Result
0:2
24/05/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A Betano - Round 10
Advertisement
Watch and bet São Paulo - Mirassol live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (397/473) | 84% (388/463) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.74 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (397/473) | 84% (388/463) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (29/54) | 42% (24/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (93/124) | 65% (50/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (5/25) | 7% (1/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.14 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (14/17) | 67% (14/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.74 | 0.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.26 | 0.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Neto Moura 🟨,
- 22', Pablo Maia 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Oscar ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
- 50', Ferraresi N. 🟨,
- 53', 0 - 1, Gabriel ⚽,
- 58', Alisson 🟨,
- 63', Edson Carioca ↓, Cristian Renato ↑,
- 66', Lucas Ferreira ↓, Soares C. ↑,
- 66', Pablo Maia ↓, Bobadilla D. ↑,
- 66', Luciano ↓, Matheus Alves ↑,
- 68', Andre Silva 🟨,
- 69', Yago Felipe ↓, Chico Kim ↑,
- 70', Neto Moura ↓, Roni ↑,
- 77', Ferraresi N. ↓, Ryan Francisco ↑,
- 78', Gabriel ↓, Ze Vitor ↑,
- 79', Negueba ↓, Matheus Bianqui ↑,
- 89', 0 - 2, Reinaldo (Pen),
Chances of winning
São Paulo
55.4% | Draw
26.8% | Mirassol
17.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Paulo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
São Paulo - Mirassol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↑
(1.61) |
3.52 ↓
(3.81) |
5.34 ↓
(5.71) |
5.5%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for São Paulo - Mirassol?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. São Paulo will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Mirassol will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 3.
- São Paulo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Mirassol has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Mirassol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, São Paulo is the team to beat.
- There will not play in São Paulo: Henrique Carmo
(Ankle Injury)
Igor Vinicius
(Back Injury)
Jonathan Calleri
(Knee Injury)
Lucas Moura
(Knee Injury)
Luiz Gustavo
(Contusion)
- There are questionable in São Paulo: Marcos Antonio
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Mirassol: Alex Muralha
(Leg Injury)
David Braz
(Injury)
Leo Gamalho
(Injury)
Lucas Ramon
(Injury)
Luiz Otavio
(Injury)
Matheus Sales
(Injury)
Rafa Silva
(Thigh Injury)
Ze Vitor
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 25:9. (average 2.5:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, São Paulo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 18:7. (average 3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Mirassol?
São Paulo has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against São Paulo?
Mirassol has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - Mirassol were as follows:
05.02.2025
São Paulo
-
Mirassol
4:1
23.01.2024
Mirassol
-
São Paulo
1:1
Latest results of São Paulo
Latest results of Mirassol
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24:4 | 20 | 24 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Bragantino | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 23 |
| 4 | Palmeiras | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 12:8 | 4 | 22 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 20 |
| 6 | Botafogo RJ | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14:7 | 7 | 18 |
| 7 | Bahia | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Mirassol | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 17:12 | 5 | 17 |
| 9 | Atletico-MG | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 17 |
| 10 | Ceara | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 15 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 15 |
| 12 | Gremio | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 15 |
| 13 | Sao Paulo | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 12 |
| 14 | Internacional | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 | Vasco | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 | Vitoria | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 10 |
| 17 | Fortaleza | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 10 |
| 18 | Santos | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8:12 | -4 | 8 |
| 19 | Juventude | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8:24 | -16 | 8 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5:18 | -13 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Which TV channels are streaming of São Paulo - Mirassol?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
