Result
3:2
21/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Primera A - Clausura - Round 12
- Referee: Ospina J. (Col)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.90 | 1.62 |
Ball Possession |
---|
41% | 59% |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
10 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
76% (214/281) | 77% (309/402) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.90 | 1.62 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.74 | 1.22 |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
10 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 0 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
12 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
10 | 16 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
6 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
76% (214/281) | 77% (309/402) |
Long passes |
---|
36% (18/50) | 39% (22/56) |
Passes in final third |
---|
52% (31/60) | 55% (51/93) |
Crosses |
---|
29% (2/7) | 25% (3/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.33 | 1.71 |
Throw-ins |
---|
14 | 31 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 6 |
Tackles |
---|
83% (15/18) | 85% (11/13) |
Duels won |
---|
32 | 35 |
Clearances |
---|
26 | 9 |
Interceptions |
---|
14 | 4 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 6 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.22 | 1.74 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.78 | -1.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', 1 - 0, Castro Espinosa B. D. ⚽,
- 31', Vega S. 🟨,
- 33', Marulanda J. ↓, Cabezas E. ↑,
- 35', Arias J. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Velasquez J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 47', 2 - 1, Castro Espinosa B. D. ⚽, Arevalo Chaparro J. N. (A),
- 65', Balanta Carabali K. A. 🟨,
- 67', Barrera J. ↓, Amaya A. ↑,
- 67', Cordoba S. ↓, Salas J. ↑,
- 67', Hurtado J. ↓, Bruno Savio ↑,
- 67', Vega S. ↓, Victoria Palacios D. S. ↑,
- 70', 3 - 1, Castro Espinosa B. D. ⚽, Castro A. (A),
- 76', Bruno Savio 🟨,
- 78', Arroyo A. ↓, Florez K. ↑,
- 78', Velasquez J. ↓, Escorcia L. ↑,
- 78', Castro A. ↓, Canozales C. ↑,
- 78', Castro L. ↓, Giordana S. ↑,
- 78', Diaz Samuel M. ↓, Palacios H. ↑,
- 90+1', 3 - 2, Valencia S. (Pen),
- 90+3', Arevalo Chaparro J. N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Millonarios 55.8% | Draw 26.6% | Fortaleza CEIF 17.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Millonarios - Fortaleza CEIF Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.7 ↑ (1.67) |
3.65 ↑ (3.62) |
5.63 ↑ (5.13) |
4.1% (7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Millonarios - Fortaleza CEIF?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Millonarios (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Millonarios will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Millonarios may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Millonarios is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 2.4:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Millonarios won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Millonarios won against Fortaleza CEIF?
Millonarios has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza CEIF won against Millonarios?
Fortaleza CEIF has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Millonarios - Fortaleza CEIF were as follows:
06.04.2025
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Millonarios
0:2
16.10.2024
Millonarios
-
Fortaleza CEIF
2:1
30.03.2024
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Millonarios
1:2
Latest results of Millonarios
Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Junior | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26:16 | 10 | 25 |
2 | Bucaramanga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23:11 | 12 | 24 |
3 | Ind. Medellin | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 24:17 | 7 | 24 |
4 | Fortaleza | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 19:13 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Atl. Nacional | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 22:15 | 7 | 23 |
6 | Deportes Tolima | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16:12 | 4 | 20 |
7 | Santa Fe | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 20 |
8 | Alianza | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 19 |
9 | Llaneros | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 18 |
10 | Dep. Cali | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 18:19 | -1 | 17 |
11 | Once Caldas | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 16 |
12 | Pereira | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 15 |
13 | America De Cali | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 10:11 | -1 | 14 |
14 | Aguilas | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 14 |
15 | Millonarios | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 14:19 | -5 | 14 |
16 | Envigado | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 13 |
17 | U. Magdalena | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 12 |
18 | Chico | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10:21 | -11 | 11 |
19 | La Equidad | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 7:18 | -11 | 11 |
20 | Dep. Pasto | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Millonarios - Fortaleza CEIF?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports |
Mexico | Fanatiz |
South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |