Milton Keynes Dons vs Cheltenham Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two Milton Keynes Dons - Cheltenham Town
Result
5:0
16/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League Two - Round 3
  • Referee: Miles J. (Eng)
Milton Keynes Dons - Cheltenham Town - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.310.64
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
169
Shots on target
82
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
31
Passes
69% (227/328)66% (189/285)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
2.310.64
xG on target (xGOT)
3.510.37
Total shots
169
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
134
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
31
Touches in opposition box
2514
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
1110
Passes
69% (227/328)66% (189/285)
Long passes
39% (28/72)25% (17/69)
Passes in final third
50% (53/105)56% (50/90)
Crosses
36% (5/14)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.960.37
Throw-ins
4223
Fouls
1013
Tackles
60% (9/15)83% (10/12)
Duels won
6661
Clearances
4649
Interceptions
712
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.373.51
Goals prevented
0.37-1.49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 5', Mazionis J. 🟨,
  • 9', 1 - 0, Sanders J. , Offord L. (A),
  • 15', 2 - 0, Gilbey A. , Mendez-Laing N. (A),
  • 25', 3 - 0, Paterson C. ,
  • 36', Mazionis J. , Kinsella L. ,
  • 42', Jude-Boyd A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 56', Miller G. , Bickerstaff J. ,
  • 56', Young L. , Martin J. ,
  • 60', 4 - 0, Hepburn-Murphy R. , Paterson C. (A),
  • 67', Hepburn-Murphy R. , Leko J. ,
  • 67', Paterson C. , Hogan S. ,
  • 68', Mendez-Laing N. , Nemane A. ,
  • 71', Bickerstaff J. 🟨,
  • 74', Collar W. 🟨,
  • 76', Jones G. , Ekpiteta M. ,
  • 76', Collar W. , Lemonheigh-Evans C. ,
  • 80', 5 - 0, Nemane A. ,
  • 83', Archer E. 🟨,
  • 89', Jude-Boyd A. , Harmon G. ,
  • 89', Broom R. , Tustin H. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Milton Keynes Dons
64.1%
Draw
22.2%
Cheltenham Town
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58% 23.6% 18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2% 22.4% 17.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Milton Keynes Dons's performance.
  • Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Milton Keynes Dons - Cheltenham Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.62)
    4.41
    (3.98)
    7.27
    (5.09)
    3.4%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Milton Keynes Dons - Cheltenham Town?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. MK Dons (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Milton Keynes Dons will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.01%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 2.
    • MK Dons is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Cheltenham has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • MK Dons may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Cheltenham has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, MK Dons is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in MK Dons: Maguire L. (Inactive) Sherring S. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Cheltenham: Anderson T. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in MK Dons: Hendry C. (Inactive) Thompson-Sommers K. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cheltenham: Cundy R. (Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.7:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, MK Dons won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 2.4:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Milton Keynes Dons - Cheltenham Town were as follows:
    22.03.2025 Cheltenham Town - Milton Keynes Dons 0:1
    16.11.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Cheltenham Town 3:2
    15.04.2023 Milton Keynes Dons - Cheltenham Town 2:2
    29.10.2022 Cheltenham Town - Milton Keynes Dons 0:0
    30.08.2022 Milton Keynes Dons - Cheltenham Town 1:2
    Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
    Latest results of Cheltenham Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Crewe33006:159
    2Chesterfield33006:159
    3MK Dons32107:077
    4Grimsby32108:447
    5Fleetwood32106:337
    6Swindon32016:516
    7Walsall32014:316
    8Salford32015:506
    9Tranmere31206:245
    10Colchester31204:225
    11Bromley31204:225
    12Harrogate31205:415
    13Gillingham31203:215
    14Cambridge Utd31114:404
    15Newport31114:404
    16Barrow31022:4-23
    17Oldham30212:3-12
    18Notts Co30123:5-21
    19Accrington30122:5-31
    20Shrewsbury30120:6-61
    21Bristol Rovers30032:6-40
    22Barnet30031:6-50
    23Crawley30031:6-50
    24Cheltenham30030:8-80

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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