Mjällby vs Elfsborg: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Swedish Allsvenskan Mjällby - Elfsborg
Result
2:0
04/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Allsvenskan - Round 26
  • Referee: Johnson O. (Swe)
Mjällby - Elfsborg - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.250.19
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
166
Shots on target
90
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
126
Passes
82% (383/469)80% (323/403)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.250.19
xG on target (xGOT)
2.050.00
Total shots
166
Shots on target
90
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
132
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
126
Touches in opposition box
2413
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
188
Passes
82% (383/469)80% (323/403)
Long passes
52% (27/52)38% (20/53)
Passes in final third
74% (105/141)60% (52/87)
Crosses
36% (9/25)12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.470.18
Throw-ins
2123
Fouls
818
Tackles
70% (7/10)43% (6/14)
Duels won
4232
Clearances
2232
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
06
xGOT faced
0.002.05
Goals prevented
0.000.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 34', Gustafson V. 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 0, Bergstrom J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 59', 2 - 0, Pettersson T. , Gustafson V. (A),
  • 64', Ostman L. , Frick P. ,
  • 64', Aronsson F. , Sigurpalsson A. ,
  • 66', Stavitski T. , Kjaer J. ,
  • 66', Arrhenius R. , Thorell L. ,
  • 77', Wenderson , Hellemaa A. ,
  • 77', Zeneli A. , Rapp G. ,
  • 85', Magnusson J. , Ihler F. ,
  • 86', Gustafson V. , Petersson A. ,
  • 86', Manneh A. , Johansson A. ,
  • 90+1', Ihler F. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Wikstrom R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Mjällby
60.1%
Draw
24.6%
Elfsborg
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.4% 22.6% 22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1% 21.2% 20.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mjällby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • Elfsborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elfsborg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mjällby than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elfsborg than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elfsborg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mjällby - Elfsborg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.67)
    4.03
    (4.1)
    7.12
    (4.2)
    0.9%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Mjällby - Elfsborg?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mjällby (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Users Predictions: Mjällby will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.41%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mjällby won 1.
    • Mjällby has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Elfsborg is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Mjällby is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Mjällby: Charles U. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Elfsborg: Holmen S. (Knee Injury) Hult N. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Mjällby: Miettinen T. (Inactive)
    • We predict that Mjällby will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Mjällby won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:28. (average 1.2:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mjällby won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.4:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mjällby - Elfsborg were as follows:
    19.06.2025 Elfsborg - Mjällby 0:1
    30.03.2025 Elfsborg - Mjällby 2:2
    18.08.2024 Mjällby - Elfsborg 1:1
    21.07.2024 Elfsborg - Mjällby 3:1
    20.08.2023 Elfsborg - Mjällby 2:0
    Latest results of Mjällby
    28.09.2025 Brommapojkarna - Mjällby 0:1
    20.09.2025 Mjällby - Öster 1:1
    13.09.2025 Degerfors - Mjällby 0:1
    30.08.2025 Mjällby - Halmstad 1:0
    25.08.2025 GAIS - Mjällby 0:2
    Latest results of Elfsborg
    27.09.2025 Elfsborg - Degerfors 1:2
    20.09.2025 GAIS - Elfsborg 2:0
    14.09.2025 Elfsborg - Malmö 2:2
    30.08.2025 Brommapojkarna - Elfsborg 3:0
    24.08.2025 Elfsborg - Halmstad 1:2
    Swedish Allsvenskan Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mjallby26196147:173063
    2Hammarby26164651:262552
    3GAIS26129538:251345
    4AIK26128634:27744
    5Goteborg261421036:31544
    6Djurgarden26119641:261542
    7Malmo FF26119640:281242
    8Elfsborg261141140:40037
    9Hacken26951238:45-732
    10Brommapojkarna26921538:41-329
    11Sirius26851343:48-529
    12Norrkoping26851338:49-1129
    13Halmstad26841421:47-2628
    14Oster26671325:37-1225
    15Degerfors26651527:48-2123
    16Varnamo26361732:54-2215

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Allsvenskan (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Superettan

    Which TV channels are streaming of Mjällby - Elfsborg?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandHBO Max, Veikkaus TV
    italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
    swedenSwedenDiscovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 4, TV4 Play
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