Result
1:0
08/04/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 1
- Referee: Ospina J. (Col)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.35 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (270/334) | 80% (326/406) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (270/334) | 80% (326/406) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (14/36) | 42% (28/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (53/86) | 66% (69/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 23% (6/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.43 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (16/21) | 74% (17/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.06 | 0.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | -0.70 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2', Jose Aldo 🟨,
- 20', Lucas Oliveira 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', Sepulveda M. 🟨,
- 60', 1 - 0, Joao Victor ⚽, Reinaldo (A),
- 62', Jose Aldo ↓, Gabriel Pires ↑,
- 69', Edson Carioca ↓, Alesson ↑,
- 69', Watson F. N. ↓, Valois Y. ↑,
- 69', Sepulveda M. ↓, Besozzi L. ↑,
- 69', Eduardo ↓, Shaylon ↑,
- 71', Alesson 🟨,
- 77', Andre Luis ↓, Nathan Fogaca ↑,
- 77', Salvio E. ↓, Bou W. ↑,
- 77', Cardozo A. ↓, Pena Biafore F. ↑,
- 77', Neto Moura ↓, Denilson ↑,
- 83', Canale Dominguez J. ↓, De Jesus R. ↑,
- 89', Guidara T. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Mirassol
42.8% | Draw
31.6% | Lanús
25.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-2%)
Mirassol - Lanús Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↑
(2.08) |
2.94 ↓
(3.1) |
3.69 ↓
(3.81) |
6.8%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Mirassol - Lanús?
- Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Lanús will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mirassol: 21.7% – 78.3%. - High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mirassol (votes: 1 - 100%).
- Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
- AH -0.5 - Lanús (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mirassol (votes: 1 - 50%). Lanús (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Mirassol has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Lanús is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Mirassol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Mirassol could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Lanús: Aquino D.
(Inactive)
Bou W.
(Inactive)
Loaiza R.
(Knee Injury)
Marcelino Moreno
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Mirassol: Igor Carius
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Lanús: Canale Dominguez J.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Lanús will win today's game, with odds of 3.73.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against Lanús?
Mirassol has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lanús won against Mirassol?
Lanús has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mirassol - Lanús were as follows:
Latest results of Mirassol
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Ind. Medellin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Cusco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coquimbo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | Nacional | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Fluminense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | La Guaira | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Bolivar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Boca Juniors | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | U. Catolica | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Corinthians | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Santa Fe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Penarol | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Platense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Junior | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Cerro Porteno | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mirassol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Lanus | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Always Ready | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Universidad Central | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Rosario Central | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Ind. del Valle | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Libertad Asuncion | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
Which TV channels are streaming of Mirassol - Lanús?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Bolivia | ESPN 2, ESPN 7 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Caze TV, Paramount+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+, ESPN 5 |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 7 |
 Ecuador | ESPN 2, ESPN 7 |
 Georgia | Silk Universal |
 Germany | Sportdigital1+ |
 Greece | ERT Sports 2 |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Paraguay | ESPN 2 |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Spain | LaLiga+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 7, Inter |
 World | Onefootball |
