Millwall vs Cardiff City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Championship Millwall - Cardiff City
Result
2:2
21/01/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Championship - Round 28
  • Referee: Davies A. (Eng)
Millwall - Cardiff City - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.521.11
Ball Possession
42%58%
Goal Attempts
713
Shots on Goal
35
Shots off Goal
26
Blocked Shots
22
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
42
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
18
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
Free Kicks
1110
Offsides
23
Fouls
1011
Throw-ins
2427
Touches in the Opposition Box
1319
Passes
64% (203/315)71% (318/448)
Passes in the final third
56% (61/109)64% (94/147)
Crosses
24% (4/17)21% (3/14)
Tackles
56% (15/27)38% (12/32)
Clearances Total
2518
Interceptions
188

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Scanlon C. ,
  • 19', 2 - 0, De Norre C. , Bangura-Williams R. (A),
  • 45+1', 2 - 1, Willock C. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 57', Siopis M. , Ng P. ,
  • 59', Leonard R. , McNamara D. ,
  • 63', McNamara D. , Crama T. ,
  • 64', Bangura-Williams R. , Ivanovic M. ,
  • 70', Meite Y. , Salech Y. ,
  • 70', Colwill R. , Ashford C. ,
  • 78', Willock C. , El Ghazi A. ,
  • 78', Watmore D. , Mitchell B. ,
  • 78', Scanlon C. , Honeyman G. ,
  • 78', Daland J. , Fish W. ,
  • 90+7', 2 - 2, Salech Y. , Ng P. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Millwall
41.7%
Draw
33.2%
Cardiff City
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.6% 28% 23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7% 29.8% 22%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Millwall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Millwall's form might have worsened.
  • Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (+10%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Millwall, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • Millwall - Cardiff City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (1.95)
    2.87
    (3.37)
    3.77
    (4.05)
    5.3%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Millwall - Cardiff City?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Millwall will win (votes: 11 - 39.3%). Cardiff will win (votes: 6 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 39.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 21.2%57.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 17 and 20).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Millwall won 3.
    • Recent matches Millwall is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Cardiff is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Cardiff could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Millwall will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Millwall: Coburn J. (Broken Leg) Emakhu A. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Cardiff: Davies I. (Leg Injury) Ramsey A. (Muscle Injury) Reindorf M. (Ankle Injury) Riza O. (Red Card) Turnbull D. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 18 head-to-head matches Millwall won 5 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 16:16 (average 0.9:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Millwall won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:8 (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Millwall - Cardiff City were as follows:
    01.10.2024 Cardiff City - Millwall 1:0
    13.04.2024 Millwall - Cardiff City 3:1
    09.12.2023 Cardiff City - Millwall 1:0
    21.01.2023 Cardiff City - Millwall 0:1
    03.09.2022 Millwall - Cardiff City 2:0
    Latest results of Millwall
    Latest results of Cardiff City
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Birmingham00000:000
    2Blackburn00000:000
    3Derby00000:000
    4Middlesbrough00000:000
    5Portsmouth00000:000
    6Bristol City00000:000
    7Charlton00000:000
    8Coventry00000:000
    9Hull00000:000
    10Ipswich00000:000
    11Leicester00000:000
    12Norwich00000:000
    13Preston00000:000
    14QPR00000:000
    15Sheffield Utd00000:000
    16Sheffield Wed00000:000
    17Southampton00000:000
    18Stoke00000:000
    19Watford00000:000
    20West Brom00000:000
    21Millwall00000:000
    22Swansea00000:000
    23Wrexham00000:000
    24Oxford Utd00000:000

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Which TV channels are streaming of Millwall - Cardiff City?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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