Newport County vs Milton Keynes Dons: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

23/08/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Rodney Parade (Newport).

: League Two - Round 5
Referee: Morland S. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.62	2.19
Ball Possession
48%	52%
Total shots
10	18
Shots on target
3	4
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
3	7
Passes
69% (237/343)	71% (260/368)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62	2.19
xG on target (xGOT)
0.45	1.66
Total shots
10	18
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
6	5
Blocked Shots
1	9
Shots inside the Box
9	11
Shots outside the Box
1	7
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
3	7
Touches in opposition box
23	26
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
4	7
Free Kicks
12	12
Passes
69% (237/343)	71% (260/368)
Long passes
37% (33/89)	39% (28/72)
Passes in final third
52% (52/100)	54% (70/130)
Crosses
10% (2/20)	35% (7/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.37	1.14
Throw-ins
26	25
Fouls
12	13
Tackles
60% (6/10)	77% (10/13)
Duels won
51	55
Clearances
28	53
Interceptions
6	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
1.66	0.45
Goals prevented
-0.34	-0.55

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Ogunneye H. ⚽, Lloyd B. (A),
45+1', 1 - 1, Mendez-Laing N. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Spellman M. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
51', 1 - 2, Paterson C. ⚽, Kelly L. (A),
61', Jones G. ↓, Thompson N. ↑,
67', Antwi C. ↓, Garner G. ↑,
70', Kamwa B. (Pen),
72', Nemane A. ↓, Hepburn-Murphy R. ↑,
77', Thompson N. 🟨,
78', Mendez-Laing N. ↓, Hogan S. ↑,
78', Collar W. ↓, Thompson-Sommers K. ↑,
83', Davies T. 🟨,
89', Davies T. ↓, Driscoll-Glennon A. ↑,
89', Hogan S. ↓, Leko J. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Newport County
19.3%

Draw
24.2%

Milton Keynes Dons
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.9%

25.1%

54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4%

24.6%

55.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Newport County - Milton Keynes Dons Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.88 ↑ (4.48)	3.84 ↑ (3.73)	1.69 ↓ (1.73)	5.9% (7.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Newport County - Milton Keynes Dons?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. MK Dons (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Milton Keynes Dons will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newport won 1.
Newport is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
MK Dons has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, MK Dons is the team to beat.
There will not play in MK Dons: Maguire L. (Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Newport: Warner J. (Inactive)
There are questionable in MK Dons: Sherring S. (Hamstring Injury) Tomlinson J. (Foot Injury)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Newport won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.3:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Newport won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 2.2:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Newport County won against Milton Keynes Dons?

Newport County has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Newport County?

Milton Keynes Dons has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Newport County - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:

18.04.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Newport County 0:0

21.12.2024 Newport County - Milton Keynes Dons 6:3

24.02.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Newport County 3:0

11.11.2023 Newport County - Milton Keynes Dons 0:0

22.11.2022 Milton Keynes Dons - Newport County 3:1

Latest results of Newport County

19.08.2025 Newport County - Salford City 0:1 ✺

16.08.2025 Grimsby Town - Newport County 2:1 ✺

12.08.2025 Newport County - Millwall 0:1 ✺

09.08.2025 Crawley Town - Newport County 1:2 ✺

02.08.2025 Newport County - Notts County 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons

19.08.2025 Crawley Town - Milton Keynes Dons 1:1 ✺

16.08.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Cheltenham Town 5:0 ✺

12.08.2025 Bristol City - Milton Keynes Dons 2:0 ✺

09.08.2025 Barrow - Milton Keynes Dons 0:2 ✺

02.08.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Oldham Athletic 0:0 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Gillingham	6	4	2	0	9:3	6	14
2	Chesterfield	6	4	1	1	11:8	3	13
3	Bromley	6	3	3	0	10:5	5	12
4	Crewe	6	4	0	2	10:6	4	12
5	Swindon	6	4	0	2	11:8	3	12
6	Walsall	6	4	0	2	6:4	2	12
7	MK Dons	6	3	2	1	10:3	7	11
8	Grimsby	6	3	2	1	10:6	4	11
9	Fleetwood	6	3	2	1	9:8	1	11
10	Cambridge Utd	6	3	1	2	8:6	2	10
11	Salford	6	3	1	2	7:7	0	10
12	Tranmere	5	2	2	1	9:4	5	8
13	Notts Co	6	2	2	2	11:9	2	8
14	Harrogate	6	2	2	2	7:8	-1	8
15	Barnet	6	2	1	3	5:7	-2	7
16	Bristol Rovers	6	2	1	3	4:6	-2	7
17	Colchester	6	1	3	2	6:7	-1	6
18	Barrow	6	2	0	4	4:6	-2	6
19	Oldham	6	0	4	2	3:5	-2	4
20	Newport	6	1	1	4	5:9	-4	4
21	Accrington	5	0	3	2	3:6	-3	3
22	Crawley	6	0	2	4	4:11	-7	2
23	Shrewsbury	6	0	2	4	2:12	-10	2
24	Cheltenham	6	0	1	5	2:12	-10	1

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League

Which TV channels are streaming of Newport County - Milton Keynes Dons?

It is being streamed on channel


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+