Southampton vs Middlesbrough: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Championship Southampton - Middlesbrough
Result
1:1
27/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Championship - Round 7
  • Referee: Hallam F. (Eng)
Southampton - Middlesbrough - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.770.31
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
21
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
88% (446/508)86% (354/413)
Yellow Cards
26
Expected Goals (xG)
0.770.31
xG on target (xGOT)
0.640.52
Total shots
147
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
82
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
2513
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1711
Passes
88% (446/508)86% (354/413)
Long passes
39% (15/38)50% (20/40)
Passes in final third
63% (62/98)71% (77/108)
Crosses
21% (3/14)13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.460.61
Throw-ins
1319
Fouls
1117
Tackles
58% (14/24)61% (11/18)
Duels won
5841
Clearances
2723
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
0.520.64
Goals prevented
-0.48-0.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', Jones A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 50', Conway T. 🟨,
  • 51', Strelec D. 🟨,
  • 51', Quarshie J. 🟨,
  • 54', Armstrong A. 🟨,
  • 61', 1 - 0, Armstrong A. ,
  • 62', Whittaker M. , Nypan S. ,
  • 63', Brittain C. , Browne A. ,
  • 65', Azaz F. , Scienza L. ,
  • 71', Fellows T. , Fraser R. ,
  • 72', Morris A. , Burgzorg D. ,
  • 72', Conway T. , Hansen S. ,
  • 72', Strelec D. , Sene M. K. ,
  • 77', 1 - 1, Sene M. K. , Ayling L. (A),
  • 86', Stewart R. , Robinson J. ,
  • 86', Manning R. , Jelert E. ,
  • 87', Hackney H. 🟨,
  • 90', Targett M. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Nypan S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Southampton
42.6%
Draw
27.2%
Middlesbrough
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44% 25.9% 30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6% 27.5% 28.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Southampton - Middlesbrough Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.23
    (2.15)
    3.5
    (3.65)
    3.17
    (3.15)
    4.9%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Southampton - Middlesbrough?
  • Users Predictions: Middlesbrough will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.29%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Middlesbrough will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
    • Recent performances by S`hampton have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Middlesbrough is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • S`hampton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, S`hampton has had a series of away games.
    • S`hampton will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in S`hampton: Welington (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Middlesbrough: Fry D. (Inactive) McGree R. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in S`hampton: Edozie S. (Inactive) Jander C. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Edmundson G. (Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, S`hampton won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, S`hampton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Southampton - Middlesbrough were as follows:
    29.03.2024 Southampton - Middlesbrough 1:1
    23.09.2023 Middlesbrough - Southampton 2:1
    Latest results of Southampton
    23.09.2025 Liverpool - Southampton 2:1
    20.09.2025 Hull City - Southampton 3:1
    14.09.2025 Southampton - Portsmouth 0:0
    30.08.2025 Watford - Southampton 2:2
    26.08.2025 Norwich City - Southampton 0:3
    Latest results of Middlesbrough
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Middlesbrough752012:5717
    2Coventry734018:71113
    3Stoke741210:5513
    4Bristol City733113:7612
    5Leicester73319:6312
    6Preston73317:5212
    7Charlton73227:5211
    8West Brom73228:7111
    9QPR732211:13-211
    10Millwall73226:8-211
    11Birmingham73135:8-310
    12Ipswich623111:659
    13Swansea72327:619
    14Norwich722310:1008
    15Wrexham722312:13-18
    16Watford72237:8-18
    17Portsmouth72235:7-28
    18Hull722311:14-38
    19Southampton71428:10-27
    20Blackburn62045:8-36
    21Derby71339:13-46
    22Oxford Utd71249:11-25
    23Sheffield Wed71246:13-75
    24Sheffield Utd71062:13-113

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Which TV channels are streaming of Southampton - Middlesbrough?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+
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