Millonarios vs Independiente Santa Fe: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Colombian Primera A Millonarios - Independiente Santa Fe
Result
0:0
06/09/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera A - Clausura - Round 10
  • Referee: Ortiz J. (Col)
Millonarios - Independiente Santa Fe - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.170.58
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
188
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
51
Passes
78% (249/319)72% (211/292)
Yellow Cards
53
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.170.58
xG on target (xGOT)
0.280.03
Total shots
188
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
105
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
123
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
1613
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1013
Passes
78% (249/319)72% (211/292)
Long passes
45% (19/42)46% (26/57)
Passes in final third
69% (74/108)65% (53/82)
Crosses
32% (7/22)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.660.69
Throw-ins
1924
Fouls
1510
Tackles
58% (7/12)88% (7/8)
Duels won
3943
Clearances
1625
Interceptions
64
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.030.28
Goals prevented
0.030.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 26', Murillo E. 🟨,
  • 29', Castro A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 57', Murillo E. , Lopez E. ,
  • 67', Giordana S. , Marimon L. ,
  • 68', Fernandez O. , Meli M. ,
  • 68', Moreno V. , Scarpeta Silgado I. R. ,
  • 74', Melendez J. 🟨,
  • 83', Marimon L. 🟨,
  • 84', Castro Espinosa B. D. , Cuero B. ,
  • 85', Velasquez Y. , Moreno Y. ,
  • 85', Melendez J. , Tamayo S. ,
  • 85', Olivera E. 🟨,
  • 90', Banguero D. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Arias J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Arboleda I. 🟥,
  • 90+2', Mosquera S. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2ammv55x

Chances of winning


Millonarios
44.3%
Draw
30.4%
Independiente Santa Fe
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.7% 27.6% 19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8% 27% 19.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Millonarios's form might have worsened.
  • Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente Santa Fe's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Millonarios, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independiente Santa Fe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Millonarios - Independiente Santa Fe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (1.78)
    3.06
    (3.4)
    3.71
    (4.76)
    7.2%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Millonarios - Independiente Santa Fe?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Millonarios will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Santa Fe will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Millonarios: 19%81%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Millonarios (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Santa Fe (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 2.
    • Millonarios has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Santa Fe's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Millonarios may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Millonarios might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:21. (average 1.7:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Millonarios won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.5:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Millonarios - Independiente Santa Fe were as follows:
    19.06.2025 Millonarios - Independiente Santa Fe 1:2
    01.06.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Millonarios 0:1
    26.03.2025 Millonarios - Independiente Santa Fe 2:0
    22.03.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Millonarios 3:2
    05.12.2024 Millonarios - Independiente Santa Fe 1:1
    Latest results of Millonarios
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bucaramanga1273222:91324
    2Junior1163222:14821
    3Fortaleza1256117:12521
    4Ind. Medellin1062219:13620
    5Deportes Tolima1262414:9520
    6Llaneros1253410:10018
    7Atl. Nacional1145218:14417
    8Dep. Cali1245317:16117
    9Santa Fe1245312:11117
    10Alianza1244413:15-216
    11Millonarios1242614:17-314
    12Pereira113449:10-113
    13Once Caldas1234511:14-313
    14Envigado122649:11-212
    15Aguilas1125411:15-411
    16U. Magdalena1132611:18-711
    17La Equidad122557:15-811
    18Dep. Pasto1124512:14-210
    19America De Cali112457:10-310
    20Chico112457:15-810

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Millonarios - Independiente Santa Fe?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
    south-americaSouth-americaRCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
    usaUsaFanatiz, Fubo Latino 2
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