Mirassol vs Fluminense: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie A Mirassol - Fluminense
Result
2:1
08/10/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Betano - Round 13
Mirassol - Fluminense - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.230.77
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
79% (254/320)81% (340/418)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.230.77
xG on target (xGOT)
1.490.56
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
79
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
1616
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1313
Passes
79% (254/320)81% (340/418)
Long passes
42% (18/43)50% (22/44)
Passes in final third
66% (56/85)71% (72/102)
Crosses
25% (5/20)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.640.48
Throw-ins
2215
Fouls
1313
Tackles
69% (9/13)59% (10/17)
Duels won
4445
Clearances
1527
Interceptions
154
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.561.49
Goals prevented
-0.44-0.51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', Guilherme 🟨,
  • 23', Walter 🟨,
  • 27', Martinelli 🟨,
  • 36', 1 - 0, Guilherme , Alesson (A),
  • 41', Freytes J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Keno , Soteldo Y. ,
  • 56', 1 - 1, Martinelli , Freytes J. (A),
  • 62', John Kennedy , Cano G. ,
  • 65', Cristian Renato , Renato Marques ,
  • 65', Guilherme , Negueba ,
  • 69', Canobbio A. 🟨,
  • 72', Acosta L. , Lima ,
  • 73', Canobbio A. , Moreno S. ,
  • 77', Alesson , Carlos Eduardo ,
  • 83', Neto Moura 🟨,
  • 84', Hercules , Bernal F. ,
  • 85', Neto Moura , Roni ,
  • 85', Gabriel , Shaylon ,
  • 86', 2 - 1, Negueba , Carlos Eduardo (A),
  • 89', Moreno S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Mirassol
34.7%
Draw
31.5%
Fluminense
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.7% 30.6% 34.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Mirassol have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Mirassol - Fluminense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.83
    (2.73)
    3.04
    (3.1)
    2.79
    (2.74)
    4%
    (5.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Mirassol - Fluminense?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 12 - 40%). Fluminense will win (votes: 6 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mirassol: 22.5%57.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Mirassol (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Fluminense (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ))
    • Fluminense is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Mirassol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Mirassol: David Braz (Injury) Leo Gamalho (Injury) Matheus Sales (Injury) Rafa Silva (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Fluminense: Otavio (Achilles Tendon Injury) Riquelme Felipe (Injury)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Mirassol
    04.10.2025 Corinthians - Mirassol 3:0
    21.09.2025 Mirassol - Juventude 2:0
    17.09.2025 Botafogo RJ - Mirassol 3:3
    Latest results of Fluminense
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras25174442:212155
    2Flamengo RJ26167350:133755
    3Cruzeiro27157540:202052
    4Mirassol271210544:291546
    5Botafogo RJ27127837:231443
    6Bahia26127734:30443
    7Fluminense261151034:33138
    8Sao Paulo27108931:28338
    9Bragantino271061133:38-536
    10Ceara26971026:24234
    11Vasco27961242:41133
    12Corinthians27891029:32-333
    13Gremio27891028:33-533
    14Atletico-MG26881025:30-532
    15Internacional26881032:38-632
    16Santos26771225:38-1328
    17Vitoria275101224:42-1825
    18Fortaleza26661426:41-1524
    19Juventude26651521:48-2723
    20Sport Recife262101420:41-2116

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

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