.2025 Carrarese - Bari 2:1
    Latest results of Modena
    01.05.2025 Modena - Reggiana 2:3
    25.04.2025 Bari - Modena 1:2
    12.04.2025 Modena - Sassuolo 1:3
    05.04.2025 Pisa - Modena 1:2
    29.03.2025 Modena - Catanzaro 2:1
    Italian Serie B Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sassuolo ✔ 37257578:374182
    2Pisa ✔ 37227862:352773
    3Spezia ✔ 371615656:322463
    4Cremonese ✔ 371613861:421961
    5Juve Stabia ✔ 3714121142:41154
    6Catanzaro ✔ 371119751:45652
    7Palermo ✔ 371491451:42951
    8Cesena ✔ 3713111345:47-250
    9Bari3710171041:40147
    10Modena3710151248:49-145
    11Sudtirol371291650:57-745
    12Reggiana3711111541:50-944
    13Carrarese3711111538:48-1044
    14Mantova3710131447:56-943
    15Brescia378161340:47-740
    16Sampdoria378161338:49-1140
    17Frosinone378161336:50-1440
    18Salernitana371091835:47-1239
    19Cittadella371091830:54-2439
    20Cosenza ✔ 377131731:53-2230

          Promotion ~ Serie A
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Serie B (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sassuolo is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Serie A
    Pisa is Qualified for Serie A
    Spezia is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    Cremonese is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    Juve Stabia is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Palermo is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Cesena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Cosenza is Relegated to
    Which TV channels are streaming of Carrarese - Modena?
    It is being streamed on channel
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