Millwall vs Middlesbrough: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Championship Millwall - Middlesbrough
Result
1:0
12/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Championship - Round 42
  • Referee: Nield T. (Eng)
Millwall - Middlesbrough - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.650.69
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
71% (223/312)80% (386/483)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.650.69
xG on target (xGOT)
1.270.30
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
104
Shots outside the Box
37
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
1522
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1021
Passes
71% (223/312)80% (386/483)
Long passes
47% (33/70)47% (31/66)
Passes in final third
49% (46/93)70% (105/149)
Crosses
60% (9/15)8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.700.56
Fouls
2110
Tackles
65% (17/26)69% (11/16)
Duels won
5767
Clearances Total
2822
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
0.301.27
Goals prevented
0.300.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Cundle L. , Langstaff M. ,
  • 58', De Norre C. , Saville G. ,
  • 58', Emakhu A. , Azeez F. ,
  • 58', Honeyman G. , Neghli C. ,
  • 66', 1 - 0, Neghli C. ,
  • 66', Burgzorg D. , McGree R. ,
  • 66', Whittaker M. , Forss M. ,
  • 79', Neghli C. , Harding W. ,
  • 84', Dijksteel A. , Iheanacho K. ,
  • 88', Azeez F. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Millwall
31%
Draw
29%
Middlesbrough
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.2% 27.5% 44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6% 27.9% 43.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Middlesbrough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • Millwall - Middlesbrough Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.06
    (3.34)
    3.29
    (3.44)
    2.4
    (2.13)
    4.8%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Millwall - Middlesbrough?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Millwall will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Middlesbrough will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 15.4%84.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 9 and 7).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Millwall won 2.
    • Recent matches Millwall is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Middlesbrough is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Middlesbrough could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Millwall: Azeez F. (Hamstring Injury) Lovelace Z. (Knee Injury) McNamara D. (Knee Injury) Neghli C. (Muscle Injury) Scanlon C. (Hamstring Injury) Watmore D. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Middlesbrough: Ayling L. (Ankle Injury) Bangura A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Brynn S. (Muscle Injury) Dieng S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Doak B. (Thigh Injury) Lenihan D. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Millwall: Bangura-Williams R. (Lacking Match Fitness) Honeyman G. (Injury) Sturge Z. (Injury) Tanganga J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Edmundson G. (Ankle Injury) Neto Borges (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Millwall won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 17:30 (average 0.9:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Millwall won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:15 (average 1:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Millwall - Middlesbrough were as follows:
    14.12.2024 Middlesbrough - Millwall 1:0
    13.01.2024 Millwall - Middlesbrough 1:3
    05.08.2023 Middlesbrough - Millwall 0:1
    14.01.2023 Middlesbrough - Millwall 1:0
    08.10.2022 Millwall - Middlesbrough 2:0
    Latest results of Millwall
    05.04.2025 Millwall - Portsmouth 2:1
    29.03.2025 Sunderland - Millwall 1:0
    15.03.2025 Millwall - Stoke City 1:0
    12.03.2025 Leeds United - Millwall 2:0
    Latest results of Middlesbrough
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Sheffield Utd (3)Bristol City (6)3 : 0, 3 : 0
    2Sunderland (4)Coventry (5)1 : 1, 2 : 1

    Final
    1Sheffield Utd (3)Sunderland (4)1 : 2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Millwall - Middlesbrough?
    It is being streamed on channel
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