Midtjylland vs Fredrikstad: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Europa League Midtjylland - Fredrikstad
Result
2:0
14/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Europa League - Qualification - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Weinberger J. (Aut)
Midtjylland - Fredrikstad - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.540.39
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
134
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
51
Passes
88% (395/450)83% (386/464)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.540.39
xG on target (xGOT)
2.630.42
Total shots
134
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
113
Shots outside the Box
21
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
2616
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1110
Passes
88% (395/450)83% (386/464)
Long passes
51% (22/43)43% (17/40)
Passes in final third
77% (79/103)61% (75/122)
Crosses
30% (3/10)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.760.46
Throw-ins
2818
Fouls
1012
Tackles
58% (11/19)75% (18/24)
Duels won
4550
Clearances
1816
Interceptions
1315
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.422.63
Goals prevented
-0.580.63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Bech Sorensen M. ,
  • 17', 2 - 0, Paulinho , Gogorza M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Bjartalid J. , Holten E. ,
  • 46', Rafn S. , Shein R. R. ,
  • 58', Ohlenschlaeger O. , Sorlokk S. ,
  • 59', Buksa A. , Byskov V. ,
  • 59', Erlic M. , Lee Han-Beom ,
  • 60', Franculino , Chilufya E. ,
  • 70', Owusu S. , Eid D. ,
  • 75', Bravo P. , Dani Silva ,
  • 78', Gogorza M. , Osorio D. ,
  • 78', Owusu L. , Granaas E. ,
  • 85', Gabriel A. 🟨,
  • 89', Molde S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Midtjylland
66.9%
Draw
19.2%
Fredrikstad
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.6% 19.5% 9.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.1% 18.8% 9.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Midtjylland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Fredrikstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Midtjylland than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Midtjylland, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • Midtjylland - Fredrikstad Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.35)
    5
    (4.9)
    7.08
    (9.6)
    5%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Midtjylland - Fredrikstad?
  • Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Midtjylland will win (votes: 26 - 89.7%). Fredrikstad will win (votes: 2 - 6.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Midtjylland: 78.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Midtjylland (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Fredrikstad (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 3-1. 2nd leg.
    • Midtjylland is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Fredrikstad's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Midtjylland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Midtjylland is the clear favorite.
    • We predict that Midtjylland will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Midtjylland won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Midtjylland won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Midtjylland - Fredrikstad were as follows:
    07.08.2025 Fredrikstad - Midtjylland 1:3
    09.02.2024 Midtjylland - Fredrikstad 0:1
    Latest results of Midtjylland
    10.08.2025 Midtjylland - Fredericia 3:3
    07.08.2025 Fredrikstad - Midtjylland 1:3
    03.08.2025 AGF Aarhus - Midtjylland 0:0
    31.07.2025 Hibernian - Midtjylland 1:2
    28.07.2025 Midtjylland - SønderjyskE 6:2
    Latest results of Fredrikstad
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1HamrunBye
    4ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    8ByeDyn. Kyiv
    9ShkendijaBye
    16ByeLudogorets
    17Slovan BratislavaBye
    24ByeYoung Boys
    25Malmo FFBye
    32ByeSigma Olomouc
    33PanathinaikosBye
    35BesiktasBye
    36Shakhtar DonetskIlves0 : 0, 6 : 0
    40ByeSamsunspor
    41AberdeenBye
    45FCSBBye
    48ByeDrita
    49Lech PoznanBye
    56ByeGenk
    57FredrikstadBye
    59MidtjyllandBye
    60ByeHibernian
    61RFSBye
    64ByeKuPS
    65Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    68ByeNoah
    69LuganoBye
    70PaksCFR Cluj0 : 3, 0 : 0
    71Levski SofiaH. Beer Sheva2 : 1, 0 : 0
    72ByeBraga
    73ZrinjskiBye
    76ByeBreidablik
    77ServetteBye
    79Sheriff TiraspolPrishtina1 : 2, 4 : 0
    80ByeUtrecht
    81AnderlechtBye
    82TrnavaHacken2 : 2, 0 : 1
    84ByeBrann
    85Sabah BakuCelje3 : 3, 2 : 3
    86AEK LarnacaPartizan2 : 2, 1 : 0
    87OstravaBye
    88LegiaAktobe1 : 0, 1 : 0
    89RijekaBye
    92ByeShelbourne
    93PAOKBye
    96ByeWolfsberger AC

    Quarter-finals
    1HamrunBye
    2ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    4ByeDyn. Kyiv
    5ShkendijaBye
    8ByeLudogorets
    9Slovan BratislavaBye
    12ByeYoung Boys
    13Malmo FFBye
    16ByeSigma Olomouc
    17PanathinaikosBye
    18BesiktasShakhtar Donetsk0 : 2, 2 : 4
    20ByeSamsunspor
    21AberdeenBye
    23FCSBBye
    24ByeDrita
    25Lech PoznanBye
    28ByeGenk
    29FredrikstadBye
    30MidtjyllandHibernian2 : 1, 1 : 1
    31RFSBye
    32ByeKuPS
    33Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    34ByeNoah
    35LuganoCFR Cluj0 : 1, 0 : 0
    36Levski SofiaBraga0 : 1, 0 : 0
    37ZrinjskiBye
    38ByeBreidablik
    39ServetteBye
    40Sheriff TiraspolUtrecht1 : 4, 1 : 3
    41AnderlechtHacken1 : 3, 1 : 0
    42ByeBrann
    43CeljeAEK Larnaca1 : 2, 1 : 1
    44OstravaLegia1 : 2, 2 : 2
    45RijekaBye
    46ByeShelbourne
    47PAOKBye
    48ByeWolfsberger AC

    Semi-finals
    1HamrunMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 3, 1 : 2
    2ByeDyn. Kyiv
    3ShkendijaBye
    4ByeLudogorets
    5Slovan BratislavaBye
    6ByeYoung Boys
    7Malmo FFBye
    8ByeSigma Olomouc
    9PanathinaikosShakhtar Donetsk1 : 0, 0 : 0
    10ByeSamsunspor
    11AberdeenBye
    12FCSBDrita3 : 1, 3 : 2
    13Lech PoznanBye
    14ByeGenk
    15FredrikstadMidtjylland0 : 2, 1 : 3
    16RFSKuPS0 : 1, 1 : 2
    17Lincoln Red ImpsNoah1 : 0, 1 : 1
    18CFR ClujBraga0 : 2, 1 : 2
    19ZrinjskiBreidablik2 : 1, 1 : 1
    20ServetteUtrecht1 : 2, 1 : 3
    21HackenBrann1 : 0, 0 : 2
    22AEK LarnacaLegia1 : 2, 4 : 1
    23RijekaShelbourne3 : 1, 1 : 2
    24PAOKWolfsberger AC1 : 0, 0 : 0

    Final
    1Maccabi Tel AvivDyn. Kyiv3 : 1
    2ShkendijaLudogorets2 : 1
    3Slovan BratislavaYoung Boys0 : 1
    4Malmo FFSigma Olomouc3 : 0
    5PanathinaikosSamsunspor2 : 1
    6AberdeenFCSB2 : 2
    7Lech PoznanGenk1 : 5
    8MidtjyllandKuPS4 : 0
    9Lincoln Red ImpsBraga0 : 4
    10ZrinjskiUtrecht0 : 2
    11BrannAEK Larnaca2 : 1
    12RijekaPAOK1 : 0
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    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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