Minnesota Wild vs Tampa Bay Lightning: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Hockey NHL Minnesota Wild - Tampa Bay Lightning
Result
5:1
03/03/2026 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • : NHL
Minnesota Wild - Tampa Bay Lightning - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2226
Shots off target
1412
Shooting PCT
22.73% (5/22)3.85% (1/26)
Blocked shots
1414
Goalkeeper Saves
2517
Saves PCT
96.15% (25/26)80.95% (17/21)
Penalties
46
PIM
820
Power-play Goals
10
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
16.67% (1/6)0% (0/4)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (4/4)83.33% (5/6)
Hits
2224
Faceoffs Won
2527
Faceoffs %
48.0851.92
Giveaways
87
Takeaways
43
Empty Net Goals
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 0)
  • 03:46, 1 - 0, Faber B. (G), Johansson M. (A), Boldy M. (A2)
  • 05:10, Hagel B. (2 min),
  • 13:31, Sabourin S. (10 min),
  • 15:05, Brodin J. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (2 - 1)
  • 03:10, (2 min),
  • 04:11, Kaprizov K. (2 min),
  • 04:24, Cirelli A. (2 min),
  • 04:59, 2 - 0, Zuccarello M. (G), Hughes Q. (A), Boldy M. (A2)
  • 05:05, Point B. (2 min),
  • 09:33, Hinostroza V. (2 min),
  • 15:07, 2 - 1, Kucherov N. (G), Point B. (A), Guentzel J. (A2)
  • 17:10, 3 - 1, Trenin Y. (G), Zuccarello M. (A),
  • 3rd Period (2 - 0)
  • 01:35, Raddysh D. (2 min),
  • 06:53, 4 - 1, Hughes Q. (G),
  • 16:41, 5 - 1, Kaprizov K. (G), Faber B. (A), Boldy M. (A2)
  • 19:01, Bogosian Z. (2 min),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Minnesota Wild
33.3%
Draw
22.8%
Tampa Bay Lightning
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.4% 22.5% 41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5% 24.4% 44.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Minnesota Wild has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota Wild than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Minnesota Wild - Tampa Bay Lightning Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.82
    (2.64)
    4.12
    (4.26)
    2.16
    (2.33)
    6.1%
    (4.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
    What is the prediction for Minnesota Wild - Tampa Bay Lightning?
    • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Minnesota will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Minnesota: 35%88%.
    • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
      • BTTS, OT - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • O/U 3.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
      • DC - Minnesota (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Minnesota Wild will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 7 - 100%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Minnesota: Brodin J. (Lower-Body Injury) Foligno M. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Tampa Bay: Crozier M. (Muscle Injury) Goncalves G. (Injury) James D. (Leg Injury) Paul N. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 63:55. (average 3.2:2.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 38:21. (average 3.8:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Minnesota Wild - Tampa Bay Lightning were as follows:
    01.11.2024 Minnesota Wild - Tampa Bay Lightning 5:3
    24.10.2024 Tampa Bay Lightning - Minnesota Wild 2:4
    18.01.2024 Tampa Bay Lightning - Minnesota Wild 7:3
    04.01.2024 Minnesota Wild - Tampa Bay Lightning 1:4
    24.01.2023 Tampa Bay Lightning - Minnesota Wild 4:2
    Latest results of Minnesota Wild
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Avalanche63385911241:15995
    2Dallas Stars643281014222:17490
    3Minnesota Wild6525131116220:18587
    4Anaheim Ducks642115325215:22275
    5Utah Mammoth65268526203:18173
    6Edmonton Oilers65248825231:22172
    7Vegas Golden Knights652181422210:20772
    8Seattle Kraken63236925179:19067
    9Los Angeles Kings6416101523169:19267
    10San Jose Sharks621812626192:21866
    11Nashville Predators64227827191:21866
    12Winnipeg Jets632151027179:19362
    13St. Louis Blues642321029169:21660
    14Chicago Blackhawks641861129172:20759
    15Calgary Flames64214732158:20057
    16Vancouver Canucks64136837165:23846


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Carolina Hurricanes643011617229:18788
    2Buffalo Sabres65346619231:19686
    3Tampa Bay Lightning63309420225:17782
    4Montreal Canadiens6324111018225:21080
    5Pittsburgh Penguins642751517217:19379
    6Detroit Red Wings652511722192:19479
    7New York Islanders652314523192:18679
    8Boston Bruins64279622214:20178
    9Columbus Blue Jackets6423101021209:20576
    10Ottawa Senators63266922214:19873
    11Washington Capitals65275726207:19571
    12Philadelphia Flyers6319101123183:20069
    13Florida Panthers64266329195:21367
    14New Jersey Devils642111230166:19266
    15Toronto Maple Leafs651981127203:22965
    16New York Rangers64179830179:20060

          Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )

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