Mirassol vs Atlético Mineiro: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie A Mirassol - Atlético Mineiro
Result
2:2
26/04/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A Betano - Round 6
  • Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)
Mirassol - Atlético Mineiro - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.731.73
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
2017
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
97
Passes
74% (207/279)83% (387/465)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
1.731.73
xG on target (xGOT)
3.131.08
Total shots
2017
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
79
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
118
Shots outside the Box
99
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
97
Touches in opposition box
1820
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
511
Passes
74% (207/279)83% (387/465)
Long passes
46% (19/41)41% (19/46)
Passes in final third
69% (61/88)72% (83/115)
Crosses
36% (8/22)22% (5/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.640.67
Throw-ins
1619
Fouls
115
Tackles
56% (9/16)92% (11/12)
Duels won
3642
Clearances
3126
Interceptions
911
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
1.083.13
Goals prevented
-0.921.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Edson Carioca , Cristian Renato (A),
  • 28', Hulk 🟨,
  • 34', Lucas Ramon 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Franco A. , Fausto Vera ,
  • 46', Lucas Ramon , Daniel Borges ,
  • 50', Alex Muralha 🟨,
  • 57', Daniel Borges 🟨,
  • 61', Natanael , Renzo Saravia ,
  • 61', Romulus , Bernard ,
  • 67', Yago Felipe , Gabriel ,
  • 67', Edson Carioca , Iury Castilho ,
  • 70', 1 - 1, Rony , Hulk (A),
  • 74', Negueba , Maceio ,
  • 80', 1 - 2, Hulk (Pen),
  • 82', Jose Aldo , Daniel Fabricio ,
  • 82', Maceio 🟨,
  • 83', Rony , Igor Rabello ,
  • 89', Alonso J. , Roman I. ,
  • 90+2', 2 - 2, Reinaldo ,
  • 90+5', Roman I. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Mirassol
29.6%
Draw
30.9%
Atlético Mineiro
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.8% 29% 38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6% 29.7% 37.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Mirassol - Atlético Mineiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.2
    (2.88)
    3.08
    (3.26)
    2.41
    (2.47)
    5.2%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Mirassol - Atlético Mineiro?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Atlético MG will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Atlético MG could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Mirassol: Gabriel (Injury) Leo Gamalho (Injury) Luiz Otavio (Injury) Ze Vitor (Injury)
    • There will not play in Atlético MG: Cadu (Knee Injury) Caio Maia (Inactive) Franco A. (Knee Injury) Guilherme Arana (Thigh Injury) Junior Santos (Muscle Injury) Palacios Alzate B. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mirassol: David Braz (Injury) Matheus Sales (Injury) Rafa Silva (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Atlético MG: Gabriel Menino (Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Mirassol
    20.04.2025 Juventude - Mirassol 2:2
    16.04.2025 Mirassol - Grêmio 4:1
    13.04.2025 Bahia - Mirassol 1:1
    06.04.2025 Mirassol - Fortaleza 1:1
    29.03.2025 Cruzeiro - Mirassol 2:1
    Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ1173124:42024
    2Cruzeiro1273217:8924
    3Bragantino1272314:11323
    4Palmeiras1171312:8422
    5Bahia1263314:11321
    6Fluminense1162315:12320
    7Atletico-MG1255213:10320
    8Botafogo RJ1153314:7718
    9Mirassol1145217:12517
    10Corinthians1244413:15-216
    11Gremio1244412:15-316
    12Ceara1143413:11215
    13Vasco1241714:16-213
    14Sao Paulo1226410:14-412
    15Santos1232711:14-311
    16Vitoria1225510:14-411
    17Internacional1225512:18-611
    18Fortaleza1224612:18-610
    19Juventude112278:24-168
    20Sport Recife110385:18-133

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

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