Udinese vs Milan: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Italian Serie A Udinese - Milan
Result
0:3
20/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A - Round 4
  • Referee: Doveri D. (Ita)
Udinese - Milan - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.351.25
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
14
Passes
89% (352/395)91% (551/608)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
0.351.25
xG on target (xGOT)
0.172.30
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
211
Shots outside the Box
82
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
14
Touches in opposition box
2029
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
79
Passes
89% (352/395)91% (551/608)
Long passes
43% (9/21)70% (33/47)
Passes in final third
81% (100/123)80% (91/114)
Crosses
38% (6/16)12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.530.74
Throw-ins
1418
Fouls
97
Tackles
100% (14/14)71% (12/17)
Duels won
3640
Clearances
1917
Interceptions
114
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
2.300.17
Goals prevented
-0.700.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 30', Atta A. 🟨,
  • 40', 0 - 1, Pulisic C. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Bravo I. , Buksa A. ,
  • 46', 0 - 2, Fofana Y. , Pulisic C. (A),
  • 50', Zemura J. 🟨,
  • 53', 0 - 3, Pulisic C. , Rabiot A. (A),
  • 59', Ehizibue K. , Zanoli A. ,
  • 59', Davis K. , Zaniolo N. ,
  • 59', Ekkelenkamp J. , Modesto R. ,
  • 63', Pulisic C. , Loftus-Cheek R. ,
  • 63', Gimenez S. , Nkunku C. ,
  • 68', Pavlovic S. , De Winter K. ,
  • 68', Fofana Y. , Ricci S. ,
  • 81', Modric L. , Athekame Z. ,
  • 81', Atta A. , Miller L. ,

Chances of winning


Udinese
13.4%
Draw
21.7%
Milan
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.8% 25.7% 52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4% 27.5% 56.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Udinese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Udinese's form might have worsened.
  • Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Milan's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Udinese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Milan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Udinese - Milan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8.41
    (4.37)
    4.98
    (3.71)
    1.58
    (1.81)
    -4.5%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Udinese - Milan?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Milan will win (41 of 47 users predict this - 87.23%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.69%96.77%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Milan will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 2.
    • Udinese has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Milan has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Milan is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Udinese: Lovric S. (Calf Injury) Okoye M. (Suspended)
    • There will not play in Milan: Jashari A. (Calf Injury) Leao R. (Calf Injury) Maignan M. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Udinese won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:31. (average 1.2:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Udinese won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Udinese - Milan were as follows:
    11.04.2025 Udinese - Milan 0:4
    19.10.2024 Milan - Udinese 1:0
    20.01.2024 Udinese - Milan 2:3
    04.11.2023 Milan - Udinese 0:1
    18.03.2023 Udinese - Milan 3:1
    Latest results of Udinese
    14.09.2025 Pisa - Udinese 0:1
    31.08.2025 Inter Milan - Udinese 1:2
    25.08.2025 Udinese - Verona 1:1
    18.08.2025 Udinese - Carrarese 2:0
    09.08.2025 Werder Bremen - Udinese 1:2
    Latest results of Milan
    14.09.2025 Milan - Bologna 1:0
    29.08.2025 Lecce - Milan 0:2
    23.08.2025 Milan - Cremonese 1:2
    17.08.2025 Milan - Bari 2:0
    10.08.2025 Chelsea - Milan 4:1
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Napoli650112:6615
    2AS Roma65017:2515
    3AC Milan64119:3613
    4Inter640217:8912
    5Juventus63309:5412
    6Atalanta624011:5610
    7Bologna63129:5410
    8Como62317:529
    9Sassuolo63038:809
    10Cremonese62317:8-19
    11Cagliari62226:608
    12Udinese62226:9-38
    13Lazio621310:737
    14Parma61233:7-45
    15Lecce61235:10-55
    16Torino61235:13-85
    17Fiorentina60334:8-43
    18Verona60332:9-73
    19Genoa60243:9-62
    20Pisa60243:10-72

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

    Which TV channels are streaming of Udinese - Milan?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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    kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2, ART Sport 1
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    maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
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    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
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    polandPolandEleven Sports 1
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    south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South, ESPN South
    south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
    spainSpainDAZN Espana
    swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
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    thailandThailandTrue ID, True Premier Football 3
    turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, DAZN UK
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
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