Michael Van Gerwen vs Dirk van Duijvenbode: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Darts World Grand Prix Michael Van Gerwen - Dirk van Duijvenbode
07/10/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Michael Van Gerwen - Dirk van Duijvenbode - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Michael Van Gerwen
67.3%
Dirk van Duijvenbode
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.2% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6% 51.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Michael Van Gerwen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Dirk van Duijvenbode has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Van Gerwen than the current prediction. (-18.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Michael Van Gerwen that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dirk van Duijvenbode than the current prediction. (+18.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dirk van Duijvenbode could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Michael Van Gerwen - Dirk van Duijvenbode Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.4)

    2.8
    (3)
    6.1%
    (4.8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Format: Double in, Double out.
    • Van Gerwen is ranked World Ranking: 3. van Duijvenbode is ranked World Ranking: 32.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Van Gerwen won 4.
    • Van Gerwen is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • van Duijvenbode has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • van Duijvenbode may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Van Gerwen is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Van Gerwen won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 45:27. (average 6.4:3.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Michael Van Gerwen - Dirk van Duijvenbode were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Michael Van Gerwen - Dirk van Duijvenbode 3:6
    28.02.2025 Michael Van Gerwen - Dirk van Duijvenbode 10:8
    24.01.2025 Michael Van Gerwen - Dirk van Duijvenbode 6:1
    30.12.2022 Michael Van Gerwen - Dirk van Duijvenbode 4:1
    Latest results of Michael Van Gerwen
    Latest results of Dirk van Duijvenbode
    Draw
    2024

    1/16-finals
    1Humphries L. (1)Bunting S.2 : 1
    2van Barneveld R.Pietreczko R.1 : 2
    3Clayton J. (8)Edhouse R.2 : 0
    4van Veen G.Smith R.0 : 2
    5Cross R. (4)Littler L.2 : 1
    6Dolan B.Schindler M.0 : 2
    7Aspinall N. (5)Searle R.2 : 1
    8Rock J.Joyce R.0 : 2
    9Smith M. (2)Anderson G.1 : 2
    10De Decker M.Heta D.2 : 1
    11Price G. (7)Noppert D.2 : 1
    12Wright P.Wade J.1 : 2
    13van Gerwen M. (3)Gurney D.0 : 2
    14Dobey C.Cullen J.1 : 2
    15Chisnall D. (6)Menzies C.2 : 0
    16Woodhouse L.Van den Bergh D.1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Humphries L. (1)Pietreczko R.3 : 1
    2Clayton J. (8)Smith R.3 : 1
    3Cross R. (4)Schindler M.3 : 1
    4Aspinall N. (5)Joyce R.2 : 3
    5Anderson G.De Decker M.0 : 3
    6Price G. (7)Wade J.0 : 3
    7Gurney D.Cullen J.2 : 3
    8Chisnall D. (6)Van den Bergh D.1 : 3

    Quarter-finals
    1Humphries L. (1)Clayton J. (8)3 : 1
    2Cross R. (4)Joyce R.2 : 3
    3De Decker M.Wade J.3 : 0
    4Cullen J.Van den Bergh D.1 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1Humphries L. (1)Joyce R.5 : 0
    2De Decker M.Van den Bergh D.5 : 2

    Final
    1Humphries L. (1)De Decker M.4 : 6
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