Mirassol vs Atlético Mineiro: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie A Mirassol - Atlético Mineiro
Result
2:2
26/04/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Betano - Round 6
  • Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)
Mirassol - Atlético Mineiro - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.731.73
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
2017
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
97
Passes
74% (207/279)83% (387/465)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
1.731.73
xG on target (xGOT)
3.131.08
Total shots
2017
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
79
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
118
Shots outside the Box
99
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
97
Touches in opposition box
1820
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
511
Passes
74% (207/279)83% (387/465)
Long passes
46% (19/41)41% (19/46)
Passes in final third
69% (61/88)72% (83/115)
Crosses
36% (8/22)22% (5/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.640.67
Throw-ins
1619
Fouls
115
Tackles
56% (9/16)92% (11/12)
Duels won
3642
Clearances
3126
Interceptions
911
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
1.083.13
Goals prevented
-0.921.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Edson Carioca , Cristian Renato (A),
  • 28', Hulk 🟨,
  • 34', Lucas Ramon 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Franco A. , Fausto Vera ,
  • 46', Lucas Ramon , Daniel Borges ,
  • 50', Alex Muralha 🟨,
  • 57', Daniel Borges 🟨,
  • 61', Natanael , Renzo Saravia ,
  • 61', Romulus , Bernard ,
  • 67', Yago Felipe , Gabriel ,
  • 67', Edson Carioca , Iury Castilho ,
  • 70', 1 - 1, Rony , Hulk (A),
  • 74', Negueba , Maceio ,
  • 80', 1 - 2, Hulk (Pen),
  • 82', Jose Aldo , Daniel Fabricio ,
  • 82', Maceio 🟨,
  • 83', Rony , Igor Rabello ,
  • 89', Alonso J. , Roman I. ,
  • 90+2', 2 - 2, Reinaldo ,
  • 90+5', Roman I. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Mirassol
29.6%
Draw
30.9%
Atlético Mineiro
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.8% 29% 38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6% 29.7% 37.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Mirassol - Atlético Mineiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.2
    (2.88)
    3.08
    (3.26)
    2.41
    (2.47)
    5.2%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Mirassol - Atlético Mineiro?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Atlético MG could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Mirassol: Gabriel (Injury) Leo Gamalho (Injury) Luiz Otavio (Injury) Ze Vitor (Injury)
    • There will not play in Atlético MG: Cadu (Knee Injury) Caio Maia (Inactive) Franco A. (Knee Injury) Guilherme Arana (Thigh Injury) Junior Santos (Muscle Injury) Palacios Alzate B. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mirassol: David Braz (Injury) Matheus Sales (Injury) Rafa Silva (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Atlético MG: Gabriel Menino (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Mirassol
    20.04.2025 Juventude - Mirassol 2:2
    16.04.2025 Mirassol - Grêmio 4:1
    13.04.2025 Bahia - Mirassol 1:1
    06.04.2025 Mirassol - Fortaleza 1:1
    29.03.2025 Cruzeiro - Mirassol 2:1
    Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras86119:3619
    2Flamengo RJ852117:41317
    3Bragantino852110:6417
    4Cruzeiro851213:7616
    5Fluminense841310:10013
    6Ceara83329:7212
    7Atletico-MG833210:10012
    8Bahia83327:8-112
    9Botafogo RJ832310:5511
    10Corinthians831411:14-310
    11Fortaleza824210:5510
    12Mirassol824213:11210
    13Internacional823310:12-29
    14Vitoria82339:11-29
    15Gremio82337:12-59
    16Sao Paulo81616:609
    17Vasco82157:11-47
    18Juventude82157:20-137
    19Santos81257:10-35
    20Sport Recife80264:14-102

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

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