Result
1:0
14/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Serie A - Round 3
- Referee: Marcenaro M. (Ita)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.81 | 0.17 |
Ball Possession |
---|
39% | 61% |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 5 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
86% (287/335) | 87% (453/521) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.81 | 0.17 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.88 | 0.00 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 5 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 0 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 3 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
4 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
23 | 9 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
2 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
16 | 17 |
Passes |
---|
86% (287/335) | 87% (453/521) |
Long passes |
---|
52% (17/33) | 60% (31/52) |
Passes in final third |
---|
74% (63/85) | 76% (78/102) |
Crosses |
---|
21% (3/14) | 26% (5/19) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.79 | 0.24 |
Throw-ins |
---|
18 | 12 |
Fouls |
---|
17 | 16 |
Tackles |
---|
79% (11/14) | 53% (8/15) |
Duels won |
---|
45 | 47 |
Clearances |
---|
23 | 19 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 3 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 3 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.00 | 0.88 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.00 | -0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 10', Estupinan P. 🟨,
- 18', Tomori F. 🟨,
- 45', Saelemaekers A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Pavlovic S. ↓, De Winter K. ↑,
- 56', Maignan M. ↓, Terracciano P. ↑,
- 61', 1 - 0, Modric L. ⚽, Saelemaekers A. (A),
- 62', Lykogiannis C. ↓, Miranda J. ↑,
- 63', Fabbian G. ↓, Bernardeschi F. ↑,
- 65', Loftus-Cheek R. ↓, Pulisic C. ↑,
- 65', Fofana Y. ↓, Ricci S. ↑,
- 73', Miranda J. 🟨,
- 74', Orsolini R. ↓, Odgaard J. ↑,
- 74', Cambiaghi N. ↓, Rowe J. ↑,
- 83', Castro S. ↓, Dallinga T. ↑,
- 85', Gimenez S. ↓, Nkunku C. ↑,
- 86', Skorupski L. 🟨,
- 90', Allegri M. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Milan 51.5% | Draw 27.2% | Bologna 21.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Milan - Bologna Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.87 ↓ (1.92) |
3.54 ↑ (3.53) |
4.41 ↑ (4.16) |
4.5% (4.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Milan - Bologna?
Users Predictions:
Milan will win
(57 of 69 users predict this - 82.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.67% – 91.55%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Milan will win (12 of 16 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Milan won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Milan is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Milan: Jashari A.
(Calf Injury)
Leao R.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Bologna: Bonifazi K.
(Inactive)
Immobile C.
(Thigh Injury)
Pobega T.
(Thigh Injury)
Sulemana I.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Bologna: Casale N.
(Thigh Injury)
Holm E.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Milan won 14 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 38:16. (average 1.9:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Milan won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:7. (average 2.1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Milan won against Bologna?
Milan has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bologna won against Milan?
Bologna has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Milan - Bologna were as follows:
14.05.2025
Milan
-
Bologna
0:1
09.05.2025
Milan
-
Bologna
3:1
27.02.2025
Bologna
-
Milan
2:1
27.01.2024
Milan
-
Bologna
2:2
21.08.2023
Bologna
-
Milan
0:2
Latest results of Bologna
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Napoli | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 9 |
2 | Juventus | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 9 |
3 | Cremonese | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
4 | Udinese | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
5 | Cagliari | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
6 | AC Milan | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
7 | AS Roma | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 6 |
8 | Atalanta | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 5 |
9 | Como | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
10 | Torino | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 4 |
11 | Inter | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 3 |
12 | Lazio | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:3 | 1 | 3 |
13 | Bologna | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
14 | Sassuolo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
15 | Genoa | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
16 | Fiorentina | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
17 | Verona | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 2 |
18 | Pisa | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
19 | Parma | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
20 | Lecce | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:8 | -6 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
Which TV channels are streaming of Milan - Bologna?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Africa | Azam Sports 3, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, ZAP |
Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
Angola | Z Sports 2 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Armenia | Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1 |
Asia | STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic |
Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Austria | DAZN |
Azerbaijan | Setanta Sports 1 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2 |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, TLN, VIVA |
China | Migu |
Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
Czech-republic | Sport 1 |
Denmark | TV2 Play |
Europe | Go3 Sport 3 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic |
Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1 |
France | DAZN France |
Georgia | Setanta Sports 1 |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player |
Hungary | Match 4 |
Indonesia | Vidio |
Israel | Sport 2 |
Italy | 214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 4, ART Sport 1 |
Kyrgyzstan | Setanta Sports 1 |
Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
Malaysia | Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 3 |
Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Moldova | Setanta Sports 1 |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 2 |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean |
Norway | VG+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Eleven Sports 1 |
Portugal | Sport TV2 |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
Slovakia | Sport 1 |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 Premium |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Discovery+, TV12, TV4 Play |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Taiwan | ELTA Sports 2 |
Tajikistan | Setanta Sports 1 |
Thailand | True ID, True Premier Football 3 |
Turkey | S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1 |
Turkmenistan | Setanta Sports 1 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine |
United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN, DAZN UK, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1 |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | DAZN USA, Paramount+ |
Uzbekistan | Setanta Sports 1 |
Venezuela | Disney+ |