Tacoma Defiance vs Minnesota United 2: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro Tacoma Defiance - Minnesota United 2
Result
2:1 penalties
31/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Tacoma Defiance - Minnesota United 2 - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.810.64
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
911
Shots on target
47
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
84% (439/521)83% (306/368)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.810.64
xG on target (xGOT)
2.451.70
Total shots
911
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
48
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
3120
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1710
Passes
84% (439/521)83% (306/368)
Long passes
55% (36/65)61% (43/70)
Passes in final third
72% (81/113)62% (65/105)
Crosses
35% (7/20)36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.220.62
Throw-ins
2222
Fouls
1017
Tackles
70% (16/23)69% (20/29)
Duels won
6467
Clearances
2829
Interceptions
315
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
63
xGOT faced
1.702.45
Goals prevented
0.701.45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Kiingi K. , Mawing D. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Diaw B. , Katsaros E. ,
  • 46', De Rosario O. , Khoury J. ,
  • 46', Yamada K. , Alvarez D. ,
  • 53', Katsaros E. 🟨,
  • 60', Shashoua S. , Saidi I. ,
  • 63', Kang J. , Gaffney C. ,
  • 71', 0 - 1, Hille L. , Fischer B. (A),
  • 80', Mesanvi L. 🟨,
  • 83', Carli E. , Dodzi C. ,
  • 84', 1 - 1, Alvarez D. , Kingston P. (A),
  • 88', Casillas-Lopez C. , Schumacher B. ,
  • Penalties (4 - 3)
  • 1, Hille L. (Pen),
  • 1, Kingston P. (Pen),
  • 2, Calov C. (Pen),
  • 2, Gaffney C. (Pen),
  • 3, Farris J. (Pen),
  • 3, Khoury J. (Pen),
  • 4, Mesanvi L. (Pen),
  • 4, Tsukanome Y. (Pen),
  • 5, Padelford D. (Pen),
  • 5, Alvarez D. (Pen),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Tacoma Defiance
55.7%
Draw
19.3%
Minnesota United 2
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.7% 18.9% 30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53% 18.1% 29.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tacoma Defiance has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • Minnesota United 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Minnesota United 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United 2 than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • Tacoma Defiance - Minnesota United 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.82)
    4.83
    (4.89)
    3.72
    (3.03)
    7.3%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 3.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Minnesota 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Tacoma could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tacoma won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:14. (average 3.2:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tacoma won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 4.3:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tacoma Defiance - Minnesota United 2 were as follows:
    04.08.2024 Tacoma Defiance - Minnesota United 2 5:1
    19.05.2024 Minnesota United 2 - Tacoma Defiance 3:1
    25.08.2023 Minnesota United 2 - Tacoma Defiance 2:4
    14.05.2023 Tacoma Defiance - Minnesota United 2 5:4
    Latest results of Tacoma Defiance
    Latest results of Minnesota United 2
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2151012238:2634
    2Philadelphia Union II13642128:1128
    3Chicago Fire II14622427:2424
    4Toronto FC II14603516:1821
    5New York City II15522628:3121
    6New England Revolution II13441419:1721
    7Cincinnati 214250713:2116
    8Columbus Crew 213312713:2413


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga15822324:2030
    2Huntsville13532327:1623
    3Orlando City B15611721:2721
    4Crown Legacy14333521:2518
    5Carolina Core14324519:1917
    6Inter Miami II15402923:3414
    7Atlanta United 213224519:2314


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County15911429:2230
    2Real Monarchs12523224:1922
    3Vancouver Whitecaps 215530733:3021
    4Tacoma Defiance13610630:2820
    5Town FC12521424:1420
    6Los Angeles FC II14511722:2718
    7Portland Timbers 214412722:3116


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2151010429:2132
    2Colorado Rapids 216703626:2524
    3North Texas15621625:3023
    4Houston Dynamo 215531621:2122
    5Austin FC II14433413:1521
    6Minnesota 213602522:1720
    7Sporting Kansas City II1301399:295


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2151012238:2634
    2Chattanooga15822324:2030
    3Philadelphia Union II13642128:1128
    4Chicago Fire II14622427:2424
    5Huntsville13532327:1623
    6Toronto FC II14603516:1821
    7Orlando City B15611721:2721
    8New York City II15522628:3121
    9New England Revolution II13441419:1721
    10Crown Legacy14333521:2518
    11Carolina Core14324519:1917
    12Cincinnati 214250713:2116
    13Inter Miami II15402923:3414
    14Atlanta United 213224519:2314
    15Columbus Crew 213312713:2413


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2151010429:2132
    2Ventura County15911429:2230
    3Colorado Rapids 216703626:2524
    4North Texas15621625:3023
    5Real Monarchs12523224:1922
    6Houston Dynamo 215531621:2122
    7Vancouver Whitecaps 215530733:3021
    8Austin FC II14433413:1521
    9Minnesota 213602522:1720
    10Tacoma Defiance13610630:2820
    11Town FC12521424:1420
    12Los Angeles FC II14511722:2718
    13Portland Timbers 214412722:3116
    14Sporting Kansas City II1301399:295

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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