Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

16/03/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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WTA - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA), hard - Final

Match Stats


Aces
1	6
Double Faults
1	2
1st Serve Percentage
60%	68%
1st Serve Points Won
64% (35/55)	70% (39/56)
2nd Serve Points Won
46% (17/37)	46% (12/26)
Break Points Saved
69% (9/13)	50% (3/6)
1st Return Points Won
30% (17/56)	36% (20/55)
2nd Return Points Won
54% (14/26)	54% (20/37)
Break Points Converted
50% (3/6)	31% (4/13)
Service Points Won
57% (52/92)	62% (51/82)
Return Points Won
38% (31/82)	43% (40/92)
Total Points Won
48% (83/174)	52% (91/174)
Last 10 Balls
2	8
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
71% (10/14)	77% (10/13)
Return Games Won
23% (3/13)	29% (4/14)
Total Games Won
48% (13/27)	52% (14/27)

Chances of winning

Aryna Sabalenka
62.8%

Mirra Andreeva
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.3%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.2%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aryna Sabalenka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Mirra Andreeva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aryna Sabalenka than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aryna Sabalenka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirra Andreeva than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mirra Andreeva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Aryna Sabalenka - Mirra Andreeva Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.46)		2.57 ↓ (2.74)	5% (5.2%)

What is the prediction for Aryna Sabalenka - Mirra Andreeva?

The most likely score is 2:0. User prediction is Aryna Sabalenka will win! (26 of 30 users predict this).

Preview Facts

Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 1. Andreeva is ranked WTA: 11.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Sabalenka won 4.
One and the other player during the last matches got a chain of wins.
Sabalenka will have a small advantage in this match.
Our prediction for today's Sabalenka to win the game is with odds 1.53.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Sabalenka won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:2 (average 1.7:0.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Aryna Sabalenka won against Mirra Andreeva?

Aryna Sabalenka has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Mirra Andreeva won against Aryna Sabalenka?

Mirra Andreeva has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Aryna Sabalenka - Mirra Andreeva were as follows:

