Juventus vs Milan: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Italian Serie A Juventus - Milan
Result
0:0
05/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A - Round 6
  • Referee: Guida M. (Ita)
Juventus - Milan - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.681.74
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
60
Passes
89% (420/473)90% (419/468)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.681.74
xG on target (xGOT)
0.631.29
Total shots
1213
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
77
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
60
Touches in opposition box
2115
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
815
Passes
89% (420/473)90% (419/468)
Long passes
41% (16/39)68% (28/41)
Passes in final third
81% (101/124)74% (60/81)
Crosses
21% (5/24)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.560.74
Throw-ins
1416
Fouls
158
Tackles
100% (5/5)50% (4/8)
Duels won
2538
Clearances
1231
Interceptions
84
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.290.63
Goals prevented
1.290.63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45', Fofana Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 49', Locatelli M. 🟨,
  • 53', Pulisic C. (Pen),
  • 59', Bartesaghi D. 🟨,
  • 63', Gimenez S. , Leao R. ,
  • 63', Fofana Y. , Loftus-Cheek R. ,
  • 68', Conceicao F. , Openda L. ,
  • 68', Yildiz K. , Vlahovic D. ,
  • 68', David J. , Thuram K. ,
  • 74', Pulisic C. , Nkunku C. ,
  • 74', Gatti F. 🟨,
  • 86', Rugani D. , Kostic F. ,

Chances of winning


Juventus
35%
Draw
29.9%
Milan
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.3% 29.4% 30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41% 28.9% 29.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Juventus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juventus's form might have worsened.
  • Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventus than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juventus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Milan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Juventus - Milan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.76
    (2.37)
    3.19
    (3.25)
    2.73
    (3.15)
    4.2%
    (4.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Juventus - Milan?
  • Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Juventus will win (votes: 17 - 48.6%). Milan will win (votes: 6 - 17.1%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 34.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Juventus: 32%65.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Juventus (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Milan (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventus won 2.
    • Recent performances by Juventus have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Milan is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Juventus: Cabal J. (Thigh Injury) Milik A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Milan: Estupinan P. (Red Card) Jashari A. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Juventus: Bremer (Muscle Injury) Miretti F. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Juventus won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:18. (average 1.2:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Juventus won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Juventus - Milan were as follows:
    18.01.2025 Juventus - Milan 2:0
    03.01.2025 Juventus - Milan 1:2
    23.11.2024 Milan - Juventus 0:0
    27.04.2024 Juventus - Milan 0:0
    22.10.2023 Milan - Juventus 0:1
    Latest results of Juventus
    01.10.2025 Villarreal - Juventus 2:2
    27.09.2025 Juventus - Atalanta 1:1
    20.09.2025 Verona - Juventus 1:1
    13.09.2025 Juventus - Inter Milan 4:3
    Latest results of Milan
    28.09.2025 Milan - Napoli 2:1
    23.09.2025 Milan - Lecce 3:0
    20.09.2025 Udinese - Milan 0:3
    14.09.2025 Milan - Bologna 1:0
    29.08.2025 Lecce - Milan 0:2
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Napoli650112:6615
    2AS Roma65017:2515
    3AC Milan64119:3613
    4Inter640217:8912
    5Juventus63309:5412
    6Atalanta624011:5610
    7Bologna63129:5410
    8Como62317:529
    9Sassuolo63038:809
    10Cremonese62317:8-19
    11Cagliari62226:608
    12Udinese62226:9-38
    13Lazio621310:737
    14Parma61233:7-45
    15Lecce61235:10-55
    16Torino61235:13-85
    17Fiorentina60334:8-43
    18Verona60332:9-73
    19Genoa60243:9-62
    20Pisa60243:10-72

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

    Which TV channels are streaming of Juventus - Milan?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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