Result
1:0
27/09/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A Betano - Round 25
- Referee: Klein R. (Bra)
Advertisement
Watch and bet Atlético Mineiro - Mirassol live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.13 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 30% | 70% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (194/256) | 90% (519/575) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (194/256) | 90% (519/575) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (24/63) | 58% (18/31) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (49/84) | 83% (185/222) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (1/9) | 29% (13/45) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.27 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 71% (15/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 6 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.25 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Vitor Hugo ⚽, Rony (A),
- 31', Edson Carioca ↓, Cristian Renato ↑,
- 41', Yago Felipe 🟨,
- 44', Alonso J. 🟥,
- 45', Sampaoli J. 🟨,
- 45+1', Bernard ↓, Roman I. ↑,
- 45+4', Igor Gomes 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Yago Felipe ↓, Alesson ↑,
- 60', Negueba ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
- 60', Neto Moura ↓, Shaylon ↑,
- 63', Igor Gomes ↓, Gustavo Scarpa ↑,
- 64', Biel ↓, Guilherme Arana ↑,
- 68', Everson 🟨,
- 73', Rony ↓, Junior Santos ↑,
- 73', Caio Paulista ↓, Gabriel Menino ↑,
- 79', Gabriel ↓, Guilherme ↑,
- 82', Guilherme Arana 🟨,
- 90+1', Danielzinho 🟨,
- 90+3', Hulk 🟨,
- 90+7', Alesson 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlético Mineiro
50.5% | Draw
27.9% | Mirassol
21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Atlético Mineiro - Mirassol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↓
(1.95) |
3.55 ↑
(3.25) |
4.66 ↑
(4) |
2.8%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Atlético Mineiro - Mirassol?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Atlético MG will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Mirassol will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mirassol: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mirassol (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In recent matches, Atlético MG has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Mirassol is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Mirassol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Atlético MG is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Atlético MG: Cadu
(Knee Injury)
Caio Maia
(Knee Injury)
Cuello
(Ankle Injury)
Patrick Silva
(Broken tailbone)
Renzo Saravia
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Mirassol: PH
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Atlético MG: Alexsander
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Mirassol: Chico
(Injury)
Da Silva
(Injury)
Guilherme
(Injury)
Matheus Sales
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Atlético MG won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Mirassol?
Atlético Mineiro has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against Atlético Mineiro?
Mirassol has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Mineiro - Mirassol were as follows:
26.04.2025
Mirassol
-
Atlético Mineiro
2:2
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Latest results of Mirassol
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 42:21 | 21 | 55 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 50:13 | 37 | 55 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 40:20 | 20 | 52 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 44:29 | 15 | 46 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 37:23 | 14 | 43 |
| 6 | Bahia | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 34:30 | 4 | 43 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 34:33 | 1 | 38 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 31:28 | 3 | 38 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33:38 | -5 | 36 |
| 10 | Ceara | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 26:24 | 2 | 34 |
| 11 | Vasco | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 42:41 | 1 | 33 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 33 |
| 13 | Gremio | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 33 |
| 14 | Atletico-MG | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 25:30 | -5 | 32 |
| 15 | Internacional | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 32:38 | -6 | 32 |
| 16 | Santos | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25:38 | -13 | 28 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 24:42 | -18 | 25 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 24 |
| 19 | Juventude | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 21:48 | -27 | 23 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 26 | 2 | 10 | 14 | 20:41 | -21 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
Which TV channels are streaming of Atlético Mineiro - Mirassol?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
