Millwall vs Middlesbrough: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Championship Millwall - Middlesbrough
Result
0:3
16/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Championship - Round 2
  • Referee: Nield T. (Eng)
Millwall - Middlesbrough - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.541.24
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
15
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
610
Passes
74% (247/332)79% (329/417)
Yellow Cards
44
Expected Goals (xG)
0.541.24
xG on target (xGOT)
0.001.61
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
15
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
610
Touches in opposition box
1924
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
43
Free Kicks
915
Passes
74% (247/332)79% (329/417)
Long passes
46% (23/50)30% (18/61)
Passes in final third
54% (53/99)65% (75/115)
Crosses
33% (7/21)24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.771.17
Throw-ins
2417
Fouls
1610
Tackles
87% (20/23)57% (12/21)
Duels won
5459
Clearances
2828
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.610.00
Goals prevented
-1.390.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 27', Crama T. 🟨,
  • 32', Coburn J. 🟨,
  • 38', Mitchell B. 🟨,
  • 42', Conway T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', Kante A. , Hansen S. ,
  • 49', 0 - 1, Hackney H. , Whittaker M. (A),
  • 57', Doughty A. , Sturge Z. ,
  • 59', Whittaker M. 🟨,
  • 66', Crama T. , Leonard R. ,
  • 66', Coburn J. , Langstaff M. ,
  • 68', Silvera S. 🟨,
  • 69', Whittaker M. , Azaz F. ,
  • 69', Conway T. , Burgzorg D. ,
  • 70', Sturge Z. 🟨,
  • 79', Mitchell B. , Luongo M. ,
  • 79', Neghli C. , Emakhu A. ,
  • 87', 0 - 2, Jones A. ,
  • 89', Edmundson G. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Silvera S. , Neto Borges ,
  • 90+7', 0 - 3, Burgzorg D. , Azaz F. (A),

Chances of winning


Millwall
42.8%
Draw
29.3%
Middlesbrough
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.1% 28.9% 33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8% 29.1% 33.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • Middlesbrough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Middlesbrough might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Middlesbrough could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Millwall - Middlesbrough Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (2.49)
    3.22
    (3.27)
    3.42
    (2.87)
    5.5%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Millwall - Middlesbrough?
  • Users Predictions: Millwall will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.2%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Millwall will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 2.
    • Millwall has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Middlesbrough has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Millwall has had a series of away games.
    • Millwall might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Millwall: Bryan J. (Inactive) Jensen L. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Middlesbrough: Lenihan D. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Edmundson G. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:29. (average 0.8:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Millwall won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Millwall - Middlesbrough were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Millwall - Middlesbrough 1:0
    14.12.2024 Middlesbrough - Millwall 1:0
    13.01.2024 Millwall - Middlesbrough 1:3
    05.08.2023 Middlesbrough - Millwall 0:1
    14.01.2023 Middlesbrough - Millwall 1:0
    Latest results of Millwall
    12.08.2025 Newport County - Millwall 0:1
    09.08.2025 Norwich City - Millwall 1:2
    02.08.2025 Estoril Praia - Millwall 0:3
    29.07.2025 Sutton United - Millwall 2:6
    26.07.2025 Bromley - Millwall 1:2
    Latest results of Middlesbrough
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stoke22006:156
    2Middlesbrough22004:046
    3West Brom22004:226
    4Bristol City21104:134
    5Coventry21105:324
    6Birmingham21103:214
    7Preston21103:214
    8Charlton21101:014
    9Southampton11002:113
    10Leicester21013:303
    11Norwich21013:303
    12Portsmouth21012:203
    13Watford21012:203
    14Swansea21011:103
    15Millwall21012:4-23
    16Ipswich10101:101
    17Hull10100:001
    18QPR20112:3-11
    19Oxford Utd10010:1-10
    20Wrexham20023:5-20
    21Blackburn20021:3-20
    22Derby20024:8-40
    23Sheffield Utd20021:5-40
    24Sheffield Wed20021:5-40

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

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