Mineros de Fresnillo vs Tritones Vallarta: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Mexican Liga Premier Serie A Mineros de Fresnillo - Tritones Vallarta
Result
2:2
04/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga Premier Serie A - Round 7
Mineros de Fresnillo - Tritones Vallarta - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Key Moments

Here there are
  • (2 - 2)

Chances of winning


Mineros de Fresnillo
35.3%
Draw
27.1%
Tritones Vallarta
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.8% 27.4% 40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4% 26.2% 42.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mineros de Fresnillo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Tritones Vallarta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mineros de Fresnillo than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tritones Vallarta than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tritones Vallarta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mineros de Fresnillo - Tritones Vallarta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.55
    (2.86)
    3.32
    (3.32)
    2.39
    (2.23)
    11.1%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mineros de Fresnillo won 1.
    • Mineros de Fresnillo is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Tritones Vallarta is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Tritones Vallarta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Tritones Vallarta has had a series of home games.
    • Tritones Vallarta will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Mineros de Fresnillo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.7:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mineros de Fresnillo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mineros de Fresnillo - Tritones Vallarta were as follows:
    25.01.2025 Mineros de Fresnillo - Tritones Vallarta 2:0
    21.09.2024 Tritones Vallarta - Mineros de Fresnillo 2:1
    14.10.2023 Mineros de Fresnillo - Tritones Vallarta 0:0
    28.01.2023 Tritones Vallarta - Mineros de Fresnillo 3:0
    10.09.2022 Mineros de Fresnillo - Tritones Vallarta 0:1
    Latest results of Mineros de Fresnillo
    Latest results of Tritones Vallarta
    Mexican Liga Premier Serie A Table
    2025/26

    Group 1
    PlWWODLOLPts
    1Los Cabos76000117:719
    2Alacranes de Durango75000216:817
    3Cimarrones de Sonora75010111:417
    4Tecos75010115:917
    5Tritones Vallarta74010212:815
    6Ensenada FC74010210:514
    7Tigres de Alica7301038:711
    8Leones Negros 27302028:811
    9UA Zacatecas72010411:128
    10Guerreros de Autlan7201048:127
    11Colima FC7200057:127
    12Mineros de Fresnillo7102047:155
    13Reboceros de La Piedad7100068:183
    14ACF Zapotlanejo7001066:192


    Group 2
    PlWWODLOLPts
    1Apodaca75110015:420
    2Santiago7401119:714
    3Calor De San Pedro7402018:614
    4Zacatepec7400038:313
    5Matamoros73010310:610
    6Correcaminos 27204015:410
    7Halcones7202039:79
    8Cordobes FC7203027:59
    9Lobos ULMX7203027:69
    10Canamy7203029:109
    11Chilpancingo7300047:149
    12Zitacuaro7102046:136
    13Ciervos7100155:145
    14Atletico Hidalgo7012048:144


    Group 3
    PlWWODLOLPts
    1Racing de Veracruz66000011:019
    2Heroes de Zaci74011112:714
    3Inter Playa Del Carmen73111110:613
    4Deportiva Venados63110112:612
    5Montaneses63100211:811
    6Tapachula63000310:810
    7Chiapas6300037:69
    8Pioneros6300039:119
    9Neza FC7201049:138
    10Celaya72001413:167
    11Canoneros7110148:156
    12Dragones Toluca7101056:134
    13Chapulineros6101044:134

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