Modena vs Brescia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie B Modena - Brescia
Result
2:2
09/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie B - Round 38
  • Referee: Santoro A. (Ita)
Modena - Brescia - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.961.35
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1215
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
21
Passes
81% (321/398)81% (339/419)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
0.961.35
xG on target (xGOT)
0.411.44
Total shots
1215
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
68
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
21
Touches in opposition box
1520
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1017
Passes
81% (321/398)81% (339/419)
Long passes
33% (18/55)65% (35/54)
Passes in final third
73% (88/121)67% (90/134)
Crosses
38% (3/8)38% (5/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.000.87
Throw-ins
2421
Fouls
1710
Tackles
69% (9/13)82% (9/11)
Duels won
4346
Clearances
2416
Interceptions
124
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.440.41
Goals prevented
0.44-1.59

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 17', Adorni D. 🟨,
  • 25', 0 - 1, Cauz C. (Own goal),
  • 28', 1 - 1, Caso G. , Di Pardo A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 67', 2 - 1, Di Pardo A. , Zaro G. (A),
  • 68', Di Pardo A. 🟨,
  • 75', Besaggio M. , Nuamah P. ,
  • 75', Bianchi F. , Moncini G. ,
  • 76', Gliozzi E. , Defrel G. ,
  • 76', Di Pardo A. , Ponsi F. ,
  • 77', Palumbo A. 🟨,
  • 84', Galazzi N. , D'Andrea L. ,
  • 84', Jallow A. , Cistana A. ,
  • 85', Cotali M. , Dellavalle A. ,
  • 85', Caso G. 🟨,
  • 85', Caso G. , Duca E. ,
  • 87', Corrado N. , Olzer G. ,
  • 88', Beyuku G. 🟨,
  • 89', 2 - 2, Calvani G. , Bisoli D. (A),
  • 90+3', Palumbo A. , Kamate I. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Modena
38.8%
Draw
32.5%
Brescia
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.9% 31.2% 26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7% 29.9% 25.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Brescia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Modena - Brescia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.42
    (2.24)
    2.88
    (3.01)
    3.29
    (3.48)
    6.5%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Modena - Brescia?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Modena won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Modena is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Modena: Battistella T. (Injury) Caldara M. (Inactive) Oliva M. (Red Card) Santoro S. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Brescia: Dickmann L. (Yellow Cards) Fogliata R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Brescia: Bertagnoli M. (Injury)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Modena won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Modena won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.8:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Modena - Brescia were as follows:
    26.12.2024 Brescia - Modena 3:3
    13.01.2024 Modena - Brescia 1:2
    24.10.2023 Brescia - Modena 0:1
    11.02.2023 Brescia - Modena 0:1
    10.09.2022 Modena - Brescia 1:3
    Latest results of Modena
    04.05.2025 Carrarese - Modena 2:1
    01.05.2025 Modena - Reggiana 2:3
    25.04.2025 Bari - Modena 1:2
    12.04.2025 Modena - Sassuolo 1:3
    05.04.2025 Pisa - Modena 1:2
    Latest results of Brescia
    04.05.2025 Brescia - Juve Stabia 0:0
    01.05.2025 Cittadella - Brescia 0:1
    25.04.2025 Brescia - Pisa 1:2
    12.04.2025 Nuova Cosenza - Brescia 1:1
    05.04.2025 Brescia - Mantova 1:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Spezia (3)Bye
    2Catanzaro (6)Cesena (7)1 : 0
    3Cremonese (4)Bye
    4Juve Stabia (5)Palermo (8)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Spezia (3)Catanzaro (6)
    2Cremonese (4)Juve Stabia (5)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Modena - Brescia?
    It is being streamed on channel
    italyItalyDAZN Italia
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