Result
1:3
09/08/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Allsvenskan - Round 19
- Referee: Karlsson K. (Swe)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.58 | 0.82 |
Ball Possession |
---|
54% | 46% |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
82% (415/505) | 82% (361/438) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.58 | 0.82 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.68 | 0.90 |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
8 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
13 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
38 | 24 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
2 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
82% (415/505) | 82% (361/438) |
Long passes |
---|
38% (21/55) | 45% (20/44) |
Passes in final third |
---|
69% (115/167) | 76% (69/91) |
Crosses |
---|
35% (8/23) | 33% (4/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.79 | 0.81 |
Throw-ins |
---|
26 | 15 |
Fouls |
---|
9 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
65% (15/23) | 72% (21/29) |
Duels won |
---|
52 | 60 |
Clearances |
---|
13 | 33 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
2 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.90 | 1.68 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-2.10 | 0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', Iqbal A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 50', 0 - 1, Johansson H. ⚽, Iqbal A. (A),
- 58', 0 - 2, Stroud E. ⚽, Manneh A. (A),
- 59', Stryger J. ↓, Skogmar A. ↑,
- 59', Sigurdsson A. ↓, Gudjohnsen D. T. ↑,
- 63', Johansson H. ↓, Stavitski T. ↑,
- 63', Stryger J. 🟨,
- 65', Rosengren O. ↓, Busuladzic K. ↑,
- 65', Johnsen L. ↓, Karlsson J. ↑,
- 67', Busanello 🟨,
- 70', 1 - 2, Busuladzic K. ⚽, Gudjohnsen D. T. (A),
- 72', Gustavsson J. 🟨,
- 74', Manneh A. ↓, Charles U. ↑,
- 74', Thorell L. ↓, Kjaer J. ↑,
- 79', Bergstrom J. 🟨,
- 79', Pettersson T. ↓, Tchouante C. ↑,
- 80', Bergstrom J. ↓, Johansson A. ↑,
- 81', Djuric A. ↓, Holmquist S. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 3, Gustafson V. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Malmö 47.2% | Draw 27.3% | Mjällby 25.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Mjällby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Malmö, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mjällby than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Malmö - Mjällby Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.02 ↑ (1.87) |
3.43 ↓ (3.66) |
3.65 ↓ (3.98) |
6.1% (5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Malmö - Mjällby?
Users Predictions:
31 users predict this event. Malmö will win (votes: 23 - 74.2%). Mjällby will win (votes: 3 - 9.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 16.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Malmö: 58.8% – 89.6%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 75%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Malmö will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 1.
- In recent matches, both teams have secured multiple victories.
- Malmö may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Malmö is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Malmö: Bolin H.
(Yellow Cards)
Botheim E.
(Broken Leg)
Dahlin J.
(Knee Injury)
Holmquist S.
(Back Injury)
Lajqi G.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Malmö: Christiansen A.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Mjällby: Isaksson M.
(Inactive)
Miettinen T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:19. (average 1.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Malmö won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Malmö won against Mjällby?
Malmö has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mjällby won against Malmö?
Mjällby has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Malmö - Mjällby were as follows:
30.06.2025
Mjällby
-
Malmö
1:1
29.09.2024
Malmö
-
Mjällby
2:0
13.07.2024
Mjällby
-
Malmö
2:1
14.08.2023
Mjällby
-
Malmö
1:0
09.07.2023
Malmö
-
Mjällby
1:2
Latest results of Mjällby
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Mjallby | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 38:15 | 23 | 46 |
2 | Hammarby | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 36:16 | 20 | 42 |
3 | Elfsborg | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 33:23 | 10 | 35 |
4 | AIK | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 24:16 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Malmo FF | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 29:17 | 12 | 33 |
6 | GAIS | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 29:15 | 14 | 32 |
7 | Goteborg | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 27:26 | 1 | 28 |
8 | Djurgarden | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 22:19 | 3 | 27 |
9 | Brommapojkarna | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 30:30 | 0 | 23 |
10 | Hacken | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26:33 | -7 | 23 |
11 | Norrkoping | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 29:37 | -8 | 19 |
12 | Halmstad | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 15:36 | -21 | 18 |
13 | Sirius | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 24:31 | -7 | 17 |
14 | Oster | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 14:25 | -11 | 15 |
15 | Degerfors | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 18:39 | -21 | 15 |
16 | Varnamo | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 17:33 | -16 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
Which TV channels are streaming of Malmö - Mjällby?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
China | ZhiBo8 |
Finland | HBO Max, Veikkaus TV |
Sweden | Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 1, TV4 Play |