Napoli vs Milan: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

30/03/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona (Naples).

: Serie A - Round 30

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.96	2.69
Ball Possession
52%	48%
Total shots
8	17
Shots on target
3	4
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
2	6
Passes
87% (428/491)	87% (393/452)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96	2.69
xG on target (xGOT)
1.36	1.90
Total shots
8	17
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
2	7
Blocked Shots
3	6
Shots inside the Box
6	7
Shots outside the Box
2	10
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
2	6
Touches in opposition box
15	29
Offsides
1	3
Free Kicks
5	10
Passes
87% (428/491)	87% (393/452)
Long passes
40% (14/35)	47% (14/30)
Passes in final third
75% (70/93)	77% (108/140)
Crosses
13% (1/8)	27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.60	1.41
Fouls
10	5
Tackles
35% (6/17)	60% (6/10)
Duels won
41	40
Clearances Total
21	13
Interceptions
6	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	1
xGOT faced
1.90	1.36
Goals prevented
0.90	-0.64

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Politano M. ⚽, Di Lorenzo G. (A),
19', 2 - 0, Lukaku R. ⚽, Gilmour B. (A),
40', Lukaku R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bondo W. ↓, Leao R. ↑,
55', Joao Felix ↓, Chukwueze S. ↑,
55', Abraham T. ↓, Gimenez S. ↑,
65', Anguissa F. ↓, Billing P. ↑,
69', Gimenez S. (Pen),
72', Conceicao S. 🟨,
76', Conte A. 🟨,
80', Walker K. ↓, Jimenez A. ↑,
80', Pulisic C. ↓, Jovic L. ↑,
81', Lobotka S. ↓, Juan Jesus ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Jovic L. ⚽, Hernandez T. (A),
85', Politano M. ↓, Mazzocchi P. ↑,
85', David Neres ↓, Ngonge C. ↑,
85', Lukaku R. ↓, Simeone G. ↑,
90', Jimenez A. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Napoli
49.2%

Draw
26.8%

Milan
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

25.8%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

25.4%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Napoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Milan aligns with the current prediction.

Napoli - Milan Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.92)	3.58 ↓ (3.71)	3.99 ↑ (3.94)	4.3% (4.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

Watch this match and Italian Serie A with fubo (for US customers)

Network on : FOX Deportes

What is the prediction for Napoli - Milan?

The most likely score is 2:1. User prediction is Napoli will win! (75 of 90 users predict this).

Preview Facts

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 9).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Napoli won 1.
Two teams are playing changeable.
Milan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Napoli is a favorite.
There will not play in Milan: Musah Y. (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Napoli: Contini N. (Inactive)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Napoli won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 24:25 (average 1.2:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Napoli won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15:18 (average 1.7:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Napoli won against Milan?

Napoli has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Milan won against Napoli?

Milan has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Napoli - Milan were as follows:

29.10.2024 Milan - Napoli 0:2

11.02.2024 Milan - Napoli 1:0

29.10.2023 Napoli - Milan 2:2

18.04.2023 Napoli - Milan 1:1

12.04.2023 Milan - Napoli 1:0

Latest results of Napoli

16.03.2025 Venezia - Napoli 0:0 ✺

09.03.2025 Napoli - Fiorentina 2:1 ✺

01.03.2025 Napoli - Inter Milan 1:1 ✺

23.02.2025 Como - Napoli 2:1 ✺

15.02.2025 Lazio - Napoli 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Milan

15.03.2025 Milan - Como 2:1 ✺

08.03.2025 Lecce - Milan 2:3 ✺

02.03.2025 Milan - Lazio 1:2 ✺

27.02.2025 Bologna - Milan 2:1 ✺

22.02.2025 Torino - Milan 2:1 ✺

Italian Serie A Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Napoli ✔	36	23	9	4	57:27	30	78
2	Inter ✔	36	23	8	5	75:33	42	77
3	Atalanta	35	20	8	7	71:31	40	68
4	Juventus	36	16	16	4	53:33	20	64
5	Lazio	36	18	10	8	59:46	13	64
6	AS Roma	35	18	9	8	50:32	18	63
7	Bologna	36	16	14	6	54:41	13	62
8	AC Milan	36	17	9	10	58:40	18	60
9	Fiorentina	35	17	8	10	53:35	18	59
10	Como	36	13	9	14	48:49	-1	48
11	Torino	36	10	14	12	39:42	-3	44
12	Udinese	36	12	8	16	39:51	-12	44
13	Genoa	36	9	13	14	32:45	-13	40
14	Cagliari	36	8	9	19	37:54	-17	33
15	Verona	36	9	6	21	31:64	-33	33
16	Parma	36	6	14	16	41:56	-15	32
17	Lecce	36	6	10	20	25:58	-33	28
18	Empoli	36	5	13	18	29:56	-27	28
19	Venezia	35	4	14	17	28:49	-21	26
20	Monza ✔	36	3	9	24	27:64	-37	18

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B

Clinched Spots for Teams

Napoli is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Inter is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Monza is Relegated to Serie B

Which TV channels are streaming of Napoli - Milan?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	TLN, VIVA
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	Go3 Sport 3 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	L'Equipe Live Foot
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
Hungary	Net4+
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 1
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Football
Maldives	ICE Sports, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	Cignal Play, Premier Football
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-america	ESPN South
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+, Onefootball