Result
2:0
14/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Europa League - Qualification - Semi-finals
- Referee: Weinberger J. (Aut)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.54 | 0.39 |
Ball Possession |
---|
49% | 51% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 4 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 1 |
Passes |
---|
88% (395/450) | 83% (386/464) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.54 | 0.39 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.63 | 0.42 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 4 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
11 | 3 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
26 | 16 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
88% (395/450) | 83% (386/464) |
Long passes |
---|
51% (22/43) | 43% (17/40) |
Passes in final third |
---|
77% (79/103) | 61% (75/122) |
Crosses |
---|
30% (3/10) | 18% (2/11) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.76 | 0.46 |
Throw-ins |
---|
28 | 18 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
58% (11/19) | 75% (18/24) |
Duels won |
---|
45 | 50 |
Clearances |
---|
18 | 16 |
Interceptions |
---|
13 | 15 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.42 | 2.63 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.58 | 0.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Bech Sorensen M. ⚽,
- 17', 2 - 0, Paulinho ⚽, Gogorza M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Bjartalid J. ↓, Holten E. ↑,
- 46', Rafn S. ↓, Shein R. R. ↑,
- 58', Ohlenschlaeger O. ↓, Sorlokk S. ↑,
- 59', Buksa A. ↓, Byskov V. ↑,
- 59', Erlic M. ↓, Lee Han-Beom ↑,
- 60', Franculino ↓, Chilufya E. ↑,
- 70', Owusu S. ↓, Eid D. ↑,
- 75', Bravo P. ↓, Dani Silva ↑,
- 78', Gogorza M. ↓, Osorio D. ↑,
- 78', Owusu L. ↓, Granaas E. ↑,
- 85', Gabriel A. 🟨,
- 89', Molde S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Midtjylland 66.9% | Draw 19.2% | Fredrikstad 14% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Midtjylland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Fredrikstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Midtjylland than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Midtjylland, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Midtjylland - Fredrikstad Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.41 ↑ (1.35) |
5 ↑ (4.9) |
7.08 ↓ (9.6) |
5% (4.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Midtjylland - Fredrikstad?
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Midtjylland will win (votes: 26 - 89.7%). Fredrikstad will win (votes: 2 - 6.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Midtjylland: 78.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Midtjylland (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Fredrikstad (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 3-1. 2nd leg.
- Midtjylland is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Fredrikstad's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Midtjylland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Midtjylland is the clear favorite.
- We predict that Midtjylland will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Midtjylland won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Midtjylland won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Midtjylland won against Fredrikstad?
Midtjylland has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fredrikstad won against Midtjylland?
Fredrikstad has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Midtjylland - Fredrikstad were as follows:
07.08.2025
Fredrikstad
-
Midtjylland
1:3
09.02.2024
Midtjylland
-
Fredrikstad
0:1
Latest results of Midtjylland
Latest results of Fredrikstad
Draw
2025/261/8-finals1 | Hamrun | Bye | |
4 | Bye | Maccabi Tel Aviv | |
8 | Bye | Dyn. Kyiv | |
9 | Shkendija | Bye | |
16 | Bye | Ludogorets | |
17 | Slovan Bratislava | Bye | |
24 | Bye | Young Boys | |
25 | Malmo FF | Bye | |
32 | Bye | Sigma Olomouc | |
33 | Panathinaikos | Bye | |
35 | Besiktas | Bye | |
36 | Shakhtar Donetsk | Ilves | 0 : 0, 6 : 0 |
40 | Bye | Samsunspor | |
41 | Aberdeen | Bye | |
45 | FCSB | Bye | |
48 | Bye | Drita | |
49 | Lech Poznan | Bye | |
56 | Bye | Genk | |
57 | Fredrikstad | Bye | |
59 | Midtjylland | Bye | |
60 | Bye | Hibernian | |
61 | RFS | Bye | |
64 | Bye | KuPS | |
65 | Lincoln Red Imps | Bye | |
68 | Bye | Noah | |
69 | Lugano | Bye | |
70 | Paks | CFR Cluj | 0 : 3, 0 : 0 |
71 | Levski Sofia | H. Beer Sheva | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
72 | Bye | Braga | |
73 | Zrinjski | Bye | |
76 | Bye | Breidablik | |
77 | Servette | Bye | |
79 | Sheriff Tiraspol | Prishtina | 1 : 2, 4 : 0 |
80 | Bye | Utrecht | |
81 | Anderlecht | Bye | |
82 | Trnava | Hacken | 2 : 2, 0 : 1 |
84 | Bye | Brann | |
85 | Sabah Baku | Celje | 3 : 3, 2 : 3 |
86 | AEK Larnaca | Partizan | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
87 | Ostrava | Bye | |
88 | Legia | Aktobe | 1 : 0, 1 : 0 |
89 | Rijeka | Bye | |
92 | Bye | Shelbourne | |
93 | PAOK | Bye | |
96 | Bye | Wolfsberger AC | |
Quarter-finals1 | Hamrun | Bye | |
2 | Bye | Maccabi Tel Aviv | |
4 | Bye | Dyn. Kyiv | |
5 | Shkendija | Bye | |
8 | Bye | Ludogorets | |
9 | Slovan Bratislava | Bye | |
12 | Bye | Young Boys | |
13 | Malmo FF | Bye | |
16 | Bye | Sigma Olomouc | |
17 | Panathinaikos | Bye | |
18 | Besiktas | Shakhtar Donetsk | 0 : 2, 2 : 4 |
20 | Bye | Samsunspor | |
21 | Aberdeen | Bye | |
23 | FCSB | Bye | |
24 | Bye | Drita | |
25 | Lech Poznan | Bye | |
28 | Bye | Genk | |
29 | Fredrikstad | Bye | |
30 | Midtjylland | Hibernian | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
31 | RFS | Bye | |
32 | Bye | KuPS | |
33 | Lincoln Red Imps | Bye | |
34 | Bye | Noah | |
35 | Lugano | CFR Cluj | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
36 | Levski Sofia | Braga | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
37 | Zrinjski | Bye | |
38 | Bye | Breidablik | |
39 | Servette | Bye | |
40 | Sheriff Tiraspol | Utrecht | 1 : 4, 1 : 3 |
41 | Anderlecht | Hacken | 1 : 3, 1 : 0 |
42 | Bye | Brann | |
43 | Celje | AEK Larnaca | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
44 | Ostrava | Legia | 1 : 2, 2 : 2 |
45 | Rijeka | Bye | |
46 | Bye | Shelbourne | |
47 | PAOK | Bye | |
48 | Bye | Wolfsberger AC | |
Semi-finals1 | Hamrun | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 : 3, 1 : 2 |
2 | Bye | Dyn. Kyiv | |
3 | Shkendija | Bye | |
4 | Bye | Ludogorets | |
5 | Slovan Bratislava | Bye | |
6 | Bye | Young Boys | |
7 | Malmo FF | Bye | |
8 | Bye | Sigma Olomouc | |
9 | Panathinaikos | Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 : 0, 0 : 0 |
10 | Bye | Samsunspor | |
11 | Aberdeen | Bye | |
12 | FCSB | Drita | 3 : 1, 3 : 2 |
13 | Lech Poznan | Bye | |
14 | Bye | Genk | |
15 | Fredrikstad | Midtjylland | 0 : 2, 1 : 3 |
16 | RFS | KuPS | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
17 | Lincoln Red Imps | Noah | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
18 | CFR Cluj | Braga | 0 : 2, 1 : 2 |
19 | Zrinjski | Breidablik | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
20 | Servette | Utrecht | 1 : 2, 1 : 3 |
21 | Hacken | Brann | 1 : 0, 0 : 2 |
22 | AEK Larnaca | Legia | 1 : 2, 4 : 1 |
23 | Rijeka | Shelbourne | 3 : 1, 1 : 2 |
24 | PAOK | Wolfsberger AC | 1 : 0, 0 : 0 |
Final1 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | Dyn. Kyiv | 3 : 1 |
2 | Shkendija | Ludogorets | 2 : 1 |
3 | Slovan Bratislava | Young Boys | 0 : 1 |
4 | Malmo FF | Sigma Olomouc | 3 : 0 |
5 | Panathinaikos | Samsunspor | 2 : 1 |
6 | Aberdeen | FCSB | 2 : 2 |
7 | Lech Poznan | Genk | 1 : 5 |
8 | Midtjylland | KuPS | 4 : 0 |
9 | Lincoln Red Imps | Braga | 0 : 4 |
10 | Zrinjski | Utrecht | 0 : 2 |
11 | Brann | AEK Larnaca | 2 : 1 |
12 | Rijeka | PAOK | 1 : 0 |
Which TV channels are streaming of Midtjylland - Fredrikstad?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
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Denmark | Disney+ |
Norway | VG+ |
Sweden | Disney+ |