Napoli vs Milan: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie A
Soccer Italian Serie A Napoli - Milan
Result
2:1
30/03/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A - Round 30
Napoli - Milan - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.962.69
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
817
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
87% (428/491)87% (393/452)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.962.69
xG on target (xGOT)
1.361.90
Total shots
817
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
27
Blocked Shots
36
Shots inside the Box
67
Shots outside the Box
210
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
1529
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
510
Passes
87% (428/491)87% (393/452)
Long passes
40% (14/35)47% (14/30)
Passes in final third
75% (70/93)77% (108/140)
Crosses
13% (1/8)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.601.41
Fouls
105
Tackles
35% (6/17)60% (6/10)
Duels won
4140
Clearances Total
2113
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.901.36
Goals prevented
0.90-0.64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Politano M. ⚽, Di Lorenzo G. (A),
  • 19', 2 - 0, Lukaku R. ⚽, Gilmour B. (A),
  • 40', Lukaku R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Bondo W. ↓, Leao R. ↑,
  • 55', Joao Felix ↓, Chukwueze S. ↑,
  • 55', Abraham T. ↓, Gimenez S. ↑,
  • 65', Anguissa F. ↓, Billing P. ↑,
  • 69', Gimenez S. (Pen),
  • 72', Conceicao S. 🟨,
  • 76', Conte A. 🟨,
  • 80', Walker K. ↓, Jimenez A. ↑,
  • 80', Pulisic C. ↓, Jovic L. ↑,
  • 81', Lobotka S. ↓, Juan Jesus ↑,
  • 84', 2 - 1, Jovic L. ⚽, Hernandez T. (A),
  • 85', Politano M. ↓, Mazzocchi P. ↑,
  • 85', David Neres ↓, Ngonge C. ↑,
  • 85', Lukaku R. ↓, Simeone G. ↑,
  • 90', Jimenez A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Napoli
49.2%		Draw
26.8%		Milan
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.9% 25.8% 24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6% 25.4% 24%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Milan aligns with the current prediction.
    •

    Napoli - Milan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.95 ↑
    (1.92)    		 3.58 ↓
    (3.71)    		 3.99 ↑
    (3.94)    		 4.3%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

  • Watch this match and Italian Serie A with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : FOX Deportes
    •
    What is the prediction for Napoli - Milan?
  • Users Predictions: Napoli will win (75 of 90 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 75.63% – 91.03%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 9).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Napoli won 1.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Milan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Napoli is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Milan: Musah Y. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Napoli: Contini N. (Inactive)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Napoli won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 24:25 (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Napoli won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15:18 (average 1.7:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Napoli - Milan were as follows:
    29.10.2024 Milan - Napoli 0:2
    11.02.2024 Milan - Napoli 1:0
    29.10.2023 Napoli - Milan 2:2
    18.04.2023 Napoli - Milan 1:1
    12.04.2023 Milan - Napoli 1:0
    Latest results of Napoli
    16.03.2025 Venezia - Napoli 0:0 ✺
    09.03.2025 Napoli - Fiorentina 2:1 ✺
    01.03.2025 Napoli - Inter Milan 1:1 ✺
    23.02.2025 Como - Napoli 2:1 ✺
    15.02.2025 Lazio - Napoli 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of Milan
    15.03.2025 Milan - Como 2:1 ✺
    08.03.2025 Lecce - Milan 2:3 ✺
    02.03.2025 Milan - Lazio 1:2 ✺
    27.02.2025 Bologna - Milan 2:1 ✺
    22.02.2025 Torino - Milan 2:1 ✺
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lecce00000:000
    2Bologna00000:000
    3Pisa00000:000
    4Cremonese00000:000
    5Genoa00000:000
    6Napoli00000:000
    7Udinese00000:000
    8Sassuolo00000:000
    9AS Roma00000:000
    10Inter00000:000
    11Juventus00000:000
    12Fiorentina00000:000
    13AC Milan00000:000
    14Atalanta00000:000
    15Lazio00000:000
    16Cagliari00000:000
    17Torino00000:000
    18Parma00000:000
    19Verona00000:000
    20Como00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

    Which TV channels are streaming of Napoli - Milan?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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