Barrow vs Milton Keynes Dons: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two Barrow - Milton Keynes Dons
Result
0:2
09/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League Two - Round 2
  • Referee: Barlow M. (Eng)
Barrow - Milton Keynes Dons - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.350.95
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
711
Shots on target
04
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
15
Passes
64% (196/308)70% (246/352)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.350.95
xG on target (xGOT)
0.001.34
Total shots
711
Shots on target
04
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
37
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
15
Touches in opposition box
1619
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1018
Passes
64% (196/308)70% (246/352)
Long passes
36% (27/75)29% (23/79)
Passes in final third
59% (70/119)52% (68/130)
Crosses
6% (1/16)8% (2/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.510.56
Throw-ins
3219
Fouls
1912
Tackles
70% (7/10)54% (13/24)
Duels won
7076
Clearances
4243
Interceptions
713
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
1.340.00
Goals prevented
-0.660.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 26', Mendez-Laing N. 🟨,
  • 29', Thompson-Sommers K. , Collar W. ,
  • 35', Jackson B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 56', Jones G. 🟨,
  • 58', Barkhuizen T. 🟨,
  • 59', Hepburn-Murphy R. , Nemane A. ,
  • 62', Harper R. , Fletcher I. ,
  • 63', Fletcher I. 🟨,
  • 73', 0 - 1, Gilbey A. ,
  • 77', Newby E. , Walker T. ,
  • 78', Mendez-Laing N. , Ekpiteta M. ,
  • 79', Kelly L. , Lemonheigh-Evans C. ,
  • 81', 0 - 2, Paterson C. ,
  • 87', Smith S. , Earing J. ,

Chances of winning


Barrow
34.6%
Draw
30%
Milton Keynes Dons
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 28.5% 31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2% 27.5% 30.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barrow's form might have worsened.
  • Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barrow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • Barrow - Milton Keynes Dons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.7
    (2.36)
    3.12
    (3.29)
    2.64
    (2.94)
    7%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Barrow - Milton Keynes Dons?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Barrow will win (votes: 2 - 25%). MK Dons will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for MK Dons: 4%71%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Barrow have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • MK Dons has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Barrow: Adu Poku M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in MK Dons: Crowley D. (Inactive) Hogan S. (Injury) Maguire L. (Inactive) Sherring S. (Inactive) Thompson N. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Barrow: Williams M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Barrow won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barrow - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Barrow 0:3
    11.02.2025 Barrow - Milton Keynes Dons 2:1
    03.02.2024 Barrow - Milton Keynes Dons 1:0
    14.10.2023 Milton Keynes Dons - Barrow 2:2
    Latest results of Barrow
    02.08.2025 Chesterfield - Barrow 1:0
    26.07.2025 Barrow - Rochdale 1:0
    19.07.2025 Tamworth - Barrow 0:2
    15.07.2025 Barrow - Bolton Wanderers 0:1
    12.07.2025 Lancaster City - Barrow 0:2
    Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Crewe22005:146
    2Fleetwood22004:136
    3Chesterfield22003:036
    4Tranmere21105:144
    5Grimsby21106:334
    6MK Dons21102:024
    7Bromley21102:024
    8Harrogate21104:314
    9Newport21103:214
    10Gillingham21102:114
    11Swindon21014:403
    12Cambridge Utd21013:303
    13Walsall21012:203
    14Salford21013:4-13
    15Colchester20202:202
    16Oldham20201:102
    17Notts Co20112:3-11
    18Accrington20111:3-21
    19Shrewsbury20110:4-41
    20Bristol Rovers20021:3-20
    21Cheltenham20020:3-30
    22Barrow20020:3-30
    23Crawley20021:5-40
    24Barnet20020:4-40

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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