Milan vs Girona: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Champions League Milan - Girona
Result
1:0
22/01/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 7
  • Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)
Milan - Girona - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.370.90
Ball Possession
42%58%
Goal Attempts
1711
Shots on Goal
54
Shots off Goal
85
Blocked Shots
42
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
63
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
94
Hit the Woodwork
20
Goalkeeper Saves
44
Free Kicks
1812
Offsides
13
Fouls
1218
Yellow Cards
22
Throw-ins
1914
Touches in the Opposition Box
1821
Passes
88% (344/392)90% (481/535)
Passes in the final third
76% (65/86)78% (91/116)
Crosses
11% (1/9)36% (5/14)
Tackles
67% (10/15)62% (13/21)
Clearances Total
2011
Interceptions
98

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', Emerson Royal , Calabria D. ,
  • 37', 1 - 0, Leao R. , Bennacer I. (A),
  • 41', Fofana Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Gil B. 🟨,
  • 64', Morata A. , Abraham T. ,
  • 72', Tsygankov V. , Martin I. ,
  • 72', Ruiz A. , Stuani C. ,
  • 72', Gil B. , Danjuma A. ,
  • 72', van de Beek D. , Asprilla Y. ,
  • 75', Bennacer I. , Pulisic C. ,
  • 75', Reijnders T. , Terracciano F. ,
  • 77', Herrera Y. , Portu ,
  • 80', Hernandez T. 🟨,
  • 82', Martin I. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Milan
59%
Draw
23.1%
Girona
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.9% 20.3% 13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69% 19.4% 13.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Milan's form might have worsened.
  • Girona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+10%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Milan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Girona than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • Milan - Girona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.45)
    4.13
    (4.72)
    5.31
    (6.91)
    5%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

  • Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : CBSSN
  • What is the prediction for Milan - Girona?
  • Users Predictions: 73 users predict this event. Milan will win (votes: 55 - 75.3%). Girona will win (votes: 10 - 13.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 11%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Milan: 65.4%85.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Milan is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Girona is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Milan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Milan have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Milan is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Milan: Chukwueze S. (Thigh Injury) Florenzi A. (Knee Injury) Loftus-Cheek R. (Thigh Injury) Okafor N. (Injury) Thiaw M. (Injury) Tomori F. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Girona: Miovski B. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Milan: Morata A. (Muscle Injury) Pulisic C. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Girona: Danjuma A. (Illness) Gutierrez M. (Ankle Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Milan
    18.01.2025 Juventus - Milan 2:0
    14.01.2025 Como - Milan 1:2
    11.01.2025 Milan - Cagliari 1:1
    06.01.2025 Inter Milan - Milan 2:3
    03.01.2025 Juventus - Milan 1:2
    Latest results of Girona
    18.01.2025 Girona - Sevilla 1:2
    11.01.2025 Deportivo Alavés - Girona 0:1
    20.12.2024 Girona - Valladolid 3:0
    14.12.2024 Mallorca - Girona 2:1
    10.12.2024 Girona - Liverpool 0:1
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Eintracht Frankfurt11005:143
    2PSG11004:043
    3Club Brugge KV11004:133
    4Sporting CP11004:133
    5Royale Union SG11003:123
    6Bayern Munich11003:123
    7Arsenal11002:023
    8Inter11002:023
    9Manchester City11002:023
    10Qarabag11003:213
    11Liverpool11003:213
    12Barcelona11002:113
    13Real Madrid11002:113
    14Tottenham11001:013
    15Dortmund10104:401
    16Juventus10104:401
    17Bayer Leverkusen10102:201
    18Bodo/Glimt10102:201
    19Slavia Prague10102:201
    20FC Copenhagen10102:201
    21Pafos10100:001
    22Olympiacos Piraeus10100:001
    23Atl. Madrid10012:3-10
    24Benfica10012:3-10
    25Marseille10011:2-10
    26Newcastle10011:2-10
    27Villarreal10010:1-10
    28Chelsea10011:3-20
    29PSV10011:3-20
    30Napoli10010:2-20
    31Ajax10010:2-20
    32Ath Bilbao10010:2-20
    33Monaco10011:4-30
    34Kairat Almaty10011:4-30
    35Galatasaray10011:5-40
    36Atalanta10010:4-40

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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