Milton Keynes Dons vs Newport County: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

18/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadium MK (Milton Keynes).

: League Two - Round 43
Referee: Byrne A. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.35	0.16
Ball Possession
65%	35%
Total shots
7	5
Shots on target
2	2
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
5	2
Passes
74% (321/431)	52% (126/242)
Yellow Cards
4	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.35	0.16
xG on target (xGOT)
0.11	0.06
Total shots
7	5
Shots on target
2	2
Shots off target
4	1
Blocked Shots
1	2
Shots inside the Box
4	3
Shots outside the Box
3	2
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
5	2
Touches in opposition box
17	7
Through passes
0% (0/1)	0% (0/1)
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
14	16
Passes
74% (321/431)	52% (126/242)
Long passes
35% (29/82)	18% (15/83)
Passes in final third
60% (80/133)	42% (32/76)
Crosses
11% (3/27)	25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.71	0.23
Fouls
16	14
Tackles
56% (5/9)	79% (11/14)
Duels won
53	79
Clearances Total
20	40
Interceptions
9	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
0.06	0.11
Goals prevented
0.06	0.11

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Thompson-Sommers K. 🟨,
31', Hendry C. ↓, Orsi-Dadomo D. ↑,
39', Maguire L. 🟨,
43', Lemonheigh-Evans C. 🟨,
45+1', O'Reilly T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', O'Reilly T. ↓, White J. ↑,
50', Baker-Richardson C. 🟨,
62', Whitmore K. ↓, Evans K. ↑,
62', Baker-Richardson C. ↓, Hudlin K. ↑,
74', Kelly L. ↓, Leko J. ↑,
79', Clarke J. ↓, Warner J. ↑,
79', Spellman M. ↓, Ajiboye D. ↑,
89', Hudlin K. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Milton Keynes Dons 62.4%

Draw 22.2%

Newport County 15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

Milton Keynes Dons 59.4%

Draw 21.5%

Newport County 19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

Milton Keynes Dons 61%

Draw 20.9%

Newport County 18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Milton Keynes Dons - Newport County Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.57)	4.21 ↓ (4.34)	6.19 ↑ (4.87)	6.2% (7.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Milton Keynes Dons - Newport County?

The most likely score is 1:0.

Preview Facts

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 19 and 18).
Last 5 head-to-head matches MK Dons won 2.
Both teams have a series of defeats in the last matches.
In this match MK Dons is a favorite.
There will not play in MK Dons: Sherring S. (Inactive) Thompson N. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Newport: Evans C. (Inactive) Wildig A. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in MK Dons: Patterson T. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Newport: Davies T. (Hamstring Injury) Driscoll-Glennon A. (Injury) Jameson K. (Injury)
Last 8 head-to-head matches MK Dons won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:12 (average 1.9:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams MK Dons won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:1 (average 2.7:0.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Newport County?

Milton Keynes Dons has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Newport County won against Milton Keynes Dons?

Newport County has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Milton Keynes Dons - Newport County were as follows:

21.12.2024 Newport County - Milton Keynes Dons 6:3

24.02.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Newport County 3:0

11.11.2023 Newport County - Milton Keynes Dons 0:0

22.11.2022 Milton Keynes Dons - Newport County 3:1

Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons

12.04.2025 Gillingham - Milton Keynes Dons 1:0 ✺

05.04.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Barrow 0:3 ✺

02.04.2025 Notts County - Milton Keynes Dons 3:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Fleetwood Town 2:4 ✺

25.03.2025 Carlisle United - Milton Keynes Dons 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Newport County

12.04.2025 Newport County - Colchester United 0:2 ✺

05.04.2025 Carlisle United - Newport County 3:2 ✺

01.04.2025 Newport County - Bromley 1:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Newport County - Notts County 0:2 ✺

22.03.2025 Grimsby Town - Newport County 1:0 ✺

English League Two Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Doncaster ✔	46	24	12	10	73:50	23	84
2	Port Vale ✔	46	22	14	10	65:46	19	80
3	Bradford City	46	22	12	12	64:45	19	78
4	Walsall	46	21	14	11	75:54	21	77
5	AFC Wimbledon	46	20	13	13	56:35	21	73
6	Notts Co ✔	46	20	12	14	68:49	19	72
7	Chesterfield	46	19	13	14	73:54	19	70
8	Salford	46	18	15	13	64:54	10	69
9	Grimsby	46	20	8	18	61:67	-6	68
10	Colchester	46	16	19	11	52:47	5	67
11	Bromley	46	17	15	14	64:59	5	66
12	Swindon	46	15	17	14	71:63	8	62
13	Crewe	46	15	17	14	49:48	1	62
14	Fleetwood	46	15	15	16	60:60	0	60
15	Cheltenham	46	16	12	18	60:70	-10	60
16	Barrow	46	15	14	17	52:50	2	59
17	Gillingham	46	14	16	16	41:46	-5	58
18	Harrogate	46	14	11	21	43:61	-18	53
19	MK Dons	46	14	10	22	52:66	-14	52
20	Tranmere	46	12	15	19	45:65	-20	51
21	Accrington	46	12	14	20	53:69	-16	50
22	Newport	46	13	10	23	52:76	-24	49
23	Carlisle ✔	46	10	12	24	44:71	-27	42
24	Morecambe ✔	46	10	6	30	40:72	-32	36

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League

Clinched Spots for Teams

Doncaster is Qualified for League One
Port Vale is Qualified for League One
Notts Co is Qualified for League Two (Play Offs Semi~finals)
Carlisle is Relegated to National League
Morecambe is Relegated to National League

Which TV channels are streaming of Milton Keynes Dons - Newport County?

It is being streamed on channel


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+