Minnesota United 2 vs Tacoma Defiance: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

15/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Allianz Field (Saint Paul, MN).

: MLS Next Pro

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.16	1.21
Ball Possession
45%	55%
Total shots
16	7
Shots on target
3	3
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
11	3
Passes
80% (169/211)	83% (227/272)
Yellow Cards
4	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16	1.21
xG on target (xGOT)
0.37	1.50
Total shots
16	7
Shots on target
3	3
Shots off target
9	4
Blocked Shots
4	0
Shots inside the Box
13	6
Shots outside the Box
3	1
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
11	3
Touches in opposition box
24	14
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
6	1
Free Kicks
12	7
Passes
80% (169/211)	83% (227/272)
Long passes
58% (22/38)	55% (21/38)
Passes in final third
61% (35/57)	53% (27/51)
Crosses
28% (5/18)	29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.86	0.41
Throw-ins
10	15
Fouls
7	12
Tackles
83% (10/12)	67% (6/9)
Duels won
36	25
Clearances
10	15
Interceptions
5	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
1.50	0.37
Goals prevented
0.50	-0.63

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Dodzi C. 🟨,
10', Keller K. 🟨,
18', Dodzi C. ↓, Hassan O. ↑,
21', Calov C. 🟨,
36', Hille L. ↓, Nour M. ↑,
45+3', 1 - 0, Dorsey L. ⚽, Calov C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Baker C. ↓, Alvarez D. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Hassan O. ⚽, Gomez S. (A),
62', Randell A. ↓, Romanshyn K. ↑,
67', Lopez A. ↓, Burney L. ↑,
76', Carli E. ↓, Robles D. ↑,
76', Khoury J. ↓, Gaffney C. ↑,
80', Dorsey L. 🟨,
82', Sosnouski J. 🟨,
84', Sosnouski J. ↓, Saidi I. ↑,
84', Dorsey L. ↓, Dennis T. ↑,
Penalties (3 - 2)
1, Kamara M. (Pen),
1, Kingston P. (Pen),
2, Niang B. (Pen),
2, Tsukanome Y. (Pen),
3, Chandler K. (Pen),
3, Hassan O. (Pen),
4, Calov C. (Pen),
4, Alvarez D. (Pen),
5, Dennis T. (Pen),
5, Yamada K. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Minnesota United 2
51%

Draw
21.9%

Tacoma Defiance
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

22.8%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

19.3%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Minnesota United 2 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Tacoma Defiance has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota United 2 than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Minnesota United 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Minnesota United 2 - Tacoma Defiance Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.8)	4.22 ↑ (4.03)	3.42 ↓ (3.5)	8.1% (8.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota 2 won 1.
Minnesota 2 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Tacoma has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Tacoma has had a series of home games.
Minnesota 2 could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Minnesota 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:21. (average 2.1:3).
Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 2.3:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Minnesota United 2 won against Tacoma Defiance?

Minnesota United 2 has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Tacoma Defiance won against Minnesota United 2?

Tacoma Defiance has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Minnesota United 2 - Tacoma Defiance were as follows:

31.05.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Minnesota United 2 2:1

04.08.2024 Tacoma Defiance - Minnesota United 2 5:1

19.05.2024 Minnesota United 2 - Tacoma Defiance 3:1

25.08.2023 Minnesota United 2 - Tacoma Defiance 2:4

14.05.2023 Tacoma Defiance - Minnesota United 2 5:4

Latest results of Minnesota United 2

08.08.2025 Minnesota United 2 - Sporting Kansas City II 3:2 ✺

02.08.2025 Minnesota United 2 - Houston Dynamo 2 3:2 ✺

27.07.2025 St. Louis City 2 - Minnesota United 2 4:0 ✺

22.07.2025 The Town - Minnesota United 2 3:2 ✺

18.07.2025 Portland Timbers 2 - Minnesota United 2 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Tacoma Defiance

10.08.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Los Angeles II 4:2 ✺

01.08.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Ventura County 4:6 ✺

27.07.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Portland Timbers 2 1:2 ✺

