Milton Keynes Dons vs Grimsby Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English League Two Milton Keynes Dons - Grimsby Town
Result
2:3
06/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League Two - Round 7
  • Referee: Mackey O. (Eng)
Milton Keynes Dons - Grimsby Town - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.531.84
Ball Possession
29%71%
Total shots
813
Shots on target
28
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
60% (146/243)85% (551/651)
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.531.84
xG on target (xGOT)
0.291.47
Total shots
813
Shots on target
28
Shots off target
41
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
510
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
1630
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1110
Passes
60% (146/243)85% (551/651)
Long passes
22% (13/58)49% (22/45)
Passes in final third
41% (35/86)68% (108/159)
Crosses
16% (3/19)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.411.15
Throw-ins
2023
Fouls
1111
Tackles
62% (8/13)62% (8/13)
Duels won
5065
Clearances
2949
Interceptions
116
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
50
xGOT faced
1.470.29
Goals prevented
-1.53-0.71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 8', Offord L. 🟨,
  • 9', 0 - 1, Green K. , Vernam C. (A),
  • 23', 0 - 2, Kabia J. ,
  • 29', 0 - 3, Vernam C. , McEachran G. (A),
  • 35', Offord L. , Nemane A. ,
  • 36', Mellish J. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Hogan S. , Lemonheigh-Evans C. ,
  • 47', 1 - 3, McEachran G. (Own goal),
  • 72', Vernam C. , Soonsup-Bell J. ,
  • 72', Wilson K. , Collar W. ,
  • 75', Kelly L. 🟨,
  • 79', Hepburn-Murphy R. , Leko J. ,
  • 80', Kelly L. , Crowley D. ,
  • 84', Kabia J. , Rose D. ,
  • 86', McEachran G. 🟨,
  • 89', Burns D. , Eccleston N. ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 3, Lemonheigh-Evans C. , Paterson C. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Milton Keynes Dons
43.5%
Draw
27.1%
Grimsby Town
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 26.9% 26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4% 28.5% 25%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Milton Keynes Dons, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Milton Keynes Dons - Grimsby Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.23
    (2.02)
    3.52
    (3.5)
    3.2
    (3.56)
    4.6%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Milton Keynes Dons - Grimsby Town?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. MK Dons will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • MK Dons may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • MK Dons will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in MK Dons: Jones G. (Injury) Maguire L. (Hamstring Injury) Tomlinson J. (Foot Injury) Wilson K. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Grimsby: Svanthorsson J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in MK Dons: Collins A. (Inactive) Hogan S. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Grimsby: Gilsenan Z. (Inactive) Lavelle S. (Calf Injury) Tharme D. (Inactive) Walker J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.9:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, MK Dons won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Milton Keynes Dons - Grimsby Town were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Grimsby Town 0:0
    26.10.2024 Grimsby Town - Milton Keynes Dons 1:3
    12.03.2024 Grimsby Town - Milton Keynes Dons 1:0
    28.11.2023 Milton Keynes Dons - Grimsby Town 1:1
    Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
    Latest results of Grimsby Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1181217:9825
    2Swindon1180322:13924
    3Grimsby1163223:131021
    4Gillingham1163217:10721
    5Crewe1161416:12419
    6Salford1161417:15219
    7MK Dons1153319:12718
    8Cambridge Utd1153314:10418
    9Chesterfield1153320:19118
    10Notts Co1152420:13717
    11Barnet1152414:12217
    12Bristol Rovers1152413:13017
    13Bromley1136217:15215
    14Fleetwood1143415:16-115
    15Oldham1135310:9114
    16Harrogate1142512:14-214
    17Barrow114169:12-313
    18Tranmere1025316:15111
    19Colchester1125416:16011
    20Accrington102357:13-69
    21Crawley112279:20-118
    22Cheltenham112186:24-187
    23Shrewsbury111377:20-136
    24Newport1112810:21-115

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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