Millonarios vs Fortaleza CEIF: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Colombian Primera A Millonarios - Fortaleza CEIF
Result
3:2
21/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera A - Clausura - Round 12
  • Referee: Ospina J. (Col)
Millonarios - Fortaleza CEIF - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.901.62
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
198
Shots on target
105
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
13
Passes
76% (214/281)77% (309/402)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
0.901.62
xG on target (xGOT)
1.741.22
Total shots
198
Shots on target
105
Shots off target
80
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
75
Shots outside the Box
123
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
13
Touches in opposition box
1016
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
614
Passes
76% (214/281)77% (309/402)
Long passes
36% (18/50)39% (22/56)
Passes in final third
52% (31/60)55% (51/93)
Crosses
29% (2/7)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.331.71
Throw-ins
1431
Fouls
146
Tackles
83% (15/18)85% (11/13)
Duels won
3235
Clearances
269
Interceptions
144
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
1.221.74
Goals prevented
-0.78-1.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Castro Espinosa B. D. ,
  • 31', Vega S. 🟨,
  • 33', Marulanda J. , Cabezas E. ,
  • 35', Arias J. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Velasquez J. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 47', 2 - 1, Castro Espinosa B. D. , Arevalo Chaparro J. N. (A),
  • 65', Balanta Carabali K. A. 🟨,
  • 67', Barrera J. , Amaya A. ,
  • 67', Cordoba S. , Salas J. ,
  • 67', Hurtado J. , Bruno Savio ,
  • 67', Vega S. , Victoria Palacios D. S. ,
  • 70', 3 - 1, Castro Espinosa B. D. , Castro A. (A),
  • 76', Bruno Savio 🟨,
  • 78', Arroyo A. , Florez K. ,
  • 78', Velasquez J. , Escorcia L. ,
  • 78', Castro A. , Canozales C. ,
  • 78', Castro L. , Giordana S. ,
  • 78', Diaz Samuel M. , Palacios H. ,
  • 90+1', 3 - 2, Valencia S. (Pen),
  • 90+3', Arevalo Chaparro J. N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Millonarios
55.8%
Draw
26.6%
Fortaleza CEIF
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56% 25.8% 18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56% 25.8% 18.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Millonarios - Fortaleza CEIF Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.67)
    3.65
    (3.62)
    5.63
    (5.13)
    4.1%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Millonarios - Fortaleza CEIF?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Millonarios (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Millonarios will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.92%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Millonarios may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Millonarios is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 2.4:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Millonarios won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Millonarios - Fortaleza CEIF were as follows:
    06.04.2025 Fortaleza CEIF - Millonarios 0:2
    16.10.2024 Millonarios - Fortaleza CEIF 2:1
    30.03.2024 Fortaleza CEIF - Millonarios 1:2
    Latest results of Millonarios
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Junior1374226:161025
    2Bucaramanga1373323:111224
    3Ind. Medellin1273224:17724
    4Fortaleza1366119:13624
    5Atl. Nacional1365222:15723
    6Deportes Tolima1362516:12420
    7Santa Fe1355315:11420
    8Alianza1354416:16019
    9Llaneros1353511:13-218
    10Dep. Cali1345418:19-117
    11Once Caldas1344516:16016
    12Pereira1336412:13-115
    13America De Cali1335510:11-114
    14Aguilas1235414:16-214
    15Millonarios1342714:19-514
    16Envigado1327410:12-213
    17U. Magdalena1333714:22-812
    18Chico1325610:21-1111
    19La Equidad132567:18-1111
    20Dep. Pasto1324712:18-610

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Millonarios - Fortaleza CEIF?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports
    mexicoMexicoFanatiz
    south-americaSouth-americaRCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
    usaUsaFanatiz, Fubo Latino 2
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