20.07.2025 Colorado Rapids 2 - Tacoma Defiance 6:4 ✺

17.07.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Real Monarchs 2:3 ✺

MLS Next Pro Table

2025

Northeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	26	16	2	3	5	65:53	55
2	Philadelphia Union II	27	14	5	3	5	60:31	55
3	New England Revolution II	27	13	5	2	7	49:35	51
4	Chicago Fire II	27	12	4	2	9	66:55	46
5	Toronto FC II	27	10	2	4	11	33:40	38
6	New York City II	27	9	2	4	12	50:57	35
7	Cincinnati 2	26	7	7	0	12	34:39	35
8	Columbus Crew 2	27	5	1	4	17	37:61	21

Southeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Huntsville	27	13	4	2	8	53:32	49
2	Chattanooga	26	12	4	4	6	40:35	48
3	Carolina Core	27	8	5	5	9	42:41	39
4	Atlanta United 2	26	9	2	6	9	43:41	37
5	Orlando City B	27	9	4	2	12	37:51	37
6	Crown Legacy	28	7	3	5	13	45:54	32
7	Inter Miami II	27	6	1	5	15	38:67	25

Pacific Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Town FC	26	13	4	2	7	56:33	49
2	Real Monarchs	27	12	4	4	7	51:41	48
3	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	26	11	4	1	10	59:48	42
4	Ventura County	27	11	2	4	10	48:49	41
5	Portland Timbers 2	27	9	2	4	12	45:53	35
6	Tacoma Defiance	27	9	2	2	14	57:66	33
7	Los Angeles FC II	27	9	2	2	14	45:57	33

Frontier Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	27	17	5	1	4	59:35	62
2	Colorado Rapids 2	27	14	1	4	8	53:40	48
3	Minnesota 2	27	11	2	4	10	42:41	41
4	North Texas	27	10	4	2	11	42:54	40
5	Austin FC II	27	9	3	5	10	33:35	38
6	Houston Dynamo 2	27	9	4	2	12	39:42	37
7	Sporting Kansas City II	27	3	2	4	18	29:64	17

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2 ✔	26	16	2	3	5	65:53	55
2	Philadelphia Union II ✔	27	14	5	3	5	60:31	55
3	New England Revolution II ✔	27	13	5	2	7	49:35	51
4	Huntsville ✔	27	13	4	2	8	53:32	49
5	Chattanooga ✔	26	12	4	4	6	40:35	48
6	Chicago Fire II ✔	27	12	4	2	9	66:55	46
7	Carolina Core	27	8	5	5	9	42:41	39
8	Toronto FC II	27	10	2	4	11	33:40	38
9	Atlanta United 2	26	9	2	6	9	43:41	37
10	Orlando City B	27	9	4	2	12	37:51	37
11	New York City II	27	9	2	4	12	50:57	35
12	Cincinnati 2	26	7	7	0	12	34:39	35
13	Crown Legacy	28	7	3	5	13	45:54	32
14	Inter Miami II	27	6	1	5	15	38:67	25
15	Columbus Crew 2	27	5	1	4	17	37:61	21

Western Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2 ✔	27	17	5	1	4	59:35	62
2	Town FC ✔	26	13	4	2	7	56:33	49
3	Colorado Rapids 2 ✔	27	14	1	4	8	53:40	48
4	Real Monarchs ✔	27	12	4	4	7	51:41	48
5	Vancouver Whitecaps 2 ✔	26	11	4	1	10	59:48	42
6	Minnesota 2 ✔	27	11	2	4	10	42:41	41
7	Ventura County ✔	27	11	2	4	10	48:49	41
8	North Texas	27	10	4	2	11	42:54	40
9	Austin FC II	27	9	3	5	10	33:35	38
10	Houston Dynamo 2	27	9	4	2	12	39:42	37
11	Portland Timbers 2	27	9	2	4	12	45:53	35
12	Tacoma Defiance	27	9	2	2	14	57:66	33
13	Los Angeles FC II	27	9	2	2	14	45:57	33
14	Sporting Kansas City II	27	3	2	4	18	29:64	17

Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

Clinched Spots for Teams

New York Red Bulls 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Philadelphia Union II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
New England Revolution II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Huntsville is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Chattanooga is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Chicago Fire II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
St. Louis City 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Town FC is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Colorado Rapids 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Real Monarchs is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Vancouver Whitecaps 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Minnesota 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Ventura County is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Which TV channels are streaming of Minnesota United 2 - Tacoma Defiance?

It is being streamed on channel


Usa	MLS Next Pro