Ituano vs Mirassol: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie B Ituano - Mirassol
Result
3:2
07/09/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 25
  • Referee: de Almeida Andrade E. R. (Bra)
Ituano - Mirassol - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Goal Attempts
236
Shots on Goal
104
Shots off Goal
92
Blocked Shots
40
Free Kicks
1312
Corner Kicks
56
Offsides
04
Throw-ins
1515
Goalkeeper Saves
27
Fouls
118
Yellow Cards
43
Total Passes
521497
Completed Passes
442438
Attacks
10398
Dangerous Attacks
3244

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Thonny Anderson , Miqueias (A),
  • 19', 1 - 1, Leo Gamalho ,
  • 45+1', Leo Gamalho 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Lucas Gazal , Fernandinho ,
  • 46', Rodrigo , de Almeida J. V. X. ,
  • 47', Luiz Gustavo 🟨,
  • 52', de Almeida J. V. X. 🟨,
  • 58', Yann Rolim , Eduardo Person ,
  • 58', Joao Carlos , Leozinho ,
  • 59', Rodrigo Andrade , Neto Moura ,
  • 59', Leo Gamalho , Iury Castilho ,
  • 65', Zeca , Alex Silva ,
  • 65', Chico Kim , Marquinhos ,
  • 70', 2 - 1, Bruno Xavier , Eduardo Person (A),
  • 73', 2 - 2, Fernandinho , Dellatorre (A),
  • 74', 3 - 2, Leozinho , Eduardo Person (A),
  • 75', Leozinho 🟨,
  • 81', Thonny Anderson , Alvaro ,
  • 82', Bruno Xavier , Leo Duarte ,
  • 84', Joao Victor 🟨,
  • 86', Dellatorre 🟨,
  • 90+2', Miqueias 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ituano
30.6%
Draw
30.4%
Mirassol
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28% 29% 43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2% 28.2% 44.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ituano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mirassol could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ituano - Mirassol Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.06
    (3.32)
    3.08
    (3.2)
    2.4
    (2.16)
    6.9%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Ituano - Mirassol?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ituano will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Mirassol will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mirassol: 29%96%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ituano won 1.
    • Recent matches Ituano is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Mirassol is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Mirassol will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Ituano: Eduardo Diniz (Injury) Eduardo Person (Injury) Lipe (Injury) Madison (Injury) Salatiel (Injury) Ze Carlos (Injury) Ze Eduardo (Injury)
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Ituano won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-11.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ituano won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ituano - Mirassol were as follows:
    19.05.2024 Mirassol - Ituano 2:0
    14.02.2024 Ituano - Mirassol 1:1
    28.10.2023 Ituano - Mirassol 0:0
    03.07.2023 Mirassol - Ituano 0:1
    16.02.2023 Mirassol - Ituano 1:0
    Latest results of Ituano
    02.09.2024 Sport Recife - Ituano 3:2
    24.08.2024 Ituano - Goiás 1:0
    10.08.2024 Ituano - Chapecoense 2:1
    Latest results of Mirassol
    26.08.2024 Paysandu - Mirassol 0:0
    21.08.2024 Mirassol - Botafogo SP 1:2
    17.08.2024 Ceará - Mirassol 1:2
    09.08.2024 Mirassol - Brusque 2:0
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias21125428:181041
    2Coritiba21116422:14839
    3Novorizontino2199324:17736
    4Chapecoense-SC21104728:20834
    5Remo2189423:19433
    6Avai2188529:21832
    7Cuiaba2194824:24031
    8Criciuma2085723:18529
    9Vila Nova FC2083919:20-127
    10Atletico GO2169621:21027
    11Operario-PR2175923:22126
    12Athletico-PR2075825:27-226
    13Ferroviaria2168722:23-126
    14CRB2074922:21125
    15Athletic Club20731023:27-424
    16Volta Redonda2157914:23-922
    17America MG21631221:29-821
    18Botafogo SP21561014:30-1621
    19Paysandu PA2049719:22-321
    20Amazonas2148921:29-820

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Ituano - Mirassol?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    brazilBrazilBandSports, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Sky+, TV Brasil, Vivo Play, Zapping
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