Miami vs Tulsa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Championship Miami - Tulsa
Result
2:2
05/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
Miami - Tulsa - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.962.16
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
413
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
74% (238/321)73% (231/316)
Yellow Cards
43
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.962.16
xG on target (xGOT)
1.251.20
Total shots
413
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
16
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
311
Shots outside the Box
12
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
836
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1717
Passes
74% (238/321)73% (231/316)
Long passes
42% (27/65)42% (24/57)
Passes in final third
47% (36/77)63% (87/139)
Crosses
23% (3/13)36% (10/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.612.00
Throw-ins
1525
Fouls
1717
Tackles
69% (9/13)70% (14/20)
Duels won
5857
Clearances
3524
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
1.201.25
Goals prevented
-0.80-0.75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Calheira T. (Pen),
  • 17', 1 - 1, Bonfiglio F. (Pen),
  • 36', Vazquez C. 🟨,
  • 38', Dalou A. , Goldthorp E. ,
  • 45+1', 1 - 2, Goldthorp E. , St.Clair H. (A),
  • 45+2', Marcos Serrato 🟨,
  • 45+5', Romero M. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 49', Akinyode B. 🟨,
  • 56', St.Clair H. 🟨,
  • 60', Blanco S. , Hoyos K. ,
  • 62', Colli G. , Webber J. ,
  • 62', St.Clair H. , Seagrist P. ,
  • 62', Calheira T. , Elmedkhar K. ,
  • 65', 2 - 2, Bonfiglio F. ,
  • 68', Melano L. , Veron D. ,
  • 68', Vazquez C. , Cardona N. ,
  • 81', Stauffer L. , Lukic S. ,
  • 86', Cissoko A. 🟨,
  • 87', Bonfiglio F. , Zarate T. ,
  • 89', Mitrano A. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Cardona N. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Miami
37.7%
Draw
27.1%
Tulsa
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.4% 28.4% 41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1% 27.2% 43%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Miami's performance.
  • Tulsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tulsa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Miami that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tulsa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Miami - Tulsa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (3.02)
    3.38
    (3.23)
    2.6
    (2.23)
    9.3%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Miami may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Miami has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Miami - Tulsa were as follows:
    19.06.2024 Tulsa - Miami 2:1
    12.07.2023 Tulsa - Miami 1:0
    11.03.2023 Miami - Tulsa 1:1
    Latest results of Miami
    28.06.2025 Greenville Triumph - Miami 2:0
    21.06.2025 Detroit City - Miami 2:0
    18.06.2025 Miami - Charleston Battery 1:0
    14.06.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Miami 2:1
    07.06.2025 Rhode Island - Miami 0:1
    Latest results of Tulsa
    14.06.2025 Tulsa - Phoenix Rising 1:1
    31.05.2025 Tulsa - Birmingham Legion 1:2
    28.05.2025 San Antonio - Tulsa 1:1
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City ✔ 23166146:182854
    2Charleston ✔ 23162547:242350
    3Loudoun23114837:35237
    4North Carolina22103934:32233
    5Hartford Athletic2395933:27632
    6Detroit2388729:26332
    7Pittsburgh2387823:21231
    8Indy Eleven23751136:42-626
    9Rhode Island23661116:24-824
    10Birmingham23410929:38-922
    11Tampa Bay22631324:34-1021
    12Miami FC23551322:38-1620


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa23127438:261243
    2Sacramento Republic22107533:171637
    3El Paso2288637:32532
    4Lexington2387825:29-431
    5New Mexico2193927:30-330
    6Colorado Springs2286829:30-130
    7San Antonio2286826:28-230
    8Phoenix Rising2379738:40-230
    9Orange County SC2184933:33028
    10Oakland Roots22731225:34-924
    11Monterey Bay24661224:32-824
    12Las Vegas Lights23661118:39-2124

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Which TV channels are streaming of Miami - Tulsa?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    chileChileDisney+
    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    mexicoMexicoDisney+
    peruPeruDisney+
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
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