Chesterfield vs Milton Keynes Dons: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two Chesterfield - Milton Keynes Dons
Result
1:1
13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League Two - Round 8
  • Referee: Duckworth E. (Eng)
Chesterfield - Milton Keynes Dons - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.500.37
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
114
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
80% (341/427)67% (218/324)
Yellow Cards
15
Expected Goals (xG)
0.500.37
xG on target (xGOT)
0.560.14
Total shots
114
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
20
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
30
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
1917
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
159
Passes
80% (341/427)67% (218/324)
Long passes
36% (23/64)33% (26/80)
Passes in final third
69% (89/129)48% (56/117)
Crosses
21% (6/29)27% (6/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.540.90
Throw-ins
3020
Fouls
916
Tackles
67% (8/12)67% (6/9)
Duels won
4556
Clearances
3833
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.140.56
Goals prevented
-0.86-0.44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 25', 0 - 1, Hepburn-Murphy R. , Paterson C. (A),
  • 35', Crowley D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', Mendez-Laing N. 🟨,
  • 62', Mendez-Laing N. , Collins A. ,
  • 63', Bonis L. , Grigg W. ,
  • 63', Daley-Campbell V. , Tanton D. ,
  • 65', Dobra A. 🟨,
  • 65', Hepburn-Murphy R. 🟨,
  • 68', Gilbey A. 🟨,
  • 74', Crowley D. , Collar W. ,
  • 78', Markanday D. , Mandeville L. ,
  • 78', Darcy R. , Dickson W. ,
  • 83', Hepburn-Murphy R. , Leko J. ,
  • 86', 1 - 1, Naylor T. , Mandeville L. (A),
  • 87', 🟨,
  • 90+2', Dobra A. , Lewis A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Chesterfield
34.9%
Draw
29.4%
Milton Keynes Dons
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.8% 27.6% 27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2% 27.2% 28%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chesterfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chesterfield's form might have worsened.
  • Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Milton Keynes Dons's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chesterfield, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Milton Keynes Dons, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Chesterfield - Milton Keynes Dons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.96
    (2.07)
    3.4
    (3.36)
    2.75
    (3.36)
    -0.4%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Chesterfield - Milton Keynes Dons?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Chesterfield will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). MK Dons will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. MK Dons (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 2.
    • Chesterfield is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, MK Dons has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • MK Dons may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Chesterfield has had a series of away games.
    • Chesterfield will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Chesterfield: Butterfield L. (Foot Injury) Dibley-Dias M. (Injury) Donacien J. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in MK Dons: Jones G. (Injury) Maguire L. (Hamstring Injury) Mellish J. (Red Card) Tomlinson J. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in Chesterfield: Berry-McNally J. (Injury) Williams T. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in MK Dons: Collins A. (Inactive)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.9:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chesterfield won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chesterfield - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:
    01.01.2025 Chesterfield - Milton Keynes Dons 1:2
    03.12.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Chesterfield 3:0
    Latest results of Chesterfield
    Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1071215:8722
    2Swindon1070321:13821
    3Gillingham1063115:7821
    4Salford1061317:13419
    5Grimsby1053221:13818
    6Chesterfield1053218:13518
    7Bristol Rovers1052312:11117
    8Crewe1051414:11316
    9MK Dons1043316:10615
    10Cambridge Utd1043311:9215
    11Fleetwood1043315:14115
    12Notts Co1042417:12514
    13Oldham103529:6314
    14Bromley1035214:12214
    15Barnet1042412:12014
    16Harrogate1042411:12-114
    17Barrow104069:12-312
    18Tranmere924313:12110
    19Accrington92347:11-49
    20Colchester1015410:14-48
    21Crawley102268:17-98
    22Newport1012710:20-105
    23Shrewsbury101277:20-135
    24Cheltenham101184:24-204

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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