18.01.2025 Aryna Sabalenka - Mirra Andreeva 2:0

04.01.2025 Aryna Sabalenka - Mirra Andreeva 2:0

05.06.2024 Mirra Andreeva - Aryna Sabalenka 2:1

01.05.2024 Mirra Andreeva - Aryna Sabalenka 0:2

21.12.2023 Aryna Sabalenka - Mirra Andreeva 1:0

Latest results of Aryna Sabalenka

14.03.2025 Aryna Sabalenka - Madison Keys 2:0 ✺

13.03.2025 Aryna Sabalenka - Ludmilla Samsonova 2:0 ✺

12.03.2025 Aryna Sabalenka - Sonay Kartal 2:0 ✺

10.03.2025 Aryna Sabalenka - Lucia Bronzetti 2:0 ✺

08.03.2025 Aryna Sabalenka - McCartney Kessler 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Mirra Andreeva

14.03.2025 Mirra Andreeva - Iga Swiatek 2:1 ✺

13.03.2025 Mirra Andreeva - Elina Svitolina 2:0 ✺

11.03.2025 Elena Rybakina - Mirra Andreeva 0:2 ✺

09.03.2025 Clara Tauson - Mirra Andreeva 0:2 ✺

07.03.2025 Varvara Gracheva - Mirra Andreeva 0:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Bye
2	Blinkova A.	Kessler M.	0 : 2
3	Kalinina A.	Bronzetti L.	0 : 2
4	Bye	Frech M. (30)
5	Alexandrova E. (20)	Bye
6	Liu C. (Q)	Kudermetova P.	0 : 2
7	Kartal S. (LL)	Lepchenko V. (Q)	2 : 0
8	Bye	Haddad Maia B. (16)
9	Kasatkina D. (12)	Bye
10	Inglis M.	Kenin S.	0 : 2
11	Tomljanovic A. (RET.) (Q)	McNally C.	0 : 1
12	Bye	Samsonova L. (24)
13	Fernandez L. (27)	Bye
14	Kudermetova V.	Cristian J.	0 : 2
15	Jovic I. (WC)	Grabher J.	2 : 1
16	Bye	Paolini J. (6)
17	Gauff C. (3)	Bye
18	Raducanu E.	Uchijima M.	0 : 2
19	Danilovic O.	Tomova V.	0 : 2
20	Bye	Sakkari M. (29)
21	Anisimova A. (17)	Bye
22	Bencic B. (WC)	Maria T.	2 : 0
23	Parks A. (WC)	Kalinskaya A.	2 : 0
24	Bye	Shnaider D. (13)
25	Navarro E. (10)	Bye
26	Cirstea S.	Joint M. (Q)	2 : 0
27	Davis L.	Avanesyan E.	0 : 2
28	Bye	Vekic D. (19)
29	Mertens E. (28)	Bye
30	Golubic V. (Q)	Birrell K. (Q)	0 : 2
31	Bouzas Maneiro J.	Potapova A.	1 : 2
32	Bye	Keys M. (5)
33	Rybakina E. (7)	Bye
34	Bouzkova M.	Lamens S.	1 : 2
35	Begu I.	Li A.	2 : 1
36	Bye	Boulter K. (25)
37	Tauson C. (22)	Bye
38	Osorio C.	Osaka N.	2 : 0
39	Kvitova P. (WC)	Gracheva V.	1 : 2
40	Bye	Andreeva M. (9)
41	Collins D. (14)	Bye
42	Baptiste H. (Q)	Osuigwe W. (Q)	2 : 0
43	Krueger A.	Volynets K.	2 : 1
44	Bye	Svitolina E. (23)
45	Ostapenko J. (26)	Bye
46	Sherif M.	Wang Xin.	0 : 2
47	Stearns P.	Linette M.	1 : 2
48	Bye	Pegula J. (4)
49	Zheng Q. (8)	Bye
50	Ngounoue C. (Q)	Azarenka V.	0 : 2
51	Sramkova R.	Sun L.	1 : 2
52	Bye	Noskova L. (31)
53	Kostyuk M. (18)	Bye
54	Niemeier J. (Q)	Montgomery R. (WC)	1 : 2
55	Rakhimova K.	Dolehide C. (WC)	0 : 2
56	Bye	Lys E. (LL)
57	Muchova K. (15)	Bye
58	Zarazua R. (RET.)	Cocciaretto E.	0 : 1
59	Carle M. L. (Q)	Siniakova K.	0 : 2
60	Bye	Putintseva Y. (21)
61	Jabeur O. (32)	Bye
62	Yastremska D.	Yuan Y.	2 : 0
63	Garcia C.	Pera B. (WC)	2 : 0
64	Bye	Swiatek I. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Kessler M.	2 : 0
2	Bronzetti L.	Frech M. (30)	2 : 0
3	Alexandrova E. (20)	Kudermetova P.	0 : 2
4	Kartal S.	Haddad Maia B. (16)	2 : 0
5	Kasatkina D. (12)	Kenin S.	2 : 1
6	McNally C.	Samsonova L. (24)	0 : 2
7	Fernandez L. (27)	Cristian J.	1 : 2
8	Jovic I.	Paolini J. (6)	1 : 2
9	Gauff C. (3)	Uchijima M.	2 : 1
10	Tomova V.	Sakkari M. (29)	0 : 2
11	Anisimova A. (17)	Bencic B.	1 : 2
12	Parks A.	Shnaider D. (13)	0 : 2
13	Navarro E. (10)	Cirstea S.	2 : 1
14	Avanesyan E.	Vekic D. (19)	0 : 2
15	Mertens E. (28)	Birrell K.	2 : 0
16	Potapova A.	Keys M. (5)	0 : 2
17	Rybakina E. (7)	Lamens S.	2 : 0
18	Begu I.	Boulter K. (25)	1 : 2
19	Tauson C. (22)	Osorio C.	2 : 0
20	Gracheva V.	Andreeva M. (9)	0 : 2
21	Collins D. (14)	Baptiste H.	2 : 1
22	Krueger A.	Svitolina E. (23)	1 : 2
23	Ostapenko J. (26)	Wang Xin.	0 : 2
24	Linette M.	Pegula J. (4)	0 : 2
25	Zheng Q. (8)	Azarenka V.	2 : 0
26	Sun L.	Noskova L. (31)	2 : 0
27	Kostyuk M. (18)	Montgomery R.	2 : 0
28	Dolehide C.	Lys E.	2 : 0
29	Muchova K. (15)	Cocciaretto E.	2 : 0
30	Siniakova K.	Putintseva Y. (21)	2 : 0
31	Jabeur O. (32)	Yastremska D.	0 : 2
32	Garcia C.	Swiatek I. (2)	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Bronzetti L.	2 : 0
2	Kudermetova P.	Kartal S.	0 : 2
3	Kasatkina D. (12)	Samsonova L. (24)	1 : 2
4	Cristian J.	Paolini J. (6)	1 : 2
5	Gauff C. (3)	Sakkari M. (29)	2 : 0
6	Bencic B.	Shnaider D. (13)	2 : 0
7	Navarro E. (10)	Vekic D. (19)	0 : 2
8	Mertens E. (28)	Keys M. (5)	1 : 2
9	Rybakina E. (7)	Boulter K. (25)	2 : 0
10	Tauson C. (22)	Andreeva M. (9)	0 : 2
11	Collins D. (14)	Svitolina E. (23)	0 : 2
12	Wang Xin.	Pegula J. (4)	0 : 2
13	Zheng Q. (8)	Sun L.	2 : 0
14	Kostyuk M. (18)	Dolehide C.	2 : 0
15	Muchova K. (15)	Siniakova K.	2 : 0
16	Yastremska D.	Swiatek I. (2)	0 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Kartal S.	2 : 0
2	Samsonova L. (24)	Paolini J. (6)	2 : 0
3	Gauff C. (3)	Bencic B.	1 : 2
4	Vekic D. (19)	Keys M. (5)	1 : 2
5	Rybakina E. (7)	Andreeva M. (9)	0 : 2
6	Svitolina E. (23)	Pegula J. (4)	2 : 1
7	Zheng Q. (8)	Kostyuk M. (18)	2 : 0
8	Muchova K. (15)	Swiatek I. (2)	0 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Samsonova L. (24)	2 : 0
2	Bencic B.	Keys M. (5)	0 : 2
3	Andreeva M. (9)	Svitolina E. (23)	2 : 0
4	Zheng Q. (8)	Swiatek I. (2)	0 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Keys M. (5)	2 : 0
2	Andreeva M. (9)	Swiatek I. (2)	2 : 1

Final

1

Sabalenka A. (1)

Andreeva M. (9)

1 : 2

Which TV channels are streaming of Aryna Sabalenka - Mirra Andreeva?

It is being streamed on channel


Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 2