Accrington Stanley vs Milton Keynes Dons: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

04/03/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

The Wham Stadium (Accrington).

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 35
Referee: Rhodes G. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.74	0.18
Ball Possession
28%	72%
Goal Attempts
10	3
Shots on Goal
3	0
Shots off Goal
3	2
Blocked Shots
4	1
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
2	7
Shots inside the Box
7	2
Shots outside the Box
3	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	1
Free Kicks
12	21
Offsides
1	1
Fouls
21	12
Yellow Cards
1	2
Throw-ins
22	26
Touches in the Opposition Box
14	7
Passes
63% (141/224)	83% (475/569)
Passes in the final third
55% (42/77)	62% (56/91)
Crosses
25% (3/12)	17% (4/24)
Tackles
74% (14/19)	55% (6/11)
Clearances Total
31	15
Interceptions
9	1

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Walton T. ⚽, Quirk S. (A),
39', 2 - 0, O'Brien Whitmarsh J. ⚽, Caton C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Patterson T. 🟨,
61', Williams J. ↓, White J. ↑,
61', Patterson T. ↓, Tomlinson J. ↑,
62', Lawrence N. 🟨,
64', Caton C. ↓, Mooney K. ↑,
71', Kelly L. ↓, Orsi-Dadomo D. ↑,
78', Henderson A. ↓, Batty J. ↑,
88', Waller C. ↓, Lemonheigh-Evans C. ↑,
89', Quirk S. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Accrington Stanley 36.9%

Draw 28.4%

Milton Keynes Dons 34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

Accrington Stanley 38.2%

Draw 27.9%

Milton Keynes Dons 33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

Accrington Stanley 40.1%

Draw 29.3%

Milton Keynes Dons 32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Accrington Stanley - Milton Keynes Dons Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.46)	3.32 ↓ (3.36)	2.71 ↓ (2.77)	6.1% (6.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Accrington Stanley - Milton Keynes Dons?

The most likely score is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 21 and 17).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Accrington won 1.
Accrington is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
MK Dons has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Accrington could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Accrington have a series of guest games.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Accrington: Rich-Baghuelou J. (Inactive)
There will not play in MK Dons: Hendry C. (Red Card) Leko J. (Knee Injury) Maguire L. (Inactive) Sanders J. (Inactive) Thompson N. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Accrington: Rawson F. (Inactive)
Last 10 head-to-head matches Accrington won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11:14 (average 1.1:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Accrington won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1.2:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Accrington Stanley won against Milton Keynes Dons?

Accrington Stanley has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Accrington Stanley?

Milton Keynes Dons has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Accrington Stanley - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:

22.10.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Accrington Stanley 2:1

10.02.2024 Milton Keynes Dons - Accrington Stanley 2:1

21.10.2023 Accrington Stanley - Milton Keynes Dons 1:0

18.03.2023 Accrington Stanley - Milton Keynes Dons 0:1

Latest results of Accrington Stanley

01.03.2025 Harrogate Town - Accrington Stanley 2:1 ✺

25.02.2025 Tranmere Rovers - Accrington Stanley 0:1 ✺

22.02.2025 Accrington Stanley - Doncaster Rovers 1:2 ✺

15.02.2025 Morecambe - Accrington Stanley 2:0 ✺

11.02.2025 Bradford City - Accrington Stanley 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons

01.03.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Colchester United 0:1 ✺

22.02.2025 Bradford City - Milton Keynes Dons 2:0 ✺

15.02.2025 Tranmere Rovers - Milton Keynes Dons 1:1 ✺

11.02.2025 Barrow - Milton Keynes Dons 2:1 ✺

08.02.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Bromley 0:1 ✺

English League Two Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Doncaster ✔	46	24	12	10	73:50	23	84
2	Port Vale ✔	46	22	14	10	65:46	19	80
3	Bradford City	46	22	12	12	64:45	19	78
4	Walsall	46	21	14	11	75:54	21	77
5	AFC Wimbledon	46	20	13	13	56:35	21	73
6	Notts Co ✔	46	20	12	14	68:49	19	72
7	Chesterfield	46	19	13	14	73:54	19	70
8	Salford	46	18	15	13	64:54	10	69
9	Grimsby	46	20	8	18	61:67	-6	68
10	Colchester	46	16	19	11	52:47	5	67
11	Bromley	46	17	15	14	64:59	5	66
12	Swindon	46	15	17	14	71:63	8	62
13	Crewe	46	15	17	14	49:48	1	62
14	Fleetwood	46	15	15	16	60:60	0	60
15	Cheltenham	46	16	12	18	60:70	-10	60
16	Barrow	46	15	14	17	52:50	2	59
17	Gillingham	46	14	16	16	41:46	-5	58
18	Harrogate	46	14	11	21	43:61	-18	53
19	MK Dons	46	14	10	22	52:66	-14	52
20	Tranmere	46	12	15	19	45:65	-20	51
21	Accrington	46	12	14	20	53:69	-16	50
22	Newport	46	13	10	23	52:76	-24	49
23	Carlisle ✔	46	10	12	24	44:71	-27	42
24	Morecambe ✔	46	10	6	30	40:72	-32	36

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League

Clinched Spots for Teams

Doncaster is Qualified for League One
Port Vale is Qualified for League One
Notts Co is Qualified for League Two (Play Offs Semi~finals)
Carlisle is Relegated to National League
Morecambe is Relegated to National League

Which TV channels are streaming of Accrington Stanley - Milton Keynes Dons?

It is being streamed on channel


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+