Derby County vs Milton Keynes Dons: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League One Derby County - Milton Keynes Dons
Result
1:1
10/04/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 41
  • Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)
Derby County - Milton Keynes Dons - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Derby County
58.1%
Draw
24.4%
Milton Keynes Dons
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59% 24.4% 16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3% 23.3% 17.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Derby County - Milton Keynes Dons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.58)
    3.89
    (3.82)
    5.38
    (5.62)
    6%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Derby County - Milton Keynes Dons?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 7 and 19).
    • Derby has the most likely position - 6 (32.88%), project points - 77, currently - 67, not chance of relegated, a chance of prom. playoffs (48%), a small chance of promoted (10%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • MK Dons has the most likely position - 20 (29.96%), project points - 48, currently - 41, a chance of relegated (16%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
    • This event has small quality 23, importance 33, small match rating 28. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Recent matches Derby is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • MK Dons is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match Derby is a favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Derby won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Derby won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:
    12.11.2022 Milton Keynes Dons - Derby County 1:3
    Latest results of Derby County
    Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Charlton (4)Wycombe (5)1 : 0, 0 : 0
    2Stockport County (3)Leyton Orient (6)1 : 2, 2 : 2

    Final
    1Charlton (4)Leyton Orient (6)
    X
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