Result
2:2
25/03/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: League Two - Round 26
- Referee: Bannister A. (Eng)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 26 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (300/402) | 85% (507/593) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 62% (81/130) | 71% (90/126) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (8/29) | 13% (2/15) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 83% (10/12) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 25 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 3', Vela J. 🟨,
- 6', 0 - 1, Tomlinson J. ⚽, Nemane A. (A),
- 8', Nemane A. 🟨,
- 26', 1 - 1, Dennis M. ⚽, Davies A. (A),
- 37', 1 - 2, Gilbey A. ⚽,
- 45+4', 2 - 2, Harris K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 55', White J. ↓, Kelly L. ↑,
- 74', Nemane A. ↓, Leko J. ↑,
- 77', Vela J. ↓, Kelly G. ↑,
- 87', Wearne S. ↓, Guy C. ↑,
- 87', Whelan C. ↓, Fusire S. ↑,
- 87', Jones J. ↓, Bevan J. ↑,
- 88', Crowley D. ↓, O'Reilly T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Carlisle United
39.1% | Draw
27.5% | Milton Keynes Dons
33.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carlisle United's performance.Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Milton Keynes Dons might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carlisle United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Milton Keynes Dons could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Carlisle United - Milton Keynes Dons Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.41 ↓
(3.1) |
3.42 ↓
(3.47) |
2.8 ↑
(2.19) |
6.4%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Carlisle United - Milton Keynes Dons?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Carlisle will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). MK Dons will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Postponed due to unsuitable ground.
- An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 11).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 2.
- The competitors look crappy now.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7:11 (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Carlisle won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Carlisle United won against Milton Keynes Dons?
Carlisle United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Carlisle United?
Milton Keynes Dons has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carlisle United - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:
24.08.2024
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Carlisle United
3:0
Latest results of Carlisle United
Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crewe | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Fleetwood | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Chesterfield | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Tranmere | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 4 |
| 5 | Grimsby | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | MK Dons | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Bromley | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Harrogate | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Newport | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Gillingham | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Swindon | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Cambridge Utd | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Walsall | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Salford | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 | Colchester | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 16 | Oldham | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 17 | Notts Co | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 18 | Accrington | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 1 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 21 | Cheltenham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 22 | Barrow | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 23 | Crawley | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 24 | Barnet | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ League Two
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
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