Milan vs Bologna: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Italian Serie A Milan - Bologna
Result
1:0
14/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A - Round 3
  • Referee: Marcenaro M. (Ita)
Milan - Bologna - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.810.17
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
145
Shots on target
30
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
86% (287/335)87% (453/521)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.810.17
xG on target (xGOT)
0.880.00
Total shots
145
Shots on target
30
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
103
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
40
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
239
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1617
Passes
86% (287/335)87% (453/521)
Long passes
52% (17/33)60% (31/52)
Passes in final third
74% (63/85)76% (78/102)
Crosses
21% (3/14)26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.790.24
Throw-ins
1812
Fouls
1716
Tackles
79% (11/14)53% (8/15)
Duels won
4547
Clearances
2319
Interceptions
53
Errors leading to shot
13
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.000.88
Goals prevented
0.00-0.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 10', Estupinan P. 🟨,
  • 18', Tomori F. 🟨,
  • 45', Saelemaekers A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Pavlovic S. , De Winter K. ,
  • 56', Maignan M. , Terracciano P. ,
  • 61', 1 - 0, Modric L. , Saelemaekers A. (A),
  • 62', Lykogiannis C. , Miranda J. ,
  • 63', Fabbian G. , Bernardeschi F. ,
  • 65', Loftus-Cheek R. , Pulisic C. ,
  • 65', Fofana Y. , Ricci S. ,
  • 73', Miranda J. 🟨,
  • 74', Orsolini R. , Odgaard J. ,
  • 74', Cambiaghi N. , Rowe J. ,
  • 83', Castro S. , Dallinga T. ,
  • 85', Gimenez S. , Nkunku C. ,
  • 86', Skorupski L. 🟨,
  • 90', Allegri M. 🟥,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Milan
51.5%
Draw
27.2%
Bologna
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.8% 27.1% 23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8% 27.1% 23%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Milan - Bologna Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (1.92)
    3.54
    (3.53)
    4.41
    (4.16)
    4.5%
    (4.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Milan - Bologna?
  • Users Predictions: Milan will win (57 of 69 users predict this - 82.61%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.67%91.55%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Milan will win (12 of 16 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Milan won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Milan is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Milan: Jashari A. (Calf Injury) Leao R. (Calf Injury)
    • There will not play in Bologna: Bonifazi K. (Inactive) Immobile C. (Thigh Injury) Pobega T. (Thigh Injury) Sulemana I. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bologna: Casale N. (Thigh Injury) Holm E. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Milan won 14 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 38:16. (average 1.9:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Milan won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:7. (average 2.1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Milan - Bologna were as follows:
    14.05.2025 Milan - Bologna 0:1
    09.05.2025 Milan - Bologna 3:1
    27.02.2025 Bologna - Milan 2:1
    27.01.2024 Milan - Bologna 2:2
    21.08.2023 Bologna - Milan 0:2
    Latest results of Milan
    29.08.2025 Lecce - Milan 0:2
    23.08.2025 Milan - Cremonese 1:2
    17.08.2025 Milan - Bari 2:0
    10.08.2025 Chelsea - Milan 4:1
    09.08.2025 Leeds United - Milan 1:1
    Latest results of Bologna
    30.08.2025 Bologna - Como 1:0
    23.08.2025 Roma - Bologna 1:0
    16.08.2025 Bologna - OFI 2:4
    09.08.2025 Stuttgart - Bologna 0:1
    02.08.2025 Bologna - Levadiakos 3:2
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Napoli33006:159
    2Juventus33007:349
    3Cremonese32105:327
    4Udinese32104:227
    5Cagliari42115:327
    6AC Milan32014:226
    7AS Roma32012:116
    8Atalanta31206:335
    9Como31113:214
    10Torino31111:5-44
    11Inter31029:633
    12Lazio31024:313
    13Bologna31021:2-13
    14Sassuolo31023:5-23
    15Genoa30211:2-12
    16Fiorentina30212:4-22
    17Verona30211:5-42
    18Pisa30121:3-21
    19Parma30121:5-41
    20Lecce40132:8-61

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

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