Swindon Town vs Milton Keynes Dons: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

03/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

County Ground (Swindon).

: League Two - Round 46
Referee: Bourne D. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.60	0.24
Ball Possession
56%	44%
Total shots
9	5
Shots on target
0	1
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
2	1
Passes
68% (266/394)	63% (195/310)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.60	0.24
xG on target (xGOT)
0.00	0.76
Total shots
9	5
Shots on target
0	1
Shots off target
6	2
Blocked Shots
3	2
Shots inside the Box
4	2
Shots outside the Box
5	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
2	1
Touches in opposition box
19	15
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
16	9
Passes
68% (266/394)	63% (195/310)
Long passes
31% (24/78)	23% (19/82)
Passes in final third
47% (55/117)	45% (39/87)
Crosses
46% (6/13)	13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.58	0.19
Throw-ins
26	33
Fouls
9	16
Tackles
64% (18/28)	48% (11/23)
Duels won
92	57
Clearances
30	23
Interceptions
8	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	0
xGOT faced
0.76	0.00
Goals prevented
0.76	0.00

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Sanders J. 🟨,
24', Smith H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tomlinson J. ↓, O'Reilly T. ↑,
62', Orsi-Dadomo D. ↓, Leko J. ↑,
68', Hendry C. 🟨,
76', Kelly L. ↓, White J. ↑,
77', Hendry C. ↓, Patterson T. ↑,
77', Kirkman B. ↓, Tshimanga K. ↑,
78', Ofoborh N. ↓, Cotterill J. ↑,
78', Smith H. ↓, Westley J. ↑,
83', Clarke O. ↓, Hall G. ↑,
84', Butterworth D. ↓, Alston G. ↑,
90+3', Maguire L. ↓, Lewington D. ↑,

Chances of winning

Swindon Town
53.7%

Draw
23.8%

Milton Keynes Dons
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Swindon Town - Milton Keynes Dons Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.81)	3.94 ↑ (3.9)	4.18 ↑ (3.89)	6.3% (6.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Swindon Town - Milton Keynes Dons?

Users Predictions: Swindon Town will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 18).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 0.
Swindon is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
MK Dons's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Swindon is the team to beat.
There will not play in Swindon: Drinan A. (Knee Injury) McGregor J. (Inactive) Minturn H. (Groin Injury)
There will not play in MK Dons: Sherring S. (Inactive) Thompson N. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Swindon: Hall G. (Inactive) Nichols T. (Injury)
There are questionable in MK Dons: Hogan S. (Injury)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 16:34. (average 1.1:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Swindon won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.9:1.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Milton Keynes Dons?

Swindon Town has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Swindon Town?

Milton Keynes Dons has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Swindon Town - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:

09.11.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Swindon Town 3:1

17.02.2024 Swindon Town - Milton Keynes Dons 1:2

28.10.2023 Milton Keynes Dons - Swindon Town 3:2

Latest results of Swindon Town

26.04.2025 Gillingham - Swindon Town 1:1 ✺

21.04.2025 Swindon Town - Bromley 0:1 ✺

18.04.2025 Grimsby Town - Swindon Town 0:4 ✺

12.04.2025 Swindon Town - Bradford City 5:4 ✺

05.04.2025 Fleetwood Town - Swindon Town 0:4 ✺

Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons

26.04.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Grimsby Town 0:0 ✺

21.04.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Milton Keynes Dons 0:1 ✺

18.04.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Newport County 0:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Gillingham - Milton Keynes Dons 1:0 ✺

05.04.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Barrow 0:3 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Colchester	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Bristol Rovers	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Cheltenham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Crewe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Gillingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Oldham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Swindon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Tranmere	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Walsall	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Accrington	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Barnet	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Chesterfield	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Grimsby	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	MK Dons	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Notts Co	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Shrewsbury	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Cambridge Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Crawley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Barrow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Bromley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Newport	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Harrogate	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
23	Fleetwood	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
24	Salford	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ League Two
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League

Which TV channels are streaming of Swindon Town - Milton Keynes Dons?

It is being streamed on channel


